C210N wrote:
FB page, looking at the counties with more than 100,000 in pop...
Johnson/Linn -> myth
BlackHawk/Polk -> Paul
Woodbury -> nothing yet
You’re right, but I’m sure you know that the strength of Iowa conservatives is in the western rural counties which are slow to report. The big cities have fewer Republicans and they are less likely to turn out for caucuses. The rural voters are who dominate Republican caucusgoers in most years.
21 percent of precincts in and it’s clearly going to be a blowout for Paul, Romney, and Santorum, each with about a quarter of the caucusgoers. Everybody else is dividing the remaining quarter of the caucusgoers.