Pro-abort, Aroostook25, bites the dust.
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Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan
Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.
Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.
We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.
My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:
Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1
Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.
Typical of folks from the Northeast. They march to a much different drum than folks further to the South...
Ummm... the most recent Iowa caucus winner to be the nominee and then win the general election is sitting in the White House right now. Here are the numbers from 2008:
#1 Barack Obama (38%)
#2 John Edwards (30%)
#3 Hillary Clinton (29%)
#4 Bill Richardson (2%)
#5 Joe Biden (1%)
Of course there's a good chance the Iowa caucus winner won't emerge as the nominee, but the idea that the winners of the Iowa Caucus are only "flukes" that go nowhere afterwards would be news to George W. Bush and Barack Obama.
Oh that's right...now I remember...just goes to show you get to close to them and they screw with your head. She should have known better... but then it now appears she's had one foot on both sides of the chair so to speak.
Either ones fine with me at this juncture...if Santorum wins Newt will coach him to come across strong...he needs it...otherwise Obama has no chance against Newt..none...he’ll do him in in hte first round....in fact already has with his challenge for Lincoln Douglas...that’s a win for Newt already.
Pro-abort, Aroostook25, bites the dust.
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Pro-abort/pro-homosexual agenda, AFveteran gets the ZOT.
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You have been aborted.
How does it feel?
Speaking of “common sense elixer” (or kool-aide, if you prefer), you need to put the jug down and look around!
Pro-abort/pro-homosexual agenda , Josephmama agrees with AFveteran and joins him in the ex-FReeper pile.
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Now you have time to read The Holy Bible.
Being Zotted is pathetic.
Well at least Santorum would do much, much better than a Romney, Santorum is the real deal.
It's a little more complicated than winner-take-all or proportional representation.
Iowa is an old-fashioned traditional caucus state in which precinct delegates go to to the county conventions and then the state convention, which selects the actual state delegates.
The actual Republican National Convention delegates are elected by Iowa State Convention. In the real world, all but the winning candidate has usually dropped out by the time the national convention delegates get selected.
A serious threat of a brokered convention would change that dynamic completely and Iowa's delegates could be fought over bitterly at the state convention level since in a case like that every single delegate would count. However, we haven't had a brokered Republican convention since 1952 and haven't had a seriously contested race at the convention since 1976. Both of those are basically ancient history with little precedent-setting relevance to modern politics.
1,345 posted on Tuesday, January 03, 2012 10:50:13 PM by NKP_Vet: “Southerners could care less how many times someone has been married. Newt wins SC going away.”
Depends on **WHICH** Southerners.
Yeah, I know it’s Dukes of Hazzard territory. It’s also the Bible Belt.
The least that can be said is that multiple adulteries won’t help. Newt lived in a wealthy suburban Georgia district as a northern transplant and he knows that.
But let’s be fair, if Newt had married a NASCAR trophy girl for this third marriage it might have helped him in some parts of the South. ;-)
This is obviously not every other election. This one has a Tea Party element that is not being counted, who predicted Santorum to have this kind of support?
Pray for America
Interesting - thanks!
This is shaping up to be a truly bizzare primary.
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