Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan
Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.
Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.
We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.
My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:
Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1
Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.
You left out that whole Spector/Toomey thingy that made the conservatives stay home in ‘06.
But I think your #1 confirms what Cadell said ... Casey neutralized Santorum on abortion. The, the GLBT crowd was against him because of DOMA, and invested heavily in defeating Santorum as their #1 target that year.
Lee and Clinton are still outstanding.
Lee: 94.24 percent white.
Clinton: 95.87 percent white.
No reservations to speak of. Both in Eastern Iowa, on the Illinois border.
AMEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Unless your claiming that Rubio’s parents had diplomatic immunity or something.
I was wondering that when I heard the colorful bit about the “guy in a pickup truck”.
Romney up by 1.
Try not to get too excited about the Iowa Caucus. The winner hasn’t gone on to be the nominee, then win the general election in too many years to count.
Iowa has become nearly irrelevant, except for bragging rights. Same for New Hampshire. South Carolina and Florida are the real tests of true grit, and will separate the real players from the also rans.
CNN now putting Romney ahead by ONE vote: 29,957 - 29,956
http://us.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/ia?hpt=hp_pc1
He also said Santorum would have no chance (his exact words may have been “dead meat” I can’t recall) against Obama.
Wishful thinking, Pat?
I don’t remember him being such an idiot.
Thanks!!
Yes, I believe that a precinct in Keokuk is all that’s left.
Shouldn’t take very long if they aren’t being rigged.
Same for Newt. Oh wait, . . .
I guess all the “guys in pickups” are finally starting to trickle in now...
You are sooo right Star...
This nation is in such peril and so many are confused and confounded mingled with great uncertainty....but we do know we have a nation worth fighting for and at this time the elction is the battlefield and our votes the bullits.....may God indeed have Mercy and forgive us for waiting so long to wake up...and grant us the opportunity to fix this mess and once again be a NATION UNDER GOD!
Just as Herman Cain said, the MEDIA does not decide these things, the PEOPLE do. I love it. The sound of establishment liberal brains exploding all over the place tonight, all in D.C., at the RNC, along K Street, in Karl Roves living room, all of it, music to my ears. Lets seize power from the morons and turn the party around, have a solid Conservative platform and candidate, and propose to the nation a stark difference from OBONGO, not another "me-too, Obama light RINO playing the middle and getting respect from nobody."
If he gets the nomination, I will vote for him and enjoy the heck out of the debates, as will many of the women I know. Like I said I like his proposals, his accomplishments in Congress, and his ability to articulate conservative principles.
I also liked Perry, except for his speaking ability, which I thought was getting better. Haven't cared much for Santorum, but will vote for him, if he gets the nomination.
Santorum’s problem is that he doesn't project that he even has confidence deep down that he has the ability to be President. He is going to have to overcome that to beat Obama. Hopefully, after the primaries, if he is the candidate, he will have gained that air of confidence.
So far, this primary has been waaaaaay more interesting than the last one. I am looking forward to the next debate.
Gotta say I still miss Herman tho. Man, imagine Herman Cain winning in Iowa.
This is pretty sweet ho!
Thanks for the info, but it makes me wonder what the holdup is then.
Hi reagnaut....interesting night for sure! I’m so delighted Romney can’t gloat very much after this run up by Santorum....I hope we get the outcome soon..burning past the midnight oil and then some herein PA.
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