Posted on 10/09/2008 7:23:35 AM PDT by tatown
Obama 47%, McCain 41%
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Yesterday’s poll may have been an outlier. It was not in line with the other tracking polls (kinda like Gallup, but on the other end of the scale).
That doesnt make any since. Are they a 3 day average ?
Not good!
WTH???? There aren’t enough antacids out there to get me through the next month. Jeez these polls are killing me.
Something Smells
The Early Line: Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll
Obama/Biden: 47%
McCain/Palin: 41%
Undec 9%
—After a tightening earlier in the week, Obama has re-opened a 6-pt. lead over McCain. This was likely driven by the fact that Obama has expanded his lead among women voters. He now holds a 9 pt. advantage over McCain with women. He also has a 2 pt. lead over McCain among men.
—Among the 66% of voters who say the economy is their #1 issue, Obama has a 13-pt advantage. And he holds a 6-pt. lead - 44-38% - on the question of who’d do the best job handling the economy. In yesterday’s poll, the two were tied on this question.
—Palin’s approval ratings are also sliding and she has almost a 1-1 fav/unfav rating, with 46% rating her favorably and 43% rating her unfavorably.
Today’s Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/6-8 by FD, surveyed 852 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.4%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 36%R, 18%
No doubt the polls will be predicting McCain at 35% the week before the election!
Is this a moving average? To get + 5 in a day the numbers would have had to be quite dramatic...
Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/6-8 by FD, surveyed 852 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.4%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 36%R, 18%I.
PS - Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 36%R, 18%I.
“He also has a 2 pt. lead over McCain among men”
That doesn’t seem possible to me. Anyone else?
That's a crapload of movement for one day.
Yes, a 3-day poll.
To gain 5 points in one day, yesterday and the day that dropped off would have had to have a total of +15 for Obama. As 15/3 would be 5%-points.
these polling threads bring out the trolls amongst us.
Are you people living and dying with every poll ?
I am surprised that Palin’s numbers are down. She is still attracting huge crowds.
Not to worry.
5% oversample of Dems. Interesting.
Today’s Battleground and Rasmussen polls both show McCain gaining today. Zogby shows him down one (statical noise?) and then there’s this one. Obviously, McCain isn’t going up and down at the same time so somebody’s out to lunch here. The race is tight and McCain is just starting to hit Obama on the terrorist connection. I think that’ll really hurt Obama. And then there’s the communist/islamist Odinga connection. I hope McCain is watching that one closely.
For God’s sake this is Chuck Todd/Charlie Cook’s poll. What’s wrong with you people?
Today’s Battleground and Rasmussen polls both show McCain gaining today. Zogby shows him down one (statical noise?) and then there’s this one. Obviously, McCain isn’t going up and down at the same time so somebody’s out to lunch here. The race is tight and McCain is just starting to hit Obama on the terrorist connection. I think that’ll really hurt Obama. And then there’s the communist/islamist Odinga connection. I hope McCain is watching that one closely.
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