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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: TheMom; Jaded; According2RecentPollsAirIsGood; sweet_diane

Got y’all!


781 posted on 09/12/2008 12:10:09 PM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . Beltway and I-10, more or less)
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To: spectre

I’m not Alexis, I’m her sister. She does live in Houston off of Hwy 6 in between 59 and 10.


782 posted on 09/12/2008 12:10:23 PM PDT by Sally'sConcerns (http://www.fda.gov/emaillist.html - Class I (life threatening) recalls email alert sign-up)
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To: topher
In 1969, people did not evacuate before Hurricane Camille

Yes, they did. My grandmother was one of them. Her house, about 200 ft. from the beach, was badly damaged, but survived. Katrina got it.

783 posted on 09/12/2008 12:10:45 PM PDT by Romulus ("Ira enim viri iustitiam Dei non operatur")
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To: kinghorse
I am an oldtimer regarding the Blue Water Hwy that starts at Surfside Jetty, meanders along the beach for 12 miles to San Luis pass

LOL.. me too.. I have driven the entire length of that highway.. BACKWARDS.. at 2 am.. in a station wagon. We'd been floundering up near San Luis.. when we came back to my old wagon, the transmission only worked in reverse!

My neck was sore for days... and, I was only 17.

784 posted on 09/12/2008 12:10:52 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: kinghorse
I am an oldtimer regarding the Blue Water Hwy that starts at Surfside Jetty, meanders along the beach for 12 miles to San Luis pass

LOL.. me too.. I have driven the entire length of that highway.. BACKWARDS.. at 2 am.. in a station wagon. We'd been floundering up near San Luis.. when we came back to my old wagon, the transmission only worked in reverse!

My neck was sore for days... and, I was only 17.

785 posted on 09/12/2008 12:11:00 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: penelopesire

There may be one on the island, but if it’s constructed like the one on Port Bolivar, they’d better hope the surge doesn’t get to them, because the fort may survive the hurricane, but they may not survive the surge. We always used the Port Bolivar fort as a very last resort in the event we got trapped by a surge cutting off the highway at High Island.


786 posted on 09/12/2008 12:11:40 PM PDT by OB1kNOb (Our patriotic hockey mom can beat up your commie community organizer.)
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To: ReneeLynn

Katy isn’t in an area at risk for surge - it’s pretty far west. Might face some inland flooding issues and some wind damage, but the deadliest part of this storm, by far, will be surge.


787 posted on 09/12/2008 12:11:42 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: humblegunner
The Force is strong with me! ;-)

So safe will you be.

788 posted on 09/12/2008 12:12:41 PM PDT by American Quilter (The urge to save humanity is nearly always a cover for the urge to rule. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: Xenalyte

We only want on the ping list if Salty is on it!


789 posted on 09/12/2008 12:13:12 PM PDT by Eaker (Dutch expression "You can give a monkey a gold ring, but it stays an ugly thing." - EscapedDutch)
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To: STARWISE

Thanks. I hope to have copious notes and photos to report upon return.


790 posted on 09/12/2008 12:13:37 PM PDT by OB1kNOb (Our patriotic hockey mom can beat up your commie community organizer.)
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To: Xenalyte

Add me....TIA


791 posted on 09/12/2008 12:13:54 PM PDT by bria
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To: brytlea
I remember years ago the story about the people having the hurricane party in a hotel on the beach (was it Camille? Can’t remember for sure) who were swept away.

Yes, it was Camille.

792 posted on 09/12/2008 12:14:28 PM PDT by American Quilter (The urge to save humanity is nearly always a cover for the urge to rule. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: conservativeinferno

There was a mention of it on the news this moring but I honestly wasn’t listening. I got gas on Wednesday evening and paid $3.38 for the cheap stuff in Pasadena. It’s only gone up .03 if you can find any place open. The local Walmart is getting deliveries at least twice a day. There are lines.

I also understand that what they charge you isn’t necessarily what they pay for that gas but what they (the station) estimates they will pay for the next delivery. (disclaimer: I could be WRONG).

Prayers up for anyone who stayed in the evacuation areas. It’s gonna be sucky this weekend in Texas.


793 posted on 09/12/2008 12:14:31 PM PDT by Jaded ("Eloquence is no substitute for experience" -Joe Lieberman)
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To: half-cajun

Last I heard Katy will be getting up to 80 mph winds.


794 posted on 09/12/2008 12:15:05 PM PDT by BlueAngel (Katy, Tx)
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To: conservativeinferno
The 40% rule.

Forty percent of the nation's oil refineries may be shutdown by Ike.

This comes after Hurricane Gustav shut down refineries in Louisiana/Mississippi.

We run at close to 100% of refinery capacity, so any interruption in the operations of the refineries means a shortage.

Two of the largest refineries anywhere are in Baytown and Texas City -- where there are some forecast of a 30 foot storm surge.

It might be like Hurricane Katrina and Rita that it will take months to get refineries repaired.

There are about 20% of the nation's refineries in an area that can be hit the hardest by Ike.

The Tropical Storm conditions may be shutting down refineries in Corpus Christi (to the Southwest) and in Baton Rouge/New Orleans/Biloxi to the East...

Bottom line: we may need some new refineries after they clear away the debris...

795 posted on 09/12/2008 12:15:42 PM PDT by topher (Let us return to old-fashioned morality - morality that has stood the test of time...)
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To: kinghorse

Terrifying prospects.


796 posted on 09/12/2008 12:16:12 PM PDT by STARWISE (They (Dims) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
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To: Enosh

Proof that George Bush doesn’t care about Texans.


797 posted on 09/12/2008 12:16:40 PM PDT by popdonnelly (I'll tell you a little secret: we're smarter and more competent than the Left.)
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To: Xenalyte

Please add me to your ping list.

We’re hunkered down just North of Hobby.


798 posted on 09/12/2008 12:16:43 PM PDT by Elderberry
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To: Eaker

As a matter of fact, the ping list was his idea.


799 posted on 09/12/2008 12:16:50 PM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . Beltway and I-10, more or less)
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To: spectre

That’s it. I actually remember it, even tho, of course, I wasn’t born yet! ;)
susie


800 posted on 09/12/2008 12:17:18 PM PDT by brytlea (Obama--Keep the change!)
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