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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: Jaded

If you ‘have’ to go to Austin, you don’t know Austin.

But welcome, if you do :)


2,761 posted on 09/12/2008 10:54:13 PM PDT by txhurl (Denali/Bolton)
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To: jeffers

So where is the 20 foot wave?


2,762 posted on 09/12/2008 10:54:13 PM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: All

HERE IS WHAT THE FIRE IS IN HOUSTON...

Brennan’s Restaurant burns in downtown Houston

12:49 AM CDT on Saturday, September 13, 2008

KHOU.com staff report

One of Houston’s historic restaurants burned to the ground early Saturday morning. Firefighters were powerless to save Brennan’s of Houston as high winds from Hurricane Ike prevented crews from dousing the flames.

Brennan’s opened in downtown Houston more than 40 years ago and constantly rated as one of the best eateries in the city.

Details on the fire as they become available.

http://www.khou.com/topstories/stories/khou080913_tj_brennans_fire_downtown.6ef1fe9b.html


2,763 posted on 09/12/2008 10:54:27 PM PDT by stlnative (HurraMcCain Palin will continue to build strength as it travels across the USA over the next 60 days)
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Downtown Houston just got a lot darker on a webcam I have been monitoring:

http://www.instacam.com/showcam.asp?id=KHOUT&size=L


2,764 posted on 09/12/2008 10:55:05 PM PDT by Drago
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To: jeffers

Sadly, tonight, being on the moon would be preferable. : |

Prayers,
Tatt


2,765 posted on 09/12/2008 10:56:00 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... ("Courage, is fear that has said its prayers." Dorothy Bernard)
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To: fatima

That first shot of him falling back into the palm fronds was amusing to me. Unfortunatly it probably meant the water was up 17ft or so.


2,766 posted on 09/12/2008 10:56:07 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: thesearethetimes...

Wow...Dominica Davis on Fox News is, well, to be blunt...stupid. Geraldo asked if the wind would be from a different direction after the eye passed, and she didn’t seem to even grasp the question; she then said no, the wind will still come from a “counterclockwise” direction. As if that’s a direction. Of course, she also thinks Geraldo’s in a town called “Gavelston.”


2,767 posted on 09/12/2008 10:56:37 PM PDT by xjcsa (McWhatshisname-Palin 2008)
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To: fatima

Storm surge isn’t a single wave. Various guages are at 12+ ft and rising from Sabine Pass to Galveston.


2,768 posted on 09/12/2008 10:56:58 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: fatima

fatima wrote:
So where is the 20 foot wave?

********

Where is what 20 foot wave? Seen bouy reports at 27’ so far...


2,769 posted on 09/12/2008 10:57:38 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: eyedigress
"It’s in his blood and he gets a daily nightime spot when it coincides with a hurricane. Sounds like a good deal Eh? "

Maybe if we lose Rivers, we can talk Shep into the job.....

2,770 posted on 09/12/2008 10:57:48 PM PDT by matthew fuller (Palin/McCain 08- So let it be written, So let it be done!)
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To: WSGilcrest
TRACK Hurricane Ike


2,771 posted on 09/12/2008 10:57:51 PM PDT by MeekOneGOP (Obama, WHO is Bill Ayers and WHY are you still friends with him? Please RSVP asap!)
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To: All

New vortex data up:

Storm IKE1: Observed by AF #301
Storm #09 In Atlantic Ocean
Total Flights For Storm #09: 35
Date/Time of Recon Report: September 13, 2008 05:33:00 Zulu
Position Of The Center: 28 ° 52 ‘ N 094 ° 37 ‘ W (28.87° N 94.62° W )
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700 Millibars: 2704 Meters (Normal: 3011 Meters)
Maximum Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 87 Knots (100.05 MPH)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured At: 032 Nautical Miles (36.8 miles) From Center At Bearing 072°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 103 Knots (118.45 MPH) From 150°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 053 Nautical Miles (60.95 Miles) From Center At Bearing 066°
Minimum Pressure: 953 Millibars (28.141 Inches)
Maxium Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Outside The Eye: 10°C (50°F) / 3050 Meters
Maximum Flight Level Temperature / Pressure Altitude Inside The Eye: 17°C (62.6°F) / 3050 Meters
Dewpoint Temperature / Sea Surface Temperature Inside The Eye: 14°C (57.2°F) / NA°C (NA°F)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: OPEN N
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being: C40
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700 Millibars
Navigational Accuracy Measured At: 0.02 Nautical Miles
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At: 1 Nautical Miles

Other Information:
1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 103 KT NE Quadrant at 04:30:40 Z

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml?text


2,772 posted on 09/12/2008 10:57:58 PM PDT by annie laurie (All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost)
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To: eyedigress

That is what he said and I forget how high he said it was.


2,773 posted on 09/12/2008 10:58:07 PM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: y'all
TRACK Hurricane Ike

Satellite Image ...


2,774 posted on 09/12/2008 10:59:26 PM PDT by MeekOneGOP (Obama, WHO is Bill Ayers and WHY are you still friends with him? Please RSVP asap!)
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To: thesearethetimes...

I feel for them, but Bolivar Peninsula might as well be an island and right now, probably is. No place to be for even a minor Cat-2 and Ike’s nibbling at a 3, spread over a bazillion square miles.


2,775 posted on 09/12/2008 10:59:45 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: thesearethetimes...

bad recording
Jay Ferguson-Thunder Island (Live)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RWfYLrN5a08&feature=related


2,776 posted on 09/12/2008 11:00:16 PM PDT by valkyry1 (McCain/Palin 2008)
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To: jeffers

So it came in?I am just going by what I see on TV.God 27.


2,777 posted on 09/12/2008 11:00:25 PM PDT by fatima (Put your lipstick on girls and go vote.)
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To: MeekOneGOP

Here’s one I posted upthread.

http://www.gearthblog.com/blog/archives/2008/09/track_hurricane_ike_in_google_earth.html

KMZ link in the middle of the second paragraph. Opens in Google Earth.


2,778 posted on 09/12/2008 11:03:02 PM PDT by WSGilcrest (Sarahlicious!)
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To: thesearethetimes...

Better

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UR5cd6BqU74&feature=related


2,779 posted on 09/12/2008 11:03:07 PM PDT by valkyry1 (McCain/Palin 2008)
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To: fatima

That’s an official 27 foot wave, atop a 12+ foot surge.


2,780 posted on 09/12/2008 11:03:20 PM PDT by jeffers
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