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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: txflake

txflake wrote:
Ike has assumed control of the GOM waters, he’s like Neptune or Triton.

I think this is worse than 1900: if they had seen their streets flooding early in the A.M absent the seawall,
they would have evacuated. By horse and carriage, at 10mph, or even at a fast foot pace, at least enough
to outrun the surge and waves.

**********

The Galveston streets flooded to 18 inches as early as 0900 in 1900.

The people stayed because the forecast was for fair weather, and the ‘cyclone’ was assumed to have entered the Atlantic and disappeared.

The words “hurricane” and “cyclone” were forbidden in official forecasts, so as not to scare the taxpayers.


2,141 posted on 09/12/2008 8:13:35 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: txflake

txflake wrote:
Ike has assumed control of the GOM waters, he’s like Neptune or Triton.

I think this is worse than 1900: if they had seen their streets flooding early in the A.M absent the seawall,
they would have evacuated. By horse and carriage, at 10mph, or even at a fast foot pace, at least enough
to outrun the surge and waves.

**********

The Galveston streets flooded to 18 inches as early as 0900 in 1900.

The people stayed because the forecast was for fair weather, and the ‘cyclone’ was assumed to have entered the Atlantic and disappeared.

The words “hurricane” and “cyclone” were forbidden in official forecasts, so as not to scare the taxpayers.


2,142 posted on 09/12/2008 8:13:48 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: Rebelbase

People are part of the problem. They need to calm down!

Running to the gas station at once is like running off a cliff with the rest of the herd.


2,143 posted on 09/12/2008 8:14:00 PM PDT by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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Geraldo is about to get blown away!


2,144 posted on 09/12/2008 8:14:41 PM PDT by Onerom99
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To: Dog Gone
The information was there. And the roads were clear. We had no Rita-type evacuation situations at all.

SE Texas went batsh** for good reason because Rita was a Cat 5 at one point. A Cat 5 is basically a hundred-mile wide F-3 tornado. This storm was not a major wind threat that far inland by comparison. But ANYONE within the 30 foot storm surge map of the Houston area should have left. That is a million or so out of the four million who hit the road during Rita. A big difference - that is manageable. And anyone on the coast or right on the bay who stayed ... it is just beyond rational human comprehension. We are truly living in stupid times.

2,145 posted on 09/12/2008 8:14:55 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: ichabod1

Be safe and keep us posted!


2,146 posted on 09/12/2008 8:15:10 PM PDT by RDTF (my worst nightmare is being on jury duty sequestered with 11 liberals)
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To: tcrlaf

i think so too.


2,147 posted on 09/12/2008 8:15:12 PM PDT by Shortstop7
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To: CindyDawg

Yeah..I can see that logic for sure after being there for the first time this past weekend. It was a bit pricy, but we got the off season rates. The shelling was really good at the north end of the island where there are no hotels or houses. We had a really good time. No spring breakers and very few people around.


2,148 posted on 09/12/2008 8:15:22 PM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: AFPhys

they interviewed a lady on Fox this afternoon, by phone, she said her victorian home was over a hundred years old and they were staying put......God help her.


2,149 posted on 09/12/2008 8:15:22 PM PDT by tioga (God have mercy on Galveston and all those in Ike's path.)
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To: tioga

lol @ Geraldo


2,150 posted on 09/12/2008 8:15:40 PM PDT by meanie monster
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To: politicalwit

Don’t matter.. Pumps are still gonna get hit.. Gasoline supply going to get cut down with the refineries going down.

I expect $5.00 this weekend.


2,151 posted on 09/12/2008 8:15:42 PM PDT by Onerom99
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To: ichabod1

Godspeed to you...


2,152 posted on 09/12/2008 8:15:49 PM PDT by Dr. Scarpetta
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To: ichabod1

Prayers up for you all.

Tatt


2,153 posted on 09/12/2008 8:16:09 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... ("Courage, is fear that has said its prayers." Dorothy Bernard)
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To: Onerom99

Is he going to be out in that (maximum wind)?!? I would rather not see splatter Geraldo on a building.


2,154 posted on 09/12/2008 8:16:24 PM PDT by Toki
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To: Onerom99

It is very wrong of me to morbidly want to see a big sheet of corrugated steel come by at 100 mph and take Geraldo out to sea, never to be seen again.

It is wrong. Lord help me . . .


2,155 posted on 09/12/2008 8:16:45 PM PDT by filbert (More filbert at http://www.medary.com)
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To: metmom

If you saw him on CNN, then it is the same guy I saw and he is ok. He is a camera man and they showed another short live shot of him again just a few minutes ago.


2,156 posted on 09/12/2008 8:16:56 PM PDT by stlnative (HurraMcCain Palin will continue to build strength as it travels across the USA over the next 60 days)
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To: thesearethetimes...

water lapping up on geraldos feet as we speak.


2,157 posted on 09/12/2008 8:17:19 PM PDT by mware (F-R-E-E, that spells free. FReerepublic,com baby)
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To: Overtaxed

Geraldo on now. I almost can’t stand to watch this, hate to see anyone hurt or killed.


2,158 posted on 09/12/2008 8:17:22 PM PDT by dougherty (I saw the angel in the marble and carved until I set him free. - Michelangelo)
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To: palmer

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2080674/posts?page=372#372

Take a look at the post linked above, and the link contained in that post.


2,159 posted on 09/12/2008 8:17:22 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Mozie
Hi Mozie. Watching this is heartbreaking.

These folks standing outside....many of the deaths in 1900 were cause by folks being decapitated by flying roof shingles...macabre detail

One other thing: The San Luis hotel where the news people will be spending the night is built on old Fort Crocker.

When my parents were first married and living across the street from Ft. Crocker in late 1945, there were still German POWs housed there, and my mother could see them out and about.

There is very little "high" ground on that island. Aunt and cousins of my grandfather managed to survive the 1900 storm. They lived a slight rise in the middleof the island, s. of the Strand area (downtown)..

2,160 posted on 09/12/2008 8:17:29 PM PDT by Molly Pitcher (We are Americans...the sons and daughters of liberty...*.from FReeper the Real fifi*))
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