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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: mware; AFPhys

If you’re in the center of the path of the eye. 4x12 =48.
That sounds about right.

As the storm approaches, the winds increase gradually. When the eyewall passes the winds stop almost completely so you go from 100+ mph to calm. The real problem is, when the eyewall is done passing over and hits again, you go from calm to about 100+ mph in a VERY short period of time. That’s where a big chuck of the damage is going to be done.


2,121 posted on 09/12/2008 8:09:44 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: eyedigress

The mayor is in the hotel while some of her citizens are in a crappy school.


2,122 posted on 09/12/2008 8:09:53 PM PDT by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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To: Mozie

ah yes! :)


2,123 posted on 09/12/2008 8:10:12 PM PDT by RDTF (my worst nightmare is being on jury duty sequestered with 11 liberals)
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To: devolve; dixiechick2000; MeekOneGOP; STARWISE

Thank you all for thoughts and prayers for all.


2,124 posted on 09/12/2008 8:10:22 PM PDT by potlatch ("OUR LIVES BEGIN TO END THE DAY WE REMAIN SILENT ABOUT THE THINGS THAT MATTER")
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To: NautiNurse

I have just three facts that I am keeping in mind, seawall versus no seawall, 952 instead of 931, and 110 mph instead of 135. The fact that it is spread out means a lot more coastal areas will be impacted but doesn’t change what happens in Galveston.


2,125 posted on 09/12/2008 8:10:35 PM PDT by palmer (Some third party malcontents don't like Palin because she is a true conservative)
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To: Abigail Adams

A breakwater.


2,126 posted on 09/12/2008 8:10:49 PM PDT by Mozie (Normal day, let me be aware of the treasure you are...)
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To: AFPhys

People have panicked in NC. Local news showed a station on I-85 in Greensboro with $5.99/gallon. Several stations are out of gas.


2,127 posted on 09/12/2008 8:11:21 PM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: RobFromGa

Not watching much TV now but was looking at Fox News Channel (cable).

Also see http://www.maroonspoon.com/wx/ike.html

Was following http://twitter.com/leighjones but she’s gone quiet, hopefully just power outage.


2,128 posted on 09/12/2008 8:11:34 PM PDT by 1066AD
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To: palmer

palmer: you seem out of the loop now... I don’t know how much you’ve been following this, but apparently this storm is so LARGE that the “typical” surge levels are being violated. It is causing much greater sea levels hundreds of miles away, according to many reports.

I’ll look for the post speaking about this.


2,129 posted on 09/12/2008 8:11:53 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Abigail Adams
What do the locals think about the San Luis?

They are piles of rocks... typically granite.. that are extended out several hundred yards into the water.

They are designed to help break up currents that cause beach erosion. But, they also make for good fishing.

2,130 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:01 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: conservativeinferno

True... I would have gone to Vegas personnaly.


2,131 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:01 PM PDT by eyedigress
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To: Amelia

Really and truly if they mean what they say you wonder who may be dead tomorrow.
God help them!


2,132 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:19 PM PDT by jackv
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To: AFPhys

Harrington (that’s his last name)

I saw a guy on CNN that I think is the one that everyone is talking about. The jacket he has on is royal blue, Harrington (Fox) had on a navy blue jacket.

The guy on CNN with the royal blue jacket is a camera man. He had a camera on his shoulder and there was huge waves coming up behind him but he seems to be ok from the clip I saw.


2,133 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:24 PM PDT by stlnative (HurraMcCain Palin will continue to build strength as it travels across the USA over the next 60 days)
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To: 1066AD

anyone know if the guy washed out to sea, was a camera man?? What station???


2,134 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:41 PM PDT by mware (F-R-E-E, that spells free. FReerepublic,com baby)
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To: RobFromGa

INMHO, KHOU’s Live stream seems to be best...


2,135 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:42 PM PDT by tcrlaf (SARAH PALIN-The American Everywoman (Yes, You Really CAN!))
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To: SomeCallMeTim

Oop.... Piles of rocks are JETTIES!

Guess I pasted the wrong thing!


2,136 posted on 09/12/2008 8:12:50 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: stlnative

Don’t have a clue. The newscasters didn’t indicate.

It was a royal blue coat.


2,137 posted on 09/12/2008 8:13:00 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: tioga

there are a few houses still there that were there in 1900, i understand.

none on stilts, though.


2,138 posted on 09/12/2008 8:13:01 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Abigail Adams

The jetties around here are walls of rocks built out into the water...I’m guessing they are in Texas also.

Here they are usually built alongside a shipping channel...keep the water deeper on the channel side and let sand build up on the other side.


2,139 posted on 09/12/2008 8:13:29 PM PDT by Amelia
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To: Dr. Scarpetta

power out in sw houston. posting via cell phonne. really hoped to get a few more hours. signing off, over and out. godspeed to all.


2,140 posted on 09/12/2008 8:13:29 PM PDT by ichabod1 (It's all fun and games until Russia starts invading Eastern Europe (pete))
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