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New Jersey: Clinton 51% Giuliani 40%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 16, 2007 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/16/2007 10:17:02 AM PDT by Kuksool

Hillary Clinton leads Rudy Giuliani 51% to 40% in an early look at the race for New Jersey’s Electoral Votes. A Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that Clinton has larger leads over other Republican Presidential hopefuls. She leads Fred Thompson by eighteen points (53% to 35%), John McCain by sixteen (52% to 36%), and Mitt Romney by twenty-four (55% to 41%).

Clinton is viewed favorably by 58% of Garden State voters while Giuliani earns positive reviews from 59%. Fifty percent (50%) offer a positive assessment of both Thompson and McCain while 39% express a favorable opinion of Romney.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of the state’s voters say it’s at least Somewhat Likely that Democrats will win New Jersey in Election 2008. Only 12% say it’s not likely.

Before that, however, there are state legislative elections featuring corruption and property tax relief as leading issues. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters say corruption is the top issue while 36% are more interested in property taxes. However, they don’t have much faith in either political party to address either issue.

Thirty-three percent (33%) say they trust Democrats more on the corruption issue while 29% prefer the GOP. Thirty-three percent (33%) don’t trust either party and 5% are not sure.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Jersey
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; nj2008
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To: MEGoody

Oddly enough, New Jersey happens to have some of the most reliably Republican districts in the nation. Scott Garrett, for example, represents a semi-rural district in the northwest corner of the state — and his track record makes him look like a rural Texan.


41 posted on 10/16/2007 11:06:32 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (I'm out on the outskirts of nowhere . . . with ghosts on my trail, chasing me there.)
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To: Kuksool
"Hillary Clinton leads Rudy Giuliani 51% to 40% in an early look at the race for New Jersey’s Electoral Votes."

How can this be?????? Rudy is going to carry NJ, PA, NY, and maybe CA too. He said so. That's why he doesn't need any of the So-Con vote. ROFLOL!

Everybody planning to vote for Rudy in the primary is setting up Hillary for the biggest win since FDR last ran, as well as the certain demise of the Republican party.

42 posted on 10/16/2007 11:08:15 AM PDT by penowa
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To: Slapshot68
If Giuliani can't win New Jersey, there isn't a blue state he can win. And, there are going to be multiple red states he loses.
43 posted on 10/16/2007 11:09:01 AM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: Slapshot68

Wasn’t NJ mentioned this week as having Al Qaeda operatives under surveillance? No wonder Hitlery is popular there. She never met a terrorist that she didn’t feel sorry for or want to surrender to.


44 posted on 10/16/2007 11:09:45 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: LS
“-—So far, I think only Rudy has a shot at taking OH.-—”

Um yes, but he loses Tennessee, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Iowa.

If he’s tied in Ohio NOW, how much is my non-vote going to sting his campaign in a turnout-based election?

45 posted on 10/16/2007 11:10:18 AM PDT by TitansAFC ("My 80% enemy is not my 20% friend" -- Common Sense)
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To: Kuksool

And you are surprised aboout this?


46 posted on 10/16/2007 11:10:19 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: mainerforglobalwarming
you pretty much have nailed it.

I do not care if the GOP candidate walks on water, NJ is lost, NY is lost, and Pa is gone.

It simply does not matter who either candidate is, thats how it will shake out.
Lets suppose the (hillary!) dies, okay?

Lets further suppose that by some twist of fate, that screaming Dean gets the nomination and Gore returns as VP.

They will win all of those states, and it doesn’t matter one whit who the GOP has running.

Its anyone but the GOP, and the electoral votes are there for them.

We need everything that we had, period.

Be prepared to have to say “President Clinton” again for another 8 years.

After that, it won’t matter.

47 posted on 10/16/2007 11:10:51 AM PDT by bill1952 (The 10 most important words for change: "If it is to be, it is up to me")
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To: Slapshot68
I’m fairly sure that no Republican will be able to win NJ or NY at this stage.

But, unlike Giuliani, there are actually Republican candidates that will hold the South and states like Colorado and Iowa.

Can you name one blue state where Giuliani has a lead at this point?

48 posted on 10/16/2007 11:11:56 AM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: Slapshot68
I’m fairly sure that no Republican will be able to win NJ or NY at this stage.

But, unlike Giuliani, there are actually Republican candidates that will hold the South and states like Colorado and Iowa.

Can you name one blue state where Giuliani has a lead at this point?

49 posted on 10/16/2007 11:12:21 AM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: Slapshot68
NJ is a liberal hotbed...no surprise here.

You're right and there's a message in there that all of the Rooty Rooters need to get -- Rooty Toot can't win ANY blue states AND he is likely to lose some borderline red states. That's why nominating Rooty will throw the election to the 'Rats. If the GOP nominates Rooty, it will be the first time in history that a major party has nominated someone who they don't even expect can carry their home state. How pathetic is that?

50 posted on 10/16/2007 11:13:27 AM PDT by wagglebee ("A political party cannot be all things to all people." -- Ronald Reagan, 3/1/75)
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To: Jigajog
Well if Rudy can’t compete in either NJ or NY why are we considering him as a nominee?

Exactly!! Most polls show clearly that Hillary continues to widen her lead over Rudy (see realclearpolitics.com). It wasn't that long ago that Rudy was ahead of her.

Rudy is unelectable for many reasons--the most obvious being that he will SPLIT and DIVIDE the Party WIDE OPEN, while demoralizing the base. I can't think of a better way to help elect Hillary.

However, there's another big reason why he can't win. Most candidates move to the center once nominated--Democrats move from the far left, somewhat to the center (well, at least they try....lol)--while Republicans move a little to the center coming from the other direction.

Rudy CANNOT do that. First of all, he is ALREADY to the 'left-of-center' so he can't move increase his overall voter appeal by moving towards the middle. Second, if he moves any further to the LEFT--he will alienate and risk losing whatever support he has left from the traditional base.

The sooner that Republicans realize that, the better.

51 posted on 10/16/2007 11:13:29 AM PDT by stockstrader (We need a conservative who will ENERGIZE the Party, not a liberal who will DEMORALIZE it!)
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To: LS
So, there isn't one blue state Giuliani is ahead in?

And, how many red states is he behind in?

52 posted on 10/16/2007 11:14:07 AM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: Slapshot68
I’m fairly sure that no Republican will be able to win NJ or NY at this stage.

Maybe I missed something along the way. I thought the entire Rooty Rooter theory was that Rooty Toots WOULD win liberal strongholds and that's why he needed to be the nominee.

Are you saying that he can only win the states that the GOP was going to win anyway? If that's the case he needs to drop out of the race now and let us put a real conservative in the race.

53 posted on 10/16/2007 11:16:22 AM PDT by wagglebee ("A political party cannot be all things to all people." -- Ronald Reagan, 3/1/75)
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To: All

Calm down everyone, these polls mean very little at this point.

The election is over a year away.

If the GOP runs a smart campaign (and admittedly, that’s a big if) there is no way she can win. The preponderance of VOTERS in this country are center-right. They’re not going to put a pro-marxist, tax-raising commie into the White House.


54 posted on 10/16/2007 11:17:09 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Kuksool
Actually New Jersey polls have shown Giulian either winning or at least in contention so this might be an outlier. New Jersey had Republican leanings or at least was a swing state until about 10 years ago. The GOP started to over identify with the south and Small town America and New Jersey swung to the Dem’s. For every action there is a reaction. With a swing to a urban candidate New Jersey can and will swing back. Check this out.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1106

55 posted on 10/16/2007 11:17:21 AM PDT by bilhosty
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To: DallasJ7
"Pretty much the ONLY advantage that I see to nominating Giuliani is that he appears to be competitive in Pennsylvania..."

That's because PA is the home of the braindead. Every Republican is competitive until it gets near time to vote because the braindead pay no attention to the race and feel compelled to answer SOMETHING when called by a pollster even though they have no idea who is running. About 60 days pre-election, they waken enough from their stupor to notice an election is coming. It's those TV ads that penetrate their flat line brains. That's when they show their true colors and prove that a Republican has no more chance of carrying PA than NJ or NY, unless there was a real conservative running who would reawaken the Reagan Democrats. Not a chance in '08 with the possibles on the Republican side, particularly Rudy.

56 posted on 10/16/2007 11:20:30 AM PDT by penowa
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To: bill1952

What are you saying Bill? That a GOP candidate can no longer win a national election because N.J., N.Y., and PA. are locks for the Dems? (I am not sure you are right about PA but I don’t know).


57 posted on 10/16/2007 11:21:10 AM PDT by Greg F (Duncan Hunter is a good man.)
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To: Kuksool
Anyone who’s ever been to Newark (or Camden) understands why NJ is RAT Country.(Pun most assuredly intended)
58 posted on 10/16/2007 11:23:01 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (If martyrdom is so cool,why does Osama Obama go to such great lengths to avoid it?)
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To: bilhosty
Rudy911 has been on a consistent slide in NJ. He has been down near 10 points or more in every Likely voters poll.

Let’s face it, the “Rudy wins NJ” line is just crap.

59 posted on 10/16/2007 11:23:12 AM PDT by TitansAFC ("My 80% enemy is not my 20% friend" -- Common Sense)
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To: Kuksool
telephone survey finds

Bump if you have call waiting and never answer these calls. Bump

60 posted on 10/16/2007 11:23:25 AM PDT by bmwcyle (BOMB, BOMB, BOMB,.......BOMB, BOMB IRAN)
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