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Tropical Storm Rita Live Thread
NHC - NOAA ^ | 18 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/18/2005 1:56:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Rita has developed from TD 18 in the Atlantic Ocean. TS Rita is currently located north of Hispaniola, the eastern tip of Cuba, and ESE of Nassau, Bahamas. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect for portions of Florida. Check for local weather statements.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only!
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live"
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - mms://216.242.118.141/broadband

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; lovelyrita; rita; tropical; weather
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To: mhking

I wonder if NO even HAD an emergency operations center. I don't remember bulletins from there. I'm sure the Houston-Galveston one is up and running.


981 posted on 09/19/2005 1:06:05 PM PDT by johnb838 (Logic and reason are tools of the white oppressor.)
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To: Lanza

He still seems not the least bit concerned about his residents safety.


Why should he? He has his evacuation in place....
Head to his new home in Frisco, Texas.


982 posted on 09/19/2005 1:07:14 PM PDT by LA Woman3 (On election day, they were driven to the polls...On evacuation day, they had to fend for themselves)
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To: SergeantsLady
North Padre ahhh. Was fishing there about 24 hrs. ago. About 3 mi. south of Bob Hall Pier. Didn't catch anything special but still a nice afternoon on the beach. I keep a trailer (April-October) in Port Aransas so I am watching Rita closely.
983 posted on 09/19/2005 1:07:33 PM PDT by nomorelurker (wetraginhell)
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To: Lanza


>>Now he's moaning about the Fema dude, saying he's crowned himself mayor. What a peice of work. He still seems not the least bit concerned about his residents safety.<,

I'm TV deprived at the moment. Did he say this in his news conference?


984 posted on 09/19/2005 1:07:35 PM PDT by sissyjane
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To: abb
And where, oh where will we find the drivers!!

Amen. LOL

985 posted on 09/19/2005 1:07:55 PM PDT by Hattie
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To: CindyDawg

Somebody asked. Or because it's a named storm? I guess because that means its a TS or Hurr. A little gulf coast penalty, I think he said.


986 posted on 09/19/2005 1:08:48 PM PDT by johnb838 (Logic and reason are tools of the white oppressor.)
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To: anymouse

I notice quite a few snails on my house, crawling straight up the walls, looking for high ground, I think.


987 posted on 09/19/2005 1:08:55 PM PDT by Sam Cree (absolute reality - Miami)
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To: shield

No, I agree with you, still way to early predict landfall and Rita is still a T.S. far far from a Carla like storm.


988 posted on 09/19/2005 1:08:56 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: johnb838

Jefferson Parish did, I remember. The Emergency Operations Director said that he was in charge when someone asked if Martial Law was being declared. He said, it pretty much already was and he was it. Which made me wonder if Aaron Broussard had any authority later.. I was confused later when he was crying. I thought he knew his Emergency Operation Director was the one in charge.


989 posted on 09/19/2005 1:09:05 PM PDT by james_f_hall
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To: ContemptofCourt
there is more info to look at then just recon..the storm has a better structure now and sometimes to takes time for the pressure to reflect it. also if all other things are equal tropical systems weaken some during the day..the pressure will rise a few MB..

Tropical Storm Rita Intermediate Advisory Number 7a

Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on September 19, 2005

...Rita nearing hurricane strength over the central Bahamas...

at 2 PM EDT...1800z...the government of the Bahamas has discontinued all warnings for the turks and caicos. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Exumas and for Andros Island in the northwest Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for all of the remainder of the Bahamas. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the extreme southern Florida Peninsula from Golden Beach southward to Florida City and westward to East Cape Sable...and for all of the Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to the Dry Tortugas...including Florida Bay.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Cuban provinces of Villa Clara and Matanzas. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the provinces of Ciudad de Habana...la Habana...and Pinar del Rio. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the provinces of Ciego de Avila...Sancti Spiritus...and Cienfuegos.

A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from Deerfield Beach Florida southward to north of Golden Beach...and a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from north of Deerfield Beach northward to Jupiter Inlet.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the extreme southwestern Florida Peninsula from west of East Cape Sable northward to Chokoloskee...and a tropical storm watch is in effect for the southwestern Florida coast from north of Chokoloskee to Englewood. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Tropical Storm Rita was located near latitude 23.1 north... longitude 75.9 west or about 30 miles south-southwest of Georgetown on great Exuma in the central Bahamas. This position is about 165 miles... 265 km... southeast of Nassau and about 380 miles east-southeast of Key West Florida.

Rita is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph... 23 km/hr... and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track...the center of Rita will pass over or near Andros Island in the Bahamas tonight...and approach the Florida Keys Tuesday morning.

Data from the stepped frequency microwave radiometer onboard a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...115 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours... and Rita could become a hurricane later today or tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 145 miles ...230 km from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb...29.32 inches.

Rita is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the southeastern and central Bahamas...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. Rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches possible for eastern and central Cuba. Storm totals of 6 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...will be possible in the Florida Keys and northwestern Cuba...with 3 to 5 inches possible across the southern Florida Peninsula.

Storm surge flooding of 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...are possible in the Florida Keys in areas of onshore flow. Coastal storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet is possible along the extreme southeastern Florida coast...and in the northwestern Bahamas. Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...23.1 N... 75.9 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.

990 posted on 09/19/2005 1:09:28 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Lanza

Did he start cussing again?


991 posted on 09/19/2005 1:09:30 PM PDT by WoodstockCat (General Honore: "The storm gets a vote... We're not stuck on stupid.")
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To: sissyjane

I don't think he's on just yet.


992 posted on 09/19/2005 1:09:30 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist (I'm on FReep so often that when I read an article at another site I scroll down for the comments.)
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To: Blennos
I have the same clause in my homeowners insurance. I am told it is common here in Louisiana.

Well, there you have it. We may have it in Texas by next year. It is not in the standard Texas HO policy.

993 posted on 09/19/2005 1:09:33 PM PDT by TX Bluebonnet
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To: Lanza

I have been amazed at the TOTAL lack of respect that he has shown to the Admiral and the POTUS....

whether he agrees or disagrees, likes or doesn't like them..the LEAST he should do, as an elected official, is show respect for others...

He is a disgrace for letting so many people die, but his lack of humility and respect just makes him contemptible in my book.


994 posted on 09/19/2005 1:09:39 PM PDT by Txsleuth
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To: mhking
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: Galveston's mayor has announced a voluntary evacuation of Galveston beginning at 2 p.m. Tuesday. Dozens of buses will be provided beginning at 10 a.m. Wednesday for anyone needing transportation off the island.

That's what planning and quick reaction does for you.

995 posted on 09/19/2005 1:09:49 PM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: No Blue States; Flyer; Dog Gone
Thanks for the link, those are important. Am going to repost the set. Flyer, Dog Gone, perhaps this may be useful to some on the Houston ping list?

Potential storm surge maps for the Houston area:

Chambers County

Liberty County

Harris County

Galveston County

Brazoria County

Matagorda County

996 posted on 09/19/2005 1:10:21 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: Types_with_Fist

Thanks


997 posted on 09/19/2005 1:10:34 PM PDT by sissyjane
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To: james_f_hall

Now that be a miracle *fizzle*...King Ranch would be perfect...Let's pray for that.


998 posted on 09/19/2005 1:10:51 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: floriduh voter

Aaarrrrgh! Excellent. In honor, I intend to preface all my posts with Aaarrrgh!


999 posted on 09/19/2005 1:11:19 PM PDT by johnb838 (Logic and reason are tools of the white oppressor.)
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To: johnb838

Ken Weathers with the Weather Channel (that's his real name!) said on Hannity that over the Keys it will be a Cat 1 or 2 and that now is the time to evacuate as it could do a lot of damage and knock out big bridges. He said Lake Ponchatrain in La. is definitely going to get a storm surge no matter what and the people should not come back to their homes. He said it has the potential to be as strong as Katrina! (Cat 4 or 5)


1,000 posted on 09/19/2005 1:11:34 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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