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Tropical Storm Rita Live Thread
NHC - NOAA ^ | 18 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/18/2005 1:56:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Rita has developed from TD 18 in the Atlantic Ocean. TS Rita is currently located north of Hispaniola, the eastern tip of Cuba, and ESE of Nassau, Bahamas. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect for portions of Florida. Check for local weather statements.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only!
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live"
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - mms://216.242.118.141/broadband

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; lovelyrita; rita; tropical; weather
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To: numberonepal
Here we go. 1515 GOES pic shows an eye forming. NHC seems to be forecasting a hurricane by this evening and a CAT 2 upon arrival just south of Key West.

Yep, saw that too.

621 posted on 09/19/2005 9:14:25 AM PDT by LikeLight
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To: Dog Gone
And there's not a good place for it to hit along upper Texas coast because we have refineries stretching from Corpus Christi to Lake Charles.

I really hate to say this, but best case would be for it to follow roughly in Katrina's track, because it will just be re-arranging the rubble in a lot of cases that way. It would be brutal for the people in the region, but would have the least impact on the economy that way.

622 posted on 09/19/2005 9:14:34 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: RDTF
"Maybe since I've been away a day or two, maybe he's the new crowned federal mayor of New Orleans."

THANK YOU!

623 posted on 09/19/2005 9:15:43 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: shield

Yep, the possibilities are all over the place. Ridge could move faster, stuff could also be coming in from the west faster than expected to prevent any northward movement(which would be back to a near straight-line move into a Corpus-Brownsville area.)

Should probably know by Wed.


624 posted on 09/19/2005 9:15:51 AM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: hobson

"GFDL doesn't look good for LA."

No! No! No!

*closes eyes, puts fingers in ears*

No! No! No!


625 posted on 09/19/2005 9:16:04 AM PDT by trillabodilla (Jesus Saves)
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To: dirtboy

I agree.


626 posted on 09/19/2005 9:16:12 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: RDTF
"Maybe since I've been away a day or two

Ain't that a kick in the head? The city's in ruins and he moves his family out of state and is not around for a couple of days at a stretch.

And then has the nerve to rip into the guy who's probably doing 20-hour days trying to deal with all the state and local screw-ups on this matter.

Nagin, go back to your family in Texas. And stay there. The people of the region would be better served if there WAS a new mayor.

627 posted on 09/19/2005 9:16:28 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: brytlea

Isn't he up for reelection in February?


628 posted on 09/19/2005 9:16:55 AM PDT by kara37
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To: dirtboy

Forty five years ago when i was a kid, there were "blank spots" along the gulf coast. Hurricanes had a chance to hit areas that were thinly populated. Not any more.


629 posted on 09/19/2005 9:17:07 AM PDT by abb (Because News Reporting is too important to be left to the Journalists.)
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To: shield

Whoa.


630 posted on 09/19/2005 9:18:53 AM PDT by txhurl
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To: NautiNurse

What's the situation after the storm passes?

I'm due to fly to Naples, Fla., on the west coast, on Wednesday for work (outdoors) on Thursday and Friday.

Will this prevent that?


631 posted on 09/19/2005 9:19:52 AM PDT by Redbob
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To: abb

The last real huricane to hit the upper Texas coast was Carla, another Carla would be horrible. A Carla hitting just west of Galveston would be a Sunami of horribles.


632 posted on 09/19/2005 9:20:44 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: ContemptofCourt

Another year like the past two and paradise to me is gonna be the Midwest!!!


633 posted on 09/19/2005 9:20:46 AM PDT by LBelle
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To: jpsb

I remember Carla. IIRC, it's where Gunga Dan got his first big break.


634 posted on 09/19/2005 9:21:24 AM PDT by abb (Because News Reporting is too important to be left to the Journalists.)
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To: RDTF

Nagin's comments are ridiculous. What an pompous ass he is.


635 posted on 09/19/2005 9:23:18 AM PDT by Gimme
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To: abb

We had snow here in Galveston area last winter, all the old timers say snow in the winter, huricane in the summer. We shall see if there is anything to this folk lore.


636 posted on 09/19/2005 9:24:08 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: Redbob

No.


637 posted on 09/19/2005 9:24:25 AM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: Diddle E. Squat
An interesting discussion taking place starting yesterday, continued discussion today at 2nd thread/link, below:

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=52630&st=0

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=52630&st=20

Says ridge will not move fast enough...continues with a N. Mex./S. TX hit.

638 posted on 09/19/2005 9:25:11 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: trillabodilla

FWIW, the GFDL is also forecasting Rita to turn into a CAT 5 monster in the Keys by tommorrow (ala the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane)....so you'll know soon if the model is onto something or out of its mind (likely the latter).


639 posted on 09/19/2005 9:26:35 AM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: jpsb

"Galveston, Oh Galveston"


640 posted on 09/19/2005 9:27:39 AM PDT by RDTF
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