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Posted on 09/18/2005 1:56:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Rita has developed from TD 18 in the Atlantic Ocean. TS Rita is currently located north of Hispaniola, the eastern tip of Cuba, and ESE of Nassau, Bahamas. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect for portions of Florida. Check for local weather statements.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only!
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live"
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - mms://216.242.118.141/broadband
Other Resources:
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Right now it looks kind of grim.
...Rita wobbles a little westward...expected to reach hurricane strength later tonight...
at 8 PM AST...0000z...all warnings are discontinued for the southeastern Bahamas.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cuban provinces of Villa Clara...Matanzas...Ciudad de Habana...and la Habana. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the provinces of Ciego de Avila...Sancti Spiritus...Cienfuegos...and Pinar del Rio.
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the extreme southern Florida Peninsula from Golden Beach southward to Florida City and westward to East Cape Sable...and for all of the Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to the Dry Tortugas...including Florida Bay.
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Exumas and for Andros Island in the northwest Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the remainder of the northwestern and central Bahamas.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from Deerfield Beach Florida southward to north of Golden Beach...and a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect along the Florida East Coast from north of Deerfield Beach northward to Jupiter Inlet...and for Lake Okeechobee.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the extreme southwestern Florida Peninsula from west of East Cape Sable northward to Chokoloskee....and a tropical storm watch is in effect for the southwestern Florida coast from north of Chokoloskee to Englewood.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Tropical Storm Rita was located near latitude 23.1 north... longitude 77.0 west or about 140 miles... 225 km... south-southeast of Nassau and about 315 miles... 510 km...east-southeast of Key West Florida.
Rita has wobbled westward during the past few hours. A motion toward the west-northwest near 13 mph...21 km/hr...is expected to resume later tonight and continue for the next 24 hours. On this track...the center of Rita will pass over or near Andros Island in the Bahamas tonight...and approach the Florida Keys Tuesday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours... and Rita is expected to become a hurricane later tonight.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles ...165 km from the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft was 993 mb...29.32 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...are possible in the Florida Keys in areas of onshore flow. Coastal storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet is possible along the extreme southeastern Florida coast...and in the northwestern Bahamas.
Rita is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the southeastern and central Bahamas...with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. Rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are possible for eastern Cuba. Storm totals of 6 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches... will be possible in the Florida Keys...and central and northwestern Cuba...with 3 to 5 inches possible across the southern Florida Peninsula.
Isolated tornadoes are possible later tonight and Tuesday over the Florida Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...23.1 N... 77.0 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 995 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Beven
Yeah, one the NG guys from our church is deployed down there. I was wondering about what they're gonna do about that.
Good heavens! They sure had better decide which way this thing is going.
You two need to compare notes - you might be neighbors!
...Rita wobbles a little westward...expected to reach hurricane strength later tonight...
Movement toward...west-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 995 mb.
Natch- Monday night:)
I don't think you missed anything you can't catch up on at FR...I just finished work for the day..have office at home so I'm lucky:)
Have the choppers brought in the icebergs yet to cool off the water?
She's moved 70 miles closer to Key West since the last report.
During a cane, we had a fire on the end of a wooden light pole last year. It was pouring rain at the time but lightning struck the light pole. The fire dept. came out to put out the light pole.
When the canes leave or even the outer bands, I walk around outside to see who's stuff blew where. Wind gusts are noisy and they love to take out oak trees.
Yep, Monday night.
You're right -- I am reading the threads to see what I missed.
Shhh...don't explain facts of deployment or logistics- the libs will never understand- they think life is a video game on demand.
Think we'll send her back to NO.
that'd be like dropping 3 sandbags in a 3 block breach of a levee and then wondering why choppers go back to rescuing people instead of dropping a sandbag or two..
Seems to me I heard some discussion about this going wnw for awhile til getting into the Gulf..and then at some point doing a little turn more north. I guess this will depend on how soon the cold front moves.
ROTFLOL!
Shoot, I thought we were going to drop a few surplus H-bombs into it, to see what it would do... my Vast Right Wing Conspiracy Decoder Ring must have a gremlin in it.
Taking a cruise, Pax?
Are you out of the Keys yet, or going to stay put? Just talked to my buddy from Key West, he's on his way, with wife and kids to Boca, passing thru Miami as we type.
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