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To: Dog Gone
Tropical Storm Rita Intermediate Advisory Number 8a

Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on September 19, 2005

 
...Rita wobbles a little westward...expected to reach hurricane
strength later tonight...

 
at 8 PM AST...0000z...all warnings are discontinued for the
southeastern Bahamas.

 
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cuban provinces of
Villa Clara...Matanzas...Ciudad de Habana...and la Habana.  A
Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the provinces of Ciego
de Avila...Sancti Spiritus...Cienfuegos...and Pinar del Rio.

 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the extreme southern Florida
Peninsula from Golden Beach southward to Florida City and westward
to East Cape Sable...and for all of the Florida Keys from Ocean
Reef to the Dry Tortugas...including Florida Bay.

 

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Exumas and for Andros
Island in the northwest Bahamas.  A Tropical Storm Warning is in
effect for the remainder of the northwestern and central Bahamas.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from
Deerfield Beach Florida southward to north of Golden Beach...and a
Tropical Storm Warning is in effect along the Florida East Coast
from north of Deerfield Beach northward to Jupiter Inlet...and for
Lake Okeechobee.

 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the extreme southwestern Florida
Peninsula from west of East Cape Sable northward to
Chokoloskee....and a tropical storm watch is in effect for the
southwestern Florida coast from north of Chokoloskee to Englewood.

 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours.  Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.  A
Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.  A
tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Tropical Storm Rita was located
near latitude 23.1 north... longitude 77.0 west or about 140
miles... 225 km... south-southeast of Nassau and about 315 miles...
510 km...east-southeast of Key West Florida.

 
Rita has wobbled westward during the past few hours.  A motion
toward the west-northwest near 13 mph...21 km/hr...is expected to
resume later tonight and continue for the next 24 hours.  On this
track...the center of Rita will pass over or near Andros Island in
the Bahamas tonight...and approach the Florida Keys Tuesday
morning.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near  70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...
and Rita is expected to become a hurricane later tonight.

 
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
...165 km from the center.

 
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
hurricane hunter aircraft was 993 mb...29.32 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels...along
with large and dangerous battering waves...are possible in the
Florida Keys in areas of onshore flow.  Coastal storm surge
flooding of 3 to 5 feet is possible along the extreme southeastern
Florida coast...and in the northwestern Bahamas.

 
Rita is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over the southeastern and central Bahamas...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches.  Rainfall accumulations of 3
to 6 inches are possible for eastern Cuba.  Storm totals of 6 to 10
inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches... will be
possible in the Florida Keys...and central and northwestern
Cuba...with 3 to 5 inches possible across the southern Florida
Peninsula.

 
Isolated tornadoes are possible later tonight and Tuesday over the
Florida Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula.

 
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...23.1 N... 77.0 W.  Movement
toward...west-northwest near 13 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 70 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 995 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 PM EDT.

 
Forecaster Beven

 

1,402 posted on 09/19/2005 4:40:14 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; alnick; Amelia; asp1; AntiGuv; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; Blennos; ..

...Rita wobbles a little westward...expected to reach hurricane strength later tonight...

Movement toward...west-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 995 mb.

1,407 posted on 09/19/2005 4:42:34 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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