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Posted on 08/29/2005 2:47:45 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Category 4 Hurricane Katrina is approaching landfall in Eastern Louisiana. At 4:00AM EDT the storm's center was about 90 miles south of New Orleans.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Lake Ponchartrain Real Time Water Level
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
Cut and Paste:
http://www.wwltv.com/perl/common/video/wmPlayer.pl?title=beloint_khou&props=livenoad
Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/
1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT
Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast
.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Since our earlier blog entry from producer Simon Temperton, who is with Jim Cantore in Gulfport, Miss., we have received several phone calls from both of them. They are safe, and floodwaters around the Armed Forces Retirement Home, where they are staying, have started to recede. Residents are staying on the 2nd through 5th floors in the building, out of harm's way. Jim estimates that storm surge may have reached an astounding 27 to 37 feet.
Here's what Jim reported at 1 p.m. ET:
"The water is down about 5 feet from where it was earlier. The parking lot is covered in water. Trees are stripped of their leaves. There is debris everywhere. There's roof damage we can see.... I can see our satellite truck and the vehicles that were with us, and they are now above water, at least part of them....
"For those of you who may have loved ones at the Armed Services Retirement Home, everyone is fine. Obviously everyone is shaken up, and there are some people who need medical attention. They have medicine, wheel chairs here... Right now, there's no air conditioning, which could be a problem for some of these people.
"Things are quieting down, but it's not a pretty sight out there."
http://www.weather.com/blog/weather/?from=wxcenter_news
"What about the news in Europe"
Who cares?
Lord, I hope that's out-flowing and not in-flowing.
Just spoke to my Father-in-law in Lamar Co., Oak Grove outside Hattiesburg, he has trees down everywhere in the yard a couple narrowly missed the house.
He went through Fredrick but said this was the worst ever in that area.
It has to do with angle of impact and the NW to SE direction of the small peninsula. As the hurricane passed over the peninsula going almost due north the first portion of the eye to regain water was the NE quadrant.
Hurricanes naturally seek fuel, and in the absence of sufficient fuel hurricanes in our hemisphere will tend to curve from the tropics to the nothwest through north and finally to the northeast. At that latitude hurricanes wihin the Gulf of Mexico have a natural tendency to the NNE. With the NE quadrant fiding fuel (warm water) first and the lifecycle tendency leaning that direction the hurricane naturally and predictably shifted slightly in that direction as it exited the coastal peninsula.
Yes, I know, sometimes hurricanes will move due west, even at that latitude and near land within the Gulf, but those cases are storms experiencing significant influence from adjacent pressure systems, and water temperature differentials. And in most cases those storms are already weak and continue weakening as they move counter to their natural tendency.
The short asnwer is that the minor shift was predictable. Speed, angle of impact, and strength at first strike are of huge importance when discussing the NO basin. I still fear that the destruction from this storm will prove to be massive, and that the early reports about 'dodging a bullett' are somewhat overstated. The Mississippi has yet to see the full impact of the rain runoff that will surely come in the following days. The potential for damage is far from over even though the winds may have passed.
"If you've seen Les Miserables, I'm not sure Inspector Javert is a character you want to be quoting."
Well, my young FReeper Friends, I read the book fifty-some years ago, long before the broadway musical was ever conceived.
I wasn't quoting Javert, but a FReeper who said, in essence, it is never justified to steal even if you are in dire straits, etc etc. and I sarcastically attributed her quote to Javert. Then I forgot my < SARCASM . tag!
That's a long explanation for a silly remark of mine, but just so you understand, I have ALWAYS hated Javert!!!
Portable gas stoves last only as long as you've got gas. If you're on city utilities gas, no telling if that will be available. And most folks don't have either.
I agree with you. and it appears that the levees around the lake have held up (??), so this adamant prediction from people like Bastardi that the eye moving east of NO would cause the north to south wind that would drive the lake into NO, did not pan out, those levees along the lake held.
Maybe there really is some natural protection there that saves N'Awlins every time.
They don't, actually. They're basically leaves floating in the stream of atmospheric winds, with the added "Beta Effect" of Coriolois which, all things being equal, continuously pushes them north.
I've been trying all day to get a report from Slidell....it seems since the French Quarter didn't get flooded, nothing else matters.
Generators too.
Thanks for the explanation......Where is the French Quarter?
yup, generators also!
Tornado sirens going off in Auburn Alabama (East Central Alabama). Katrina has a wide footprint!
Likely, electricity is out in those locations. The wait is excrutiating, but we should be hearing reports soon as the weather clears out. I know we have FReepers living in Covington.
My prayers for the safety of your families.
"They're saying that power might not be restored for a month. I cannot imagine trying to live in those conditions."
Perhaps it's time to take an extended vacation camping in the Rockies where it's cool? Come back when they have the electricity back up and running.
Glad your f-i-l is OK. Looks like Mississippi got the worst of it, esp. Gulfport and Biloxi. I'm still waiting to hear if they rescued those folks from the hopital that was coming apart down there.
TWC just reported from Covington. Didn't catch it all, but it didn't look too bad, typical snapped tree limbs and such.
The original, old part of the city was built on the island in the swamp. As they needed to expand the city, they built levees and drained land, but the old section is on the original firm ground
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