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Locked on 08/28/2005 8:10:53 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason: |
Posted on 08/28/2005 2:38:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Hell, it could for all I know. I guess there has to be a first time for everything, even for Joe Bastardi to make a good call.
I'm looking at the NO radar loop now - it looks to me that it would go just west of the city on it's present track, but it'll doubtless wobble on it's way in. The last loop I looked at, it looked like it was going even further west. No matter what, New orleans is in for a huge hit. There just isn't much room for it to make a really radical turn any more.
Heard on CMSNBC that the NO pumps can handle ONE INCH an HOUR..So if you have , say, 20 feet of flooding in the city..that's 10 days to pump it out..
"TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE COASTAL MARSHES AND WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 26 TO 28 HOURS"
WOW!
Not from the ME it doesn't...
at least that is what is being reported....
"He better be careful. Administrator was banning freepers today for making biblical comments."
Okay many people with families are going to die tonight. Is that better? The TV generation appears to think this is a gameshow (Real TV)... this is different, this is real.
Lurker
The Administrator doesn't ban people for those kinds of comment..
Well if they were charging $50.00 ahead to get in and only staying for 2 hrs it would be a different story!
Kill A Commie For Mommie
Seven Dead Monkeys Page O Tunes
Thank God. I would guess they are going to need alot of sedatives. God bless the medical folks who stayed to help.
No weapons, no drugs,No alcohol, No smoking!!!
Feel free to hypothesize how wind, even with debris, brings down a giant steel dome, encased in concrete. Save your fears for the rational world.I'll take a stab it it; you left out this part below - so I'm going to propose a wind and tide surge event:
The Superdome is built to withstand most catastrophes; the roof is estimated to be able to withstand up to 120 MPH wind, but flood waters could still possibly reach reach the second level 20 feet from the ground which makes this structure an unreliable shelter in severe rain and wind.
"the entire credibility of the national weather service and national hurricane center is on the line with this one. don't get me wrong, I am not saying its being "over hyped", I am just making an observation."
I disagree. It was just two days ago that this storm was at 100 mph and precicted to turn north towards the Fla. Gulf Coast. The New Orleans scenario was first predicted yesterday at NOAA's 11am update.
It took the City of New Orleans until this morning to issue official evacauation orders. There was nearly 22 hours difference between the time the evac orders were issued and the Noaa's 11.00am update yesterday.
It's a Galveston 1900 storm all over again.
"The idiot mayor of NO is a DemocRat, isn't he ?"
Don't know, but he sounds like one.
But you have time to ride around on that high horse?
Everyone here understands this is a dangerous night. Geraldo trying to pump the drama up like it's a suspense novel is still comedy.
why isn't wanding them sufficient?
Thanks.
With a pressure as low as 902, this is going to hit hard.
Oh dear. Sad. All we can do is hope for the best.
In the 4 PM WDSU broadcast they said they are confiscating lighters and cigarettes. If that is the case, it is gonna be REAL ugly inside the dome come tomorrow, hurricane hit or not.
They are fools to mess so much with people.
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