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Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
GREAT profile page.
Ya, I heard East St. Bernard, Plaquames (sp), and Terrebone were under mandatory orders. Myabe I heard wrong.
>>>I feel like I'm watching a train wreck that's inevitable. This is exactly what we've always feared. It was a virtual certainty to occur within the next 100 years, but I never expected it to happen next week.<<<
This does not look good at all. 50,000 people an hour? That is assuming they have their own transportation, and the money to buy gas. Last year in Pensacola, my two grandkids did not even have gas money to evacuate. They sheltered in place. Thank God they both made it through the night in good shape.
You also don't want to think about what corners were cut in its construction, in one of the most corrupt administrations the state ever had
I heard more than a few Audrey stories from my family when I was young.
The looters wont have long to enjoy their loot before they drown. The last time NO was threatened with a hurricane, I read somewhere that there is a large number of low-income citizens of NO that have no access to private transportation and that public transportation is woefully inadequate for evacuation purposes.
What year was Audrey? What was the casualty count??
I would imagine -- just a guess -- that lower Terrebonne, Lafourche and all of Plaqueminnes would be evacuated. They don't have a lot of time.
People said tornadoes always turned before hitting my hometown. That was until 1992. Luckily, it was a narrow one.
That's what I'm worried about.
That's for sure...turned out to be a nightmare...preparations for Andrew were lacking to such a degree...proved to be quite deadly... ;o(
1957. I can still remember it. I was 7 years old. IIRC, there were about 500 dead and missing. It was a June storm.
Very true, but if Nawlins dodges the bullet they'll get away with it. This is one of the balancing acts the governor is pondering over.
how many are boarding up, getting supplies etc?
Beats me. I gave up on the Weather Channel last night.
What a terrible scenario. I pray to God that this will never happen. It would be as bad as the Christmas tsunami last year.
Just saw a blip on TWC. They are calling for a direct hit at the mouth of the Mississippi... casually, I might add.
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