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Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Like I said, you can feel and see it swaying. I used to just transfix a stare on the bumper in front of me. Don't miss that crap a lick.
That is a scary thought! hours of waiting for it to pass!!
yikes....becoming more tightly clustered
Was expecting her to call for a kumbaya session in the Superdome.
My guess is that they want to clear out the areas south of NO and surrounding areas first (which are subject to mandatory evacuation orders), before clearing out NO itself, in order to regulate the traffic flow.
Blast it! Looks like it is going to go on its way out over Central PA. We had serious flooding from Ivan last September...lives were lost and properties inundated...all the way up here.
So, the damage from the hurricane is not over once it leaves its prime target.
Might prove handy. Links to radio and other media.
More likely getting the animals to line up two by two ...
I would hope they have state troopers doing traffic control on the road leading up to the bridge, so as to minimise traffic on the bridge when high winds hit
Mr. Long said that he was so scared that he had to put a paper bag over his head to block his view.
Disclaimer: My grandfather loves telling tall tales.
:-)
Blank-O is deserving of a lot of criticism, but she does have tough choices to face, even if she is incapable of making them. First, she is governor of a state that is last in virtually every good category and near first in every bad category. The state is broke and the expenses involved in an evacution are enormous (please don't compare expenses to lives, I'm sold, just trying to point out what faces her). Second, if Nawlins is evacuated, it would take every law enforcement officer south of the North Pole to stop the looting that will take place. Third, she is dealing with the least educated people in the US who have to be told everything and rarely think for themselves.
How many people on this thread would wait for the government to tell them to protect their families?
Where was that image originally found?
People could die in their cars as they try to evacuate if they do not act now.
...Category three Katrina moving westward in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico...little change in strength the past few hours...
a Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the southeastern coast of Louisiana east of Morgan City to the mouth of the Pearl River... including metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Ponchartrain. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
A Hurricane Watch will likely be required for other portions of the northern Gulf Coast later today or tonight. Interests in this area should monitor the progress of Katrina.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect west of Key West to the Dry Tortugas.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 1 PM CDT...1800z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located near latitude 24.5 north...longitude 85.4 west or about 390 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River and about 230 miles west of Key West Florida.
Katrina is moving toward the west near 7 mph. A gradual turn toward the west-northwest is expected during the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph...with higher gusts. Katrina is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and Katrina could become a category four hurricane.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 40 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles. NOAA buoy 42003 located northwest of the center recently reported sustained winds of 46 mph with a gust to 56 mph.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft is 949 mb...28.02 inches.
Storm surge flooding along the southwestern coast of Florida should subside today.
Katrina is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches over western Cuba...and 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is expected over the Yucatan Peninsula. Rainfall from Katrina should begin to push into the central Gulf Coast late Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening.
Repeating the 1 PM CDT position...24.5 N... 85.4 W. Movement toward...west near 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds...115 mph. Minimum central pressure... 949 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 4 PM CDT.
Forecaster Beven
How late can NO wait to order a full bugout and still get everyone away?
they need 60-72 hours....not enough time now
You're right. Places along creeks near our three rivers in Pittsburgh were destroyed.
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