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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:


WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: byebyebigeasy; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; miami; tropical; weather
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To: pax_et_bonum
I can't imagine being stopped on that bridge.

Like I said, you can feel and see it swaying. I used to just transfix a stare on the bumper in front of me. Don't miss that crap a lick.

561 posted on 08/27/2005 10:59:18 AM PDT by Types_with_Fist (I'm on FReep so often that when I read an article at another site I scroll down for the comments.)
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To: NautiNurse

That is a scary thought! hours of waiting for it to pass!!


562 posted on 08/27/2005 10:59:45 AM PDT by tutstar (OurFlorida.true.ws)
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To: nwctwx

yikes....becoming more tightly clustered


563 posted on 08/27/2005 11:00:34 AM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: sono

Was expecting her to call for a kumbaya session in the Superdome.


564 posted on 08/27/2005 11:00:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: SauronOfMordor

My guess is that they want to clear out the areas south of NO and surrounding areas first (which are subject to mandatory evacuation orders), before clearing out NO itself, in order to regulate the traffic flow.


565 posted on 08/27/2005 11:01:19 AM PDT by Torie
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To: Blennos
This one's gotten me goosey in the past...it's in California's San Marcos Pass (on the way to the Reagan Ranch above Santa Barbara)...it's waaaaay high and feels reallllly skinny when you're on board.


566 posted on 08/27/2005 11:02:03 AM PDT by ErnBatavia (Cindy, ya shoulda stuck with "offshore drilling" as your cause)
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To: nwctwx

Blast it! Looks like it is going to go on its way out over Central PA. We had serious flooding from Ivan last September...lives were lost and properties inundated...all the way up here.

So, the damage from the hurricane is not over once it leaves its prime target.


567 posted on 08/27/2005 11:02:26 AM PDT by Palladin (America! America! God shed His grace on Thee.)
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To: rwfromkansas
Just ran across this: New Orleans Website directory.

Might prove handy. Links to radio and other media.

568 posted on 08/27/2005 11:02:35 AM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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To: NautiNurse

More likely getting the animals to line up two by two ...


569 posted on 08/27/2005 11:03:08 AM PDT by sono
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To: pax_et_bonum
I can't imagine being stopped on that bridge.

I would hope they have state troopers doing traffic control on the road leading up to the bridge, so as to minimise traffic on the bridge when high winds hit

570 posted on 08/27/2005 11:03:13 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor
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To: Melpomene; Types_with_Fist
My grandfather told me that just after that bridge was built Huey P. Long himself was given a ride over it in a car.

Mr. Long said that he was so scared that he had to put a paper bag over his head to block his view.

Disclaimer: My grandfather loves telling tall tales.

:-)

571 posted on 08/27/2005 11:03:19 AM PDT by pax_et_bonum
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To: NautiNurse

Blank-O is deserving of a lot of criticism, but she does have tough choices to face, even if she is incapable of making them. First, she is governor of a state that is last in virtually every good category and near first in every bad category. The state is broke and the expenses involved in an evacution are enormous (please don't compare expenses to lives, I'm sold, just trying to point out what faces her). Second, if Nawlins is evacuated, it would take every law enforcement officer south of the North Pole to stop the looting that will take place. Third, she is dealing with the least educated people in the US who have to be told everything and rarely think for themselves.

How many people on this thread would wait for the government to tell them to protect their families?


572 posted on 08/27/2005 11:03:52 AM PDT by Founding Father (According to the Pres, I'm a vigilante; according to me, he's a Fox butt kisser)
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To: ErnBatavia
You may as well put me in a big sling shot and toss me to the other side, 'cause I ain't gonna drive over that one.
573 posted on 08/27/2005 11:04:19 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Can we swap Cindy Sheehan in Crawford for Cindy Crawford anywhere?)
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To: Dog Gone

Where was that image originally found?


574 posted on 08/27/2005 11:04:33 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: pax_et_bonum

People could die in their cars as they try to evacuate if they do not act now.


575 posted on 08/27/2005 11:04:42 AM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: Strategerist
This is not what you say it is...a nurse who was in Andrew wrote a book about her experience...she was an eyewitness...I don't buy into the conspiracy theories...
576 posted on 08/27/2005 11:05:04 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: tutstar
Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 17a

Statement as of 1:00 PM CDT on August 27, 2005

 
...Category three Katrina moving westward in the southeastern Gulf
of Mexico...little change in strength the past few hours...

 
a Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the southeastern coast of
Louisiana east of Morgan City to the mouth of the Pearl River...
including metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Ponchartrain.  A
Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within
the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
A Hurricane Watch will likely be required for other portions of the
northern Gulf Coast later today or tonight.  Interests in this area
should monitor the progress of Katrina.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect west of Key West to the
Dry Tortugas.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 1 PM CDT...1800z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located
near latitude 24.5 north...longitude  85.4 west or about  390 miles
southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River and about  230
miles west of Key West Florida.

 
Katrina is moving toward the west near  7 mph.  A gradual turn
toward the west-northwest is expected during the next 24 hours.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph...with higher gusts. 
Katrina is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. 
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and
Katrina could become a category four hurricane.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  40 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150
miles. NOAA buoy 42003 located northwest of the center recently
reported sustained winds of 46 mph with a gust to 56 mph.

 
The latest minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA hurricane
hunter aircraft is  949 mb...28.02 inches.

 
Storm surge flooding along the southwestern coast of Florida should
subside today.

 
Katrina is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches
over western Cuba...and 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is expected over
the Yucatan Peninsula.  Rainfall from Katrina should begin to push
into the central Gulf Coast late Sunday afternoon into Sunday
evening.

 
Repeating the 1 PM CDT position...24.5 N... 85.4 W.  Movement
toward...west near  7 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...115 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 949 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 4 PM CDT.

 
Forecaster Beven

577 posted on 08/27/2005 11:05:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

How late can NO wait to order a full bugout and still get everyone away?


578 posted on 08/27/2005 11:06:40 AM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
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To: mewzilla

they need 60-72 hours....not enough time now


579 posted on 08/27/2005 11:08:05 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Palladin

You're right. Places along creeks near our three rivers in Pittsburgh were destroyed.


580 posted on 08/27/2005 11:08:26 AM PDT by beyond the sea ("I was just the spark the universe chose ....." --- Cindy Sheehan (barf alert))
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