Someone needs to explain why the politicians in New Orleans issued statements about not worrying or leaving the city. That city is probably the most vulnerable to a hurricane in our nation.
Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.
The following links are self-updating.
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
The latest models look very bad. A direct hit by a Cat 4/5 on New Orleans would be the biggest natural disaster this country has ever seen on many levels.
1) Immeasurable loss of life. Everyone who doesn't leave the "bowl" will either drown and those that don't will be stranded for days in contaminated water. Worst case Projections call for 50,000-250,000 deaths.
2) A huge chunk of the crude oil the United States consumes (I read 30%) is off the Louisiana coast. A nasty Cat 5 will cause $4.00 gas.
no one was talking about New Orleans until these latest models came in.
Not if live in Montana! 8-)
Not if you live in Montana! 8-)
Bump!
Larry Cosgrove Comments on Katrina
http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=47228
From your link....not a fun scenario!
Anybody wanting to wait til Monday to gas up, could probably save a buck or two by doing it now.
Just dropped daughter off at Florida State Univ. Can anyone tell me the distance from Tallahassee to the Gulf of Mexico?
And has anyone ever been in Tallahassee when a Major Hurricane has hit?
Thanks!
Tomorrow is where the going gets really tough. If they stick with a forecast with New Orleans in sight, NO needs 72 hours evac lead time.
Twas a mess last year. They have cleaned up some of the problems.
The 1-10 was a parking lot from New Orleans to Baton Rouge.
For some reason, nobody cut across LA-30 from Gonzales to Baton Rouge so I was still able to go to work, but I think it was taking 12 hours to go the 70 or so miles from NO to Baton Rouge.
NO...heads up...WOW...
Tallahassee is ~20 miles from the coast.
I don't think Katrina will be throwing Mardi Gras beads!
That's good to hear.
Someone needs to explain why the politicians in New Orleans issued statements about not worrying or leaving the city. That city is probably the most vulnerable to a hurricane in our nation.
"The latest models look very bad. A direct hit by a Cat 4/5 on New Orleans would be the biggest natural disaster this country has ever seen on many levels.
1) Immeasurable loss of life. Everyone who doesn't leave the "bowl" will either drown and those that don't will be stranded for days in contaminated water. Worst case Projections call for 50,000-250,000 deaths."
.......Folks, this is NOT hyperbole. The saddest fact, many will not leave N.O. for a host of reasons.
Thanks - 20 miles - now something else for me to worry about.
I'm not defending them understand, but after all the heat they caught last year, they're prolly scared to pull the trigger too soon.
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