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Hurricane Emily (Live Thread, Part II)
NHC-NOAA ^ | 16 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...

Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.

Caribbean IR Loop

Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image

Western Caribbean Bouy Data

Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images

Grand Cayman Weather

Cozumel Weather

Cancun Weather

Cancun Radar Very Slow Load

Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions



Some more resources:

Hurricane City

Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)

Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband

Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info

Another colorful IR Satellite loop


The Saffir-Simpson Scale. Source: Hurricane Categories
Category Wind Speed Barometric
Pressure
Storm Surge Damage Potential
1
(weak)
75 - 95 mph
65 - 82 kts
33 - 42 m/s
> 28.94 in. Hg
> 980.0 mb
> 97.7 kPa
4.0 - 5.0 ft.
1.2 - 1.5 m
minimal damage to vegetation
2
(moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
43 - 49 m/s
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg
965.1 - 979.7 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
6.0 - 8.0 ft.
1.8 - 2.4 m
moderate damage to houses
3
(strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 113 kts
50 - 58 m/s
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg
945.1 - 964.8 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
9.0 - 12.0 ft.
2.7 - 3.7 m
extensive damage to small buildings
4
(very strong)
131 - 155 mph
114 - 135 kts
59 - 69 m/s
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg
920.1 - 944.8 mb
91.7 - 94.2 kPa
13.0 - 18.0 ft.
3.9 - 5.5 m
extreme structural damage
5
(devastating)
> 155 mph
> 135 kts
> 70 m/s
< 27.17 in Hg
< 920.1 mb
< 91.7 kPa
> 18.0 ft
> 5.5 m
catastrophic building failures possible


Hurricane Emily Live Thread, Part I


TOPICS: Mexico; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: emily; hurricane; hurricaneemily; tropical; weather
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To: nhoward14
929mb sets a record low pressure for July, right?

Yes--Emily has broken the record for July recorded history.

161 posted on 07/16/2005 5:08:26 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Tuxedo
Can't even imagine a 4 or 5.

As a bona fide hurricane magnet...I can't fathom a Cat 4-5 direct hit either.

162 posted on 07/16/2005 5:10:05 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
I'll start hitting it hard starting tomorrow. FR is blocked from work so I won't be around during the daytime hours during the week.

Been busy at work this week, went to Birmingham last night to see the American Idol Tour concert. Great Show -- Bo and Carrie were awesome. Obviously Bo dominated the show since it was in his home town.

Today is a kick back and rest day.

163 posted on 07/16/2005 5:10:13 PM PDT by commish ((Montgomery, AL) Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: NautiNurse
Yes--Emily has broken the record for July recorded history.

Almost makes you wonder what we should expect in August and September. I have to go to Galveston for a conference in October. Hope it will still be there. They have a big seawall now.

164 posted on 07/16/2005 5:10:17 PM PDT by Tuxedo (This space for rent)
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To: NautiNurse

Are you near Wrightsville Beach?


165 posted on 07/16/2005 5:11:54 PM PDT by Tuxedo (This space for rent)
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To: nhoward14
Yes, Emily is now the strongest July storm on record. Unless she starts and ERC (ectremely unlikely) Emily will probably be the first Jult Cat 5 storm Ever at the 11 PM advisory.

I personally think Dennis topped CAT 5 right before landfall in Cuba, but the NHC has yet to confirm that.

166 posted on 07/16/2005 5:12:01 PM PDT by commish ((Montgomery, AL) Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: NautiNurse

:) Thanks for the welcome! I'm watching this one - one of the tracks showed it going west of us.. if that's the case it should dump a bunch of rain ... good for us - not so great for the coast... :(

My oldest son is THRILLED at the prospect he's quite the storm lover.. laugh..


167 posted on 07/16/2005 5:13:33 PM PDT by pamlet
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To: Tuxedo
Almost makes you wonder what we should expect in August and September.

I can promise you--those of us in Florida can't even process expectations for the next two months. It's too much, too soon. Alabama will concur too.

168 posted on 07/16/2005 5:13:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Tuxedo
Are you near Wrightsville Beach?

lol--lived in NC before moving to FL.

169 posted on 07/16/2005 5:14:57 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Tuxedo
Almost makes you wonder what we should expect in August and September

Actually, early August at least and maybe into late August should be fairly mild as far as Gulf Storms go. Dennis and Emily have done a good job of churning the waters of the Caribbean and the gulf, and the water temps may be lower than normal during August.

Won't affect storms forming in the Atlantic, but it could keep those storms from intensifying if they make into the Caribbean or gulf.

Of course that doesn't mean that the East Coast may not get raked.

170 posted on 07/16/2005 5:15:33 PM PDT by commish ((Montgomery, AL) Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: pamlet

Don't you just love (most times) the fearlessness of youth?


171 posted on 07/16/2005 5:16:20 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Ah, a Floridian! My predecessor left her chemist job to become an insurance adjuster in Florida last year. Made a lot of money from what I heard. Not a job I would want to have.


172 posted on 07/16/2005 5:16:29 PM PDT by Tuxedo (This space for rent)
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To: commish

Glad you found us this evening--looking forward to another visit soon. Everyone appreciates your thoughtful storm analyses. :o)


173 posted on 07/16/2005 5:18:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the links. Even with dialup I was able to load the loops. Pretty cool.

NN, I don't think I'm on your hurricane ping list, so would you add me, please.


174 posted on 07/16/2005 5:19:31 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: Tuxedo
Ah, a Floridian!

Ha! Was NC storm battered before moving to FL.

175 posted on 07/16/2005 5:20:27 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Laugh... oh yeah - thankfully he's a pretty responsible 21 year old and knows his school and work come first.. He's been yammering about being a storm chaser tho'.. eekk..

We lived in Raleigh before TX! Saw you're from NC..


176 posted on 07/16/2005 5:21:01 PM PDT by pamlet
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To: NautiNurse

177 posted on 07/16/2005 5:26:24 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: Tuxedo
Are you near Wrightsville Beach?

You weren't asking me but I can't resist replying ... LOL! I grew up in Wilmington and spent many a day at Wrightsville Beach. We live west of Charlotte now and miss the beach, though it's definitely not the same place it was in my childhood/teen years.

178 posted on 07/16/2005 5:27:01 PM PDT by kayak (Have you prayed for your President today?)
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To: NautiNurse

I'll make a deal with ya.........you come up here for the summer/fall in PA and we'll come down there for the winter. How's that sound? ;-)


179 posted on 07/16/2005 5:28:27 PM PDT by sfimom ('Mommy why did they kill her cause she couldn't talk?' (my daughter age8))
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To: Flyer; humblegunner

ROFL, I'll never look at Jamaica the same again.


180 posted on 07/16/2005 5:33:17 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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