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Britain faces big chill as ocean current slows
The Sunday Times ^

Posted on 05/08/2005 8:21:59 AM PDT by velyrorenry

CLIMATE change researchers have detected the first signs of a slowdown in the Gulf Stream — the mighty ocean current that keeps Britain and Europe from freezing.

They have found that one of the “engines” driving the Gulf Stream — the sinking of supercooled water in the Greenland Sea — has weakened to less than a quarter of its former strength.

The weakening, apparently caused by global warming, could herald big changes in the current over the next few years or decades. Paradoxically, it could lead to Britain and northwestern and Europe undergoing a sharp drop in temperatures.

Such a change has long been predicted by scientists but the new research is among the first to show clear experimental evidence of the phenomenon.

Peter Wadhams, professor of ocean physics at Cambridge University, hitched rides under the Arctic ice cap in Royal Navy submarines and used ships to take measurements across the Greenland Sea.

“Until recently we would find giant ‘chimneys’ in the sea where columns of cold, dense water were sinking from the surface to the seabed 3,000 metres below, but now they have almost disappeared,” he said.

“As the water sank it was replaced by warm water flowing in from the south, which kept the circulation going. If that mechanism is slowing, it will mean less heat reaching Europe.”

Such a change could have a severe impact on Britain, which lies on the same latitude as Siberia and ought to be much colder. The Gulf Stream transports 27,000 times more heat to British shores than all the nation’s power supplies could provide, warming Britain by 5-8C.

Wadhams and his colleagues believe, however, that just such changes could be well under way. They predict that the slowing of the Gulf Stream is likely to be accompanied by other effects, such as the complete summer melting of the Arctic ice cap by as early as 2020 and almost certainly by 2080. This would spell disaster for Arctic wildlife such as the polar bear, which could face extinction.

Wadhams’s submarine journeys took him under the North Polar ice cap, using sonar to survey the ice from underneath. He has measured how the ice has become 46% thinner over the past 20 years. The results from these surveys prompted him to focus on a feature called the Odden ice shelf, which should grow out into the Greenland Sea every winter and recede in summer.

The growth of this shelf should trigger the annual formation of the sinking water columns. As sea water freezes to form the shelf, the ice crystals expel their salt into the surrounding water, making it heavier than the water below.

However, the Odden ice shelf has stopped forming. It last appeared in full in 1997. “In the past we could see nine to 12 giant columns forming under the shelf each year. In our latest cruise, we found only two and they were so weak that the sinking water could not reach the seabed,” said Wadhams, who disclosed the findings at a meeting of the European Geosciences Union in Vienna.

The exact effect of such changes is hard to predict because currents and weather systems take years to respond and because there are two other areas around the north Atlantic where water sinks, helping to maintain circulation. Less is known about how climate change is affecting these.

However, Wadhams suggests the effect could be dramatic. “One of the frightening things in the film The Day After Tomorrow showed how the circulation in the Atlantic Ocean is upset because the sinking of cold water in the north Atlantic suddenly stops,” he said.

“The sinking is stopping, albeit much more slowly than in the film — over years rather than a few days. If it continues, the effect will be to cool the climate of northern Europe.”

One possibility is that Europe will freeze; another is that the slowing of the Gulf Stream may keep Europe cool as global warming heats the rest of the world — but with more extremes of weather.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: archaeology; climatechange; dramaqueen; ggg; globalwarminghoax; godsgravesglyphs; history; suvs
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no need to attack the messenger :-). This can be measured, why it happened it may be a whole different story.
1 posted on 05/08/2005 8:21:59 AM PDT by velyrorenry
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To: velyrorenry

we're DOOMED!!!!

It is all Bush's fault!!!

:)


2 posted on 05/08/2005 8:23:02 AM PDT by MikefromOhio (I joined the EEEVVIILLLL Sam's Club on Friday, April 22nd, 2005.....)
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To: velyrorenry

I think it will probably happen the day after tomorrow.


3 posted on 05/08/2005 8:23:03 AM PDT by TFine80
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To: velyrorenry
Well, personally, I hope it happens.

Then the new Islamic State of Europe will be nothing more than a frozen tundra.

4 posted on 05/08/2005 8:24:13 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Not Elected Pope Since 4/19/2005.)
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To: velyrorenry

So? Global Warming will offset the "chill" and keep them warm...right?


5 posted on 05/08/2005 8:24:18 AM PDT by Dallas59 (" I have a great team that is going to beat George W. Bush" John Kerry -2004)
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To: TFine80

Bingo


6 posted on 05/08/2005 8:24:50 AM PDT by BenLurkin (O beautiful for patriot dream - that sees beyond the years)
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To: velyrorenry

I swear just a few months ago I read an article saying how much hotter Britain was getting and at the end of the century all the native plants would have died out and they'd be growing banananas. I wish these scientists would make up their minds.


7 posted on 05/08/2005 8:25:31 AM PDT by Eepsy
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To: velyrorenry

Oh good. I don't like summer anyway.

Regards, Ivan


8 posted on 05/08/2005 8:25:34 AM PDT by MadIvan (One blog to bring them all...and in the Darkness bind them: http://www.theringwraith.com/)
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To: velyrorenry

So we need to stock up on long undies and furs to prepare for global warming.


9 posted on 05/08/2005 8:26:00 AM PDT by gitmo (Thanks, Mel. I needed that.)
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To: velyrorenry
However, Wadhams suggests the effect could be dramatic. “One of the frightening things in the film The Day After Tomorrow showed how the circulation in the Atlantic Ocean is upset because the sinking of cold water in the north Atlantic suddenly stops,” he said.

Impeccable scientific reference, wot?

/sarc

10 posted on 05/08/2005 8:26:08 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (Grant no power to government you would not want your worst enemies to wield against you.)
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To: velyrorenry

SUVs are doing it.

They have caused every ice age so far and they are behind this one too!


11 posted on 05/08/2005 8:26:14 AM PDT by BenLurkin (O beautiful for patriot dream - that sees beyond the years)
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To: velyrorenry

Stand by for the next trend in enviro-doom-and-gloom:

Global warming OUT
Global cooling IN


12 posted on 05/08/2005 8:27:21 AM PDT by Excuse_My_Bellicosity (Proud infidel since 1970.)
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To: MikeinIraq
Image hosted by Photobucket.com

We are DOOMED again! :-)

13 posted on 05/08/2005 8:28:49 AM PDT by tiredoflaundry (Some stories have more spin cycles than my Kenmore washer!)
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To: MadIvan
Oh good. I don't like summer anyway.

Anything below 70 is cold. Bring on the warmth!

14 posted on 05/08/2005 8:29:04 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: velyrorenry

Let me get this straight...

The supercold water is not sinking,
which will slow or stop the Gulf Stream.

All this supercold surface water and no Gulf Stream warming will cause the polar ice cap to melt and Europe to freeze.

You betcha.


15 posted on 05/08/2005 8:30:36 AM PDT by CPOSharky (You are born cold, wet, and hungry. Things get worse, then you die.)
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To: MikeinIraq

Not our problem.


16 posted on 05/08/2005 8:31:03 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: tiredoflaundry

LOL!!!


17 posted on 05/08/2005 8:32:15 AM PDT by MikefromOhio (I joined the EEEVVIILLLL Sam's Club on Friday, April 22nd, 2005.....)
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To: velyrorenry; mhking; MeekOneGOP; Darksheare

This is the most incredible piece of BS to come out of the drugged out minds of the Global Warming Watermelon Clowns yet.

The UK is going to freeze due to Global Warming.

If you are concerned about Global warming. Stop eating and breathing.

18 posted on 05/08/2005 8:32:33 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (The MSM has been a WMD, Weapon of Mass Disinformation for the Rats for at least 5 decades.)
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To: velyrorenry

But with more sunlight reaching the surface, we should be okay, right? Right? Somebody please tell me it's going to be okay. Somebody! Please!

I don't feel so good. I don't think I can go into work today. This is horrible, just horrible. I feel sick and betrayed by my country and my species. How can people let this happen? It's those D*mn rich people that Bush is protecting, the wealthiest 1%. That's who it is. Oh, why couldn't Kerry have won the election? Wait, he did win, but it was stolen from him - stolen from us! In Ohio! It's all Ohio's fault! I hope Ohio freezes first because of the global warming!

(/DU mode)


19 posted on 05/08/2005 8:32:49 AM PDT by SlowBoat407 (Couldn't you have stopped shooting at us and watched your baby grow instead?)
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To: velyrorenry
It wasn't until the third paragraph that they blamed cooler weather or "global warming." Must have been a young writer who didn't know that global warming should get top billing. Is there anything that isn't caused by global warming?

We could do with some relief from increased temperatures where I live. Is summer caused by global warming?

20 posted on 05/08/2005 8:32:57 AM PDT by FreePaul
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