Posted on 10/31/2004 1:41:04 PM PST by nj26
President George W. Bush holds a slight edge over Senator John Kerry in the final days of Campaign 2004. The Pew Research Center's final pre-election poll of 1,925 likely voters, conducted Oct. 27-30, finds Bush with a three-point edge (48% to 45% for Kerry); Ralph Nader draws 1%, and 6% are undecided.
The poll finds indications that turnout will be significantly higher than in the two previous presidential elections, especially among younger people. Yet Bush gets the boost Republican candidates typically receive when the sample is narrowed from the base of 2,408 registered voters to those most likely to vote. (Among all registered voters, Kerry and Bush are in a virtual tie: 46% Kerry, 45% Bush).
moderator.. please edit title.. 45 for K
Pew usually includes too many Democrats, so this isn't bad at all. Still waiting for the 800 pound gorill poll (Gallup).
It's Pews way of having it both ways. No matter what the result, they're right.
This is probably the poll that Josh Marshall was talking about, eh?
This must be the 3 point Bush lead poll folks had been saying would come out tonight . . . that still leaves some other big polls to come out tonight also . . .
Guess this was the poll that Marshall was talking about. This is a three point improvement for the President. My recollection is the last Pew poll showed it tied.
This is probably the poll referred to here: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1263996/posts?page=21
Damn that's close, but I'll take it!
my thought exactly... well, if my paycheck depended on polling, I might do the same thing.. something to think about when we read these
Andrew Kohut must be in the back room gnashing his teeth.
Awesome! They estimate undecideds breaking to Bush 51%... This confirms what ABC and others have found - leaners going to the President... Maybe they don't love his first term, but they are leaning to voting for him... God bless them!!
Ooooooooohhhh i like that last figure....estimated undecideds
This must be the poll that Marshall blogger was talking about. Gallup, Time, and CBS/NY Times still have to release theirs.
Yes,Pew...told everybody to just wait n see
This is good news. Pew is notoriously leftist.
If the majority opinion of Free Republic is right, this poll is way off, as are all other polls apparently.
Also, the last Pew poll was tied at 47, so President Bush has since gained three points.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.