Andrew Kohut must be in the back room gnashing his teeth.
It's time for the reluctant CYA polls showing 3-4 point W lead. Then, when it actually ends-up being 5-6 points they can say they were acceptably close.
I think it was Andrew Card that said earlier today that they felt the undecideds were breaking 60/40 Bush (of course, McAwful said on another show that it was about 65% sKerry).
I did hear a few weeks ago, and again this am that they are expecting a far larger turnout than normal and that all the poll models are for a much smaller number. So, if the votes are huge, all the poll #s can go out the window (don't ask me - I'm not a poller and don't know anything about polling models - I can guess, but that wouldn't be prudent.
Adding 1-2 points to the Kerry total (expected vote fraud), yields: Bush 51%, Kerry 50%, Nader 1%.