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To: nj26
Pew's final survey suggests that the remaining undecided vote may break only slightly in Kerry's favor. When both turnout and the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account in Pew's final estimate, Bush holds a slight 51%-48% margin.

Andrew Kohut must be in the back room gnashing his teeth.

12 posted on 10/31/2004 1:43:47 PM PST by KellyAdmirer
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To: KellyAdmirer

It's time for the reluctant CYA polls showing 3-4 point W lead. Then, when it actually ends-up being 5-6 points they can say they were acceptably close.


32 posted on 10/31/2004 1:46:48 PM PST by Cedric
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To: KellyAdmirer

I think it was Andrew Card that said earlier today that they felt the undecideds were breaking 60/40 Bush (of course, McAwful said on another show that it was about 65% sKerry).

I did hear a few weeks ago, and again this am that they are expecting a far larger turnout than normal and that all the poll models are for a much smaller number. So, if the votes are huge, all the poll #s can go out the window (don't ask me - I'm not a poller and don't know anything about polling models - I can guess, but that wouldn't be prudent.


39 posted on 10/31/2004 1:49:04 PM PST by Seattle Conservative (Seattle Conservative)
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To: KellyAdmirer
When both turnout and the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account in Pew's final estimate, Bush holds a slight 51%-48% margin.

Adding 1-2 points to the Kerry total (expected vote fraud), yields: Bush 51%, Kerry 50%, Nader 1%.

95 posted on 10/31/2004 5:21:12 PM PST by Mad_Tom_Rackham (Time to let slip the dogs...)
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