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The Reason The Democrats And The MSM Are Getting Frantic
http://denbeste.nu/special/polltrends.shtml ^

Posted on 10/18/2004 2:44:51 AM PDT by JessieHelmsJr

Great analysis

(Excerpt) Read more at denbeste.nu ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: niceexcerpt
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To: Just mythoughts
Interesting... I do not recall a shortage of flu shots last year, yet I do remember continuous updates of sections of the country having outbreaks... Will be interesting as the fall/winter season progresses to see the tracking of flu outbreaks..

They screwed up last year too, just in a different way. Every spring or summer the CDC brain trust - and I use that term loosely - gets together, looks over the incoming data, and decides which three strains of the flu are "most likely" to be the dominant strain(s) that coming fall and winter. Then they tell the only two drug companies allowed to make the vaccines to create shots to protect people against those three strains .Sometimes they're right, sometimes they're not. Last year they were dead wrong, and none of the three strains in the flu shots turned out to be the strain that spread around the world and made everybody sick.

And yet somehow, humanity survived. Imagine that.

In any case, flu outbreaks are inevitable every year no matter what. The whole country never gets vaccinated, so there's always a pool of many millions of Americans that remain completely susceptible to whichever strain is going around. Also, the flu vaccine is nowhere near perfect. In some people, it just never totally "takes," so you might end up with only partial immunity, where you get the flu anyway but it just doesn't last as long. Or you may be one of the unlucky ones for whom the vaccine doesn't take at all.

In the end, though, what the government is saying is pretty much correct. Unless you have a kid less than 2 or 3 years old, or you're over 65, or have a compromised immune system, just forget about it. If you're a hypochondriac, wash your hands more often and get one of those bottles of Purell at Wal-Mart to carry around. And if you are in one of those high-risk groups, stop acting like an idiot and waiting on line for six hours like you're going to die tomorrow without your shot. Flu season hasn't even started yet in most places. You'll have a chance to get your shot in some leisurely, rational fashion at some point in the next few weeks.

41 posted on 10/18/2004 3:19:09 PM PDT by Dont Mention the War (How important a Senator can you be if Dick Cheney's never told you to "go [bleep] yourself"?)
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To: fortheDeclaration
Bush will win overwhelmingly, and fraud will not be a factor.

I wish I could share your confidence, but I can't. I am in a swing state and it doesn't look good for Bush. I pray he wins but the demos will go to any extreme to defeat him. I fear you really don't understand how evil the demos are and how badly they want to win. I mostly fear that our base will not turn out like their base.

42 posted on 10/18/2004 3:36:15 PM PDT by liberty2004
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To: gunnygail

YOU're right. We must PRAY now like never before for our President and this country.

In all the other work you do, don't any one neglect that.
.


43 posted on 10/18/2004 3:36:50 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: devolve

Awesome!


44 posted on 10/18/2004 3:47:29 PM PDT by Chieftain (Support Swift Boat Veterans for Truth and EXPOSE Hanoi John Kerry's FRAUD!)
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To: Dont Mention the War

Agree.


45 posted on 10/18/2004 3:57:04 PM PDT by Just mythoughts
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To: Chieftain; Interesting Times; Defender; onyx; dixiechick2000; DoughtyOne; FairOpinion; weegee; ...


emailable page with 2 auto-start audios:

1 - 911 2001 audio

2 - Lee Greenwood "God Bless The USA"

http://pro.lookingat.us/Trust.html


46 posted on 10/18/2004 4:20:00 PM PDT by devolve ( -HEINZ-KERRY - LIFESTYLES Of The RICH & FLAMING! - http://pro.lookingat.us/ThisOldDump.html --)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Well there's a welcome vote of optimism.


47 posted on 10/18/2004 5:31:45 PM PDT by sarasota
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To: fortheDeclaration
OK, If I am wrong I will ping you on Nov.3, if you are wrong and Bush wins with over 300 electoral votes and 50% you ping me-agreed?

I wouldn't call 300 electoral votes "overwhelming". And no matter, fraud will be a factor. I would not be surprised with a 300 to 310 electoral votes. 350 and over would be overwhelming.

I also see fraud impacting down ticket races in a big way. Daschle winning by a slim margin to name just one.

48 posted on 10/18/2004 6:07:36 PM PDT by Phantom Lord (Advantages are taken, not handed out)
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To: fortheDeclaration
Bush will win overwhelmingly,

Based on what?

49 posted on 10/18/2004 6:51:00 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: Phantom Lord

I agree with your assessment about fraud. It may determine the election.


50 posted on 10/18/2004 6:53:02 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

Based on his popularity which is over 50%
Based on the unlikeablity of Kerry
Based on the fact that we are in a war time situation and no incumbent has ever lost a reelection bid
Based on the fact that Bush is holding his 2000 states while threatening Kerry's (Gore states)
Based on the fact that Kerry has nothing to offer except he is not Bush.
That is just some of the reasons.
Polls will now show Bush separating from Kerry, after the MSM had to pretend it was competitive for the debates.
Already Bush is cracking the 50% mark and will start going towards the 52% next week.


51 posted on 10/18/2004 7:01:39 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: Phantom Lord
OK, If I am wrong I will ping you on Nov.3, if you are wrong and Bush wins with over 300 electoral votes and 50% you ping me-agreed? I wouldn't call 300 electoral votes "overwhelming". And no matter, fraud will be a factor. I would not be surprised with a 300 to 310 electoral votes. 350 and over would be overwhelming. I also see fraud impacting down ticket races in a big way. Daschle winning by a slim margin to name just one.

Well, I was just being conservative in my estimation.

I think Bush will get well over 300 electorial votes.

Fraud could influnence close races as they did in 2000 with SD and NM.

But with Bush, it will not be close enough for the fraud to make a difference.

52 posted on 10/18/2004 7:03:48 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: Mike Bates
Vote like your life depends on it. It does.

Very effective poster.

53 posted on 10/18/2004 7:45:07 PM PDT by Ciexyz (Feeling so much calmer now I've cancelled my cable TV. Don't miss the Demopuke spin on cable news.)
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To: liberty2004
I wish I could share your confidence, but I can't. I am in a swing state and it doesn't look good for Bush. I pray he wins but the demos will go to any extreme to defeat him. I fear you really don't understand how evil the demos are and how badly they want to win. I mostly fear that our base will not turn out like their base.

Our base in much more enthusiastic for voting then is their's.

I do not know what swing state you are in, but Bush is going to retain his states from 2000 and pick up some from Kerry (Gore states)

54 posted on 10/18/2004 7:55:57 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: WestVirginiaRebel
Kerry WILL concede the election on election night.

I sure hope so! I'm planning to bring a case of champagne to a friend's Election night party, and I intend to enjoy it!!

55 posted on 10/18/2004 8:14:25 PM PDT by SuziQ (Bush in 2004-Because we MUST!!!)
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To: devolve

Thanks for the ping!


56 posted on 10/18/2004 9:09:15 PM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: HamiltonJay

And 4 points itself is too wide a margin of error--it means the poll-takers aren't quite confident about their poll (gee, surprised?) Polls with a 3 +/- margin of error are better, statistically speaking.

Of course, I'm overlooking the fact that the only poll that counts takes place on November 2--worrying about Bush being up or down in a daily poll is like worring that a small gust means a tornado is coming.


57 posted on 10/18/2004 10:00:35 PM PDT by Terpfen (Wanted: Laura Ingraham's leopard miniskirt picture. Links welcomed!)
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To: fortheDeclaration

i am from Florida and I fear they demos in Palm Beach will steal it! I am disgusted.


58 posted on 10/19/2004 9:11:25 AM PDT by liberty2004
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To: liberty2004
Relax, Palm beach isn't all of Fl.

The GOP will get enough votes to offset the usual Democrat voter fraud.

59 posted on 10/19/2004 12:38:10 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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