Posted on 10/18/2004 2:44:51 AM PDT by JessieHelmsJr
Great analysis
(Excerpt) Read more at denbeste.nu ...
They screwed up last year too, just in a different way. Every spring or summer the CDC brain trust - and I use that term loosely - gets together, looks over the incoming data, and decides which three strains of the flu are "most likely" to be the dominant strain(s) that coming fall and winter. Then they tell the only two drug companies allowed to make the vaccines to create shots to protect people against those three strains .Sometimes they're right, sometimes they're not. Last year they were dead wrong, and none of the three strains in the flu shots turned out to be the strain that spread around the world and made everybody sick.
And yet somehow, humanity survived. Imagine that.
In any case, flu outbreaks are inevitable every year no matter what. The whole country never gets vaccinated, so there's always a pool of many millions of Americans that remain completely susceptible to whichever strain is going around. Also, the flu vaccine is nowhere near perfect. In some people, it just never totally "takes," so you might end up with only partial immunity, where you get the flu anyway but it just doesn't last as long. Or you may be one of the unlucky ones for whom the vaccine doesn't take at all.
In the end, though, what the government is saying is pretty much correct. Unless you have a kid less than 2 or 3 years old, or you're over 65, or have a compromised immune system, just forget about it. If you're a hypochondriac, wash your hands more often and get one of those bottles of Purell at Wal-Mart to carry around. And if you are in one of those high-risk groups, stop acting like an idiot and waiting on line for six hours like you're going to die tomorrow without your shot. Flu season hasn't even started yet in most places. You'll have a chance to get your shot in some leisurely, rational fashion at some point in the next few weeks.
I wish I could share your confidence, but I can't. I am in a swing state and it doesn't look good for Bush. I pray he wins but the demos will go to any extreme to defeat him. I fear you really don't understand how evil the demos are and how badly they want to win. I mostly fear that our base will not turn out like their base.
YOU're right. We must PRAY now like never before for our President and this country.
In all the other work you do, don't any one neglect that.
.
Awesome!
Agree.
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Well there's a welcome vote of optimism.
I wouldn't call 300 electoral votes "overwhelming". And no matter, fraud will be a factor. I would not be surprised with a 300 to 310 electoral votes. 350 and over would be overwhelming.
I also see fraud impacting down ticket races in a big way. Daschle winning by a slim margin to name just one.
Based on what?
I agree with your assessment about fraud. It may determine the election.
Based on his popularity which is over 50%
Based on the unlikeablity of Kerry
Based on the fact that we are in a war time situation and no incumbent has ever lost a reelection bid
Based on the fact that Bush is holding his 2000 states while threatening Kerry's (Gore states)
Based on the fact that Kerry has nothing to offer except he is not Bush.
That is just some of the reasons.
Polls will now show Bush separating from Kerry, after the MSM had to pretend it was competitive for the debates.
Already Bush is cracking the 50% mark and will start going towards the 52% next week.
Well, I was just being conservative in my estimation.
I think Bush will get well over 300 electorial votes.
Fraud could influnence close races as they did in 2000 with SD and NM.
But with Bush, it will not be close enough for the fraud to make a difference.
Very effective poster.
Our base in much more enthusiastic for voting then is their's.
I do not know what swing state you are in, but Bush is going to retain his states from 2000 and pick up some from Kerry (Gore states)
I sure hope so! I'm planning to bring a case of champagne to a friend's Election night party, and I intend to enjoy it!!
Thanks for the ping!
And 4 points itself is too wide a margin of error--it means the poll-takers aren't quite confident about their poll (gee, surprised?) Polls with a 3 +/- margin of error are better, statistically speaking.
Of course, I'm overlooking the fact that the only poll that counts takes place on November 2--worrying about Bush being up or down in a daily poll is like worring that a small gust means a tornado is coming.
i am from Florida and I fear they demos in Palm Beach will steal it! I am disgusted.
The GOP will get enough votes to offset the usual Democrat voter fraud.
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