Posted on 09/15/2004 7:38:29 PM PDT by lainie
Hurricane Ivan Advisory Number 55
Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on September 15, 2004
...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Ivan coming closer to the northern Gulf Coast...strong winds already moving onshore...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to Apalachicola Florida...including the greater New Orleans area and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion throughout the entire warning area.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to west of Grand Isle.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Morgan City to west of Grand Isle...and from east of Apalachicola to Yankeetown Florida.
At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the large eye of Hurricane Ivan was centered near latitude 29.3 north... longitude 88.1 west or about 65 miles south of the Alabama coastline.
Ivan is moving slightly east of north near 12 mph...and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of the hurricane will reach the coast early on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible prior to landfall...but Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...category three or higher. Occupants of high-rise buildings within the Hurricane Warning area can expect higher winds than those experienced at the surface...about one Saffir-Simpson category higher at the top of a 30-story building. After landfall... hurricane force winds could spread inland up to about 150 miles near the path of the center.
People are strongly advised not to venture out from shelter during the calm conditions of the eye...as winds will increase rapidly with little or no warning when the eye passes.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles. The Dauphin Island C-man station reported sustained winds of 54 mph with a gust to 83 mph...and Pensacola Naval Air Station reported sustained winds of 51 mph with a gust to 68 mph.
The latest minimum central pressure measured by a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft was 933 mb...27.55 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 10 to 16 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Lesser...but still significant surge values will be experienced where onshore flow occurs west of the center.
Dangerous surf conditions...including rip currents...are likely elsewhere along the Florida Gulf Coast.
Rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches...with isolated higher amounts...can be expected in association with Ivan.
Tornadoes are possible over the next 24 hours in southern Alabama... the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend area...and southwestern Georgia.
Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...29.3 N... 88.1 W. Movement toward...north near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 933 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at midnight CDT and 2 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am CDT.
Forecaster Pasch
$$
Links
nwctwx's excellent list
Weather Underground/Tropical
The Weather Channel Map Room
Intellicast Tropical Page
BoatU.S. Hurricane Tracking
this thread continuing from http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1216382/posts
Gulf Shores has a small private zoo with tigers, bears, goats and a lot of parrots. One can only imagine what will be left of that and what condition the animals will be in.
I just heard on streaming radio, from Mobile, a man advising people to put "1/8 teaspoon of household unscented BLEACH to 1 gallon of water." I have heard of iodine for treating water but not bleach. Did he really mean bleach???
just heard on CNN: the hurricane is dangerous to homeless people.
Not a bit, I stand in awe, seriesly. I'm just watching, and learning. Carry on, sir.
Yeah. It's just chlorine. Most pool guys use plain old household bleach to chlorinate pools.
Think about it....
...."I just heard on streaming radio, from Mobile, a man advising people to put "1/8 teaspoon of household unscented BLEACH to 1 gallon of water." I have heard of iodine for treating water but not bleach. Did he really mean bleach???..."
Yes. Always have a gallon of bleach in house for treating water after storms.
I've heard that before, when we lived in hurricane prone areas. They do say that, to use bleach.
yes, that will kill bad stuff...
GULF SHORES, Ala. The Alabama Gulf Coast Zoo at Gulf Shores is also evacuating for Hurricane Ivan. Volunteers have joined zookeepers in removing the animals, including some big tigers. Evacuation of the 16-acre zoo began yesterday and was almost complete this morning. Zoo director Patti Hall says for safety reasons she cannot say where the 268 animals were relocated.
CNN just reported 96MPH gust in Pen.
Just heard the first audible gust from inside the house -- not quite 1 a.m. here in southwestern Tuscaloosa County.
Who's that witchy redheaded woman on FOX News just now explaining the weather? She looks like a "b" word!
http://pensacolanewsjournal.com/hurricane/digest.shtml
UPDATED 12:34 a.m. THURSDAY
Digest: The latest need-to-know
Pensacola News Journal
* Escambia EOC officials say the county will be experiencing hurricane-force winds until at least 2 p.m. Thursday.
* Hurricane Ivan is expected to make landfall sometime around 2 a.m., and Escambia County should see a peak at 7 a.m. with sustained winds of 113 miles per hour, according to the National Weather Service forecast. The hurricane center said the core of the storm was due to make landfall within the next several hours.
* Escambia County officials hope to begin damage assessments sometime late Thursday. At the Escambia County Jail, 1,800 inmates are without water and are experiencing some power outages. Sacred Heart Hospital is operating on generator power.
* Two main feeding pumps going into the Main Street Sewage Treatment Plant in downtown Pensacola have failed, causing sewage to spill into Pensacola Bay.
* About 1,000 Florida Army National Guard troops will be in Escambia County Thursday afternoon. They'll arrive at the Pensacola Interstate Fairgrounds on Mobile Highway and will provide humanitarian aid and security.
* The Pensacola Civic Center is experiencing some water leakage, but the area, which is housing evacuees, is not being evacuated.
* A tornado touched down in Gonzalez near Tate High School, and another tornado was sighted by shelter evacuees near Pensacola Junior College late Wednesday. Other tornadoes should be expected as Ivan makes its way through Escambia County, said Michael Hardin, Escambia County emergency management chief.
* Escambia County officials announced at 10:30 p.m. that weather conditions had deteriorated to the point that all emergency responses had ceased. Officials said earlier that emergency calls were being put on a priority list for response when conditions allowed.
* The City of Milton police and fire departments have pulled their units from duty. They will not respond to emergency calls until the storm passes.
* The city of Milton has already requested 13 emergency generators from the state department of emergency management and may request 13 more to supply emergency power to all 17 of the city's sewage lift stations and several traffic lights. These generators could begin arriving as early as Thursday afternoon. No one's water has been turned off at this point, although that is a possibility in some areas. Without operating lift stations, there could be an overflow.
* The Escambia County Health Department has issued a boiled water advisory for all residents in Escambia County. Before drinking water residents should boil it for one minute or residents can add eight drops (1/8 teaspoon) of plain, unscented household bleach per gallon of water and let stand for 30 minutes. If water is still cloudy after 30 minutes repeat the process.
* Escambia County Administrator George Touart and Sheriff Ron McNesby have imposed a 7 p.m. curfew for the county. Touart and McNesby drove around Perdido Key Wednesday afternoon, and noticed that the island had already taken a substantial hit. Touart said people were still driving around the area, despite sustained 50 mph winds. "At that point, the sheriff decided it would be best to impose a curfew. The curfew will be in effect indefinitely," Touart said.
* A curfew will be in effect from 6 p.m. today until 6 a.m. Thursday in Santa Rosa County. Depending on damage, the curfew could be extended Thursday.
* A curfew on unnecessary travel will be in effect in Okaloosa County from 7 p.m. today until 7 a.m. Thursday.
* Santa Rosa County emergency officials said that the old Piggly Wiggly building in Milton, which is empty and now owned by the Albertsons grocery chain, will be used as a shelter for Florida National Guard troops once the storm has passed.
* A fire crew was dispatched to a fallen tree blocking one lane of traffic on Munson Highway, near Shady Oaks Trailer Park in Northeast Milton just before 7 p.m. "We brought in our entire staff. They're scattered out in the community in various locations," said Milton Fire Chief John Reble. He said they would continue to respond as long as it was safe to do so.
* Weather conditions deteriorated to the point that Escambia County Area Transit buses were returned to the terminal. Public transport has ceased until after the storm passes.
* Emergency Response is being reviewed on a case-by-case basis. Law enforcement, fire services and ambulance services will have to cease response once weather conditions are no longer safe.
* The eye of Hurricane Ivan is expected to make landfall as a strong Category 3 storm, or possibly a Category 4 event, around 1 a.m. Thursday in Mobile Bay, according to Escambia County emergency management officials. Hurricane-force winds are expected area beaches around 10 p.m.
* In Escambia County, winds of 75 to 100 mph are expected, said Michael Hardin, Escambia County Emergency Management chief.
* A storm surge of between 10 and 14 feet at landfall is expected locally, and 5 to 10 inches of rain should come down as a result of Ivan.
* A 22-foot section of the Navarre Beach Fishing Pier washed out in mid-afternoon. "We lost the T-section on the end of the pier," said Don Chinery, Santa Rosa County public information director. "It's taking a pretty good beating right now. The erosion on the beach has been substantial and we're concerned about that too, because this is just the first little feather."
* The Pensacola Bay Bridge, the Theo Baars Bridge to Perdido Key and the Garcon Point Bridge were all closed by early afternoon.
* Shelters at the Pensacola Civic Center and the University of West Florida have been closed because they have reached capacity. The county's special needs shelter at Pensacola Junior College also is full. Officials at the Civic Center have been moving refugees around the facility - first away from floor-level to avoid flooding, and around noon, away from areas where the roof could collapse. People are now being placed in arena offices and other similar locations.
* Shelters in Santa Rosa County are filling up; the county opened an additional shelter in Pace.
* By mid-afternoon there were up to 7,000 people in shelters in Escambia County.
* All emergency calls should go to 911; only general information calls should go to the Escambia County Citizen Information Line at 595-3344.
* A water main break in the Green Hills Road area from Pine Forest Road to Stefani Road has caused a water outage on Ali Sheba, Bold Ruler Drive and Green Hills Road. Repairs will begin Friday morning.
* Pensacola Naval Air Station is closed except for essential personnel.
* Post offices with ZIP Codes beginning with 324 and 325 are closed. Employees in post offices with ZIP Codes beginning with 324 and 325 reported to work early today to deliver to those areas that remain accessible. Coastal post offices with ZIP Codes beginning with 323 may also be forced to suspend operations Thursday.
* Regular delivery of the Thursday morning Pensacola News Journal will be delayed because of Hurricane Ivan. For 24-hour coverage, or for an update on the current newspaper delivery schedule, go to www.PensacolaNewsJournal.com.
heehee...I only have XM Radio!
What station are you streaming from?
WOW! FReepers are on top of everything it seems. Thanks. Now, can you tell me about the horses at my sister's house?
They have a little shed for shelter and that's all.
Remember, I am basing my prediction upon a very sound and scientific method.
Subtle and almost impossible to see in satellite images available over the internet, but I knew what I was looking for.
How about this as a simple thought experiment?
How does the Doppler effect alter the pitch of sound when an object is approaching?
Question: If a hurricane is moving in a specific direction, is it possible that concentric rings around it's center would become distorted?
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