Posted on 09/13/2004 1:26:26 AM PDT by Reader of news
A new independent 500-person poll from Rasmussen Reports conducted on September 8th:
Thune 50% Daschle 47%
Daschle: favorable 52%, unfavorable 45% Thune: favorable 65%, unfavorable 33%
(Excerpt) Read more at daschlevthune.typepad.com ...
Well, Mitch didn't exactly have strong opposition. We had an underfunded African American businessman (Kirt Bennett), a late minute party switcher (Melinda Schweggman) and an ex-congressman who hasn't won a race since he was defeated (Clyde Holloway).
Mary is vulnerable. If Bobby runs against her, he'll win.
"GA will probably go R but NC Bowles might take it. Upon NC there was disagreement between Fred and Mort (so whatelse is new?). GA would be a pick-up but NC would be neutral if Bowles replaced Edwards. Murkowski might have the worst race of all, but Fred thought she might pull it out given the heavy Republican base of Alaska. Coors would be a hold in CO. FL looks like a new R. They thought DeMint has it in SC (another new R) but were uncertain about OK and LA."
Agree with Ga leaning R.
NC looks slight Bowles (Burr has had a lot of time for the name-recognition gap to close, and it hasn't at all). Louisiana is going to stay Dem, IMO, because Vitter is not close enough to 51 percent. He'd lose in a straight-up race especially since those dorks down there liked Breaux so much. Leaning Dem hold in a runoff.
Florida looks better for us since Mel won. It's still a tossup, though. Florida is fickle.
South Carolina looks to be leaning R pickup.
South Dakota - I think the dead Indians are going to hold it for Dashole.
Illinois... well, it's all done but the voting, unfortunately.
Alaska - I see Murkowski holding, but it's a tossup right now.
Colorado - slight advantage Dem pickup. The NRSC polling has Salazar up 3-4 points over Coors.
Oklahoma - slight advantage GOP hold. Coburn is looking good.
So... we get pickups in SC and Georgia. Dems pickup Illinois and Colorado. Alaska and Florida are tossups.
Patty Murray is in possible trouble and Specter could be surprised in November, too.
Little Tommie is gonna have to import a lot of Indian votes to overcome this...
Watch for many free gifts of firewater in early November. Also Thune might consider placing a guard on the Indian grave yards so none of them vote this time. Hehehe
My gawwdd..talking about a spawn from hell!
I would feel much better about this poll if it hadn't been conducted by Rasmussen. Their reliability is highly questionable. Sigh.
Probably Harry Reid of Nevada, the current 2nd Dem in command behind Daschle in the Senate.
So if Daschle goes down, who's the new minority leader? Feinstein? Boxer?
It's a given that Dashcle's people bragging about how much clout he has is over even if he wins. Hillery will be next leader .
Tell your friends that having a senator of the President's Party is a whole lot better pork barrel than a minority leader despised by the president.
"Breaux is retiring. His is one of the seats the GOP hopes to snag this election"
Thread yesterday said Bush is ahead by 19 or something in Louisiana. This pickup must be looking pretty good, no?
Frankly, Alaska is the one I am most concerned about. We just got back from there and I could not believe the number of Knowles signs. She had signs, too, but fewer, and in front of businesses instead of houses (a clear indication of who her friends are). If Alaska is a toss-up, then the other ones should be solid R's!
The GOP either has never won a Senate seat in LA, or at least not since Reconstruction. So while Dubya's strong position in the state will probably help Vitter, the question is will it be enough?
Patty Murray is up against Nethercutt, the "Giant-Killer"... hecould surprise some people.
On Coors I was going by the polling which has been less than favorable for him.. and Salazar, the Dem, has won statewide election before.
Florida, I agree about the Cuban vote but fraud worries me again.
I had not heard that about Alaska.. I figured it would be close even though Knowles leads in the polls, just because we overwhelmingly win Alaska in Presidential elections. Thanks for the eye-opener there, though.
Was it the muffler?
But he's still goin' down!
Take comfort in this - my understanding is that this time around, Thune has a whole different campaign operation with all new people who are doing a much better job than last time. It's not the same crowd who blew the race two years ago.
Combine that with the probably affect of Bush on the top of the ticket with a 35% margin plus the higher negatives for Daschle than Johnson and it looks like a 'perfect storm.'
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