[okstate]

"GA will probably go R but NC Bowles might take it. Upon NC there was disagreement between Fred and Mort (so whatelse is new?). GA would be a pick-up but NC would be neutral if Bowles replaced Edwards. Murkowski might have the worst race of all, but Fred thought she might pull it out given the heavy Republican base of Alaska. Coors would be a hold in CO. FL looks like a new R. They thought DeMint has it in SC (another new R) but were uncertain about OK and LA."

Agree with Ga leaning R.
NC looks slight Bowles (Burr has had a lot of time for the name-recognition gap to close, and it hasn't at all). Louisiana is going to stay Dem, IMO, because Vitter is not close enough to 51 percent. He'd lose in a straight-up race especially since those dorks down there liked Breaux so much. Leaning Dem hold in a runoff.
Florida looks better for us since Mel won. It's still a tossup, though. Florida is fickle.
South Carolina looks to be leaning R pickup.
South Dakota - I think the dead Indians are going to hold it for Dashole.

Illinois... well, it's all done but the voting, unfortunately.
Alaska - I see Murkowski holding, but it's a tossup right now.
Colorado - slight advantage Dem pickup. The NRSC polling has Salazar up 3-4 points over Coors.
Oklahoma - slight advantage GOP hold. Coburn is looking good.

So... we get pickups in SC and Georgia. Dems pickup Illinois and Colorado. Alaska and Florida are tossups.

Patty Murray is in possible trouble and Specter could be surprised in November, too.

[MHT]

WA going R--in this century? Patty is a keeper especially because she plugs the local issues and never forgets who her constituency is. Specter will probably make it, too--unless the Republicans don't vote at all. I heard Coors is the odds on favorite because his name recognition is through the roof. Colorado, regardless of how many Californians migrate there, is still NRA, rancher, business-friendly country and W. is going to carry it. If all things are even, between money, name, and W. at the head of the ballot, Coors could coat-tail in. In FL, I think that the Cuban vote is going to make that seat go R-- and, after all, the polls in Florida predicted a close race for Jeb and he won with 65%--all the while the press was talking about how much he was hated because he was W's brother, there were foster children lost in the system, etc. They blamed Jeb for everything except the weather--and this time they might blame his brother!

Frankly, Alaska is the one I am most concerned about. We just got back from there and I could not believe the number of Knowles signs. She had signs, too, but fewer, and in front of businesses instead of houses (a clear indication of who her friends are). If Alaska is a toss-up, then the other ones should be solid R's!