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Outsource or perish, US firms told
Rediff.com ^ | July 02, 2004 19:23 IST | Rediff News

Posted on 07/02/2004 8:37:28 AM PDT by CarrotAndStick

In a significant report, an influential consultancy firm has warned American companies that either they outsource more work to India, including high-powered functions like research and development, or face extinction.

Companies risk extinction if they hesitate to shift facilities to low-cost countries because the potential savings are so vast, said a recently released report by Boston Consulting Group.

Outsourcing and India: Complete Coverage

The report also cited US executives who felt quality of American workers were deteriorating, compared to the high quality of workers in countries like India and China, the Washington Post reported.

"The largest competitive advantage will lie with those companies that move soon," the report states.

"Companies that wait will be caught in a vicious cycle of uncompetitive costs, lost business, underutilised capacity, and the irreversible destruction of value," said the report, released in May.

Boston Consulting, which counts among its clients many of the biggest corporations in the US, tells the companies that they have been too reluctant rather than too eager to outsource production to LCCs (low-cost countries).

"Successful companies," says the report, "ask themselves, 'What must I keep at home?' rather than 'What can I shift to LCCs,'" says the report. "Their question is not 'Why outsource to LCCs?' but "Why not?"

The study suggests that the movement of jobs to countries like India and China is likely to accelerate strongly in the coming years.

The report also revealed that during confidential discussions with executives at Boston Consulting's client companies, many conveyed low opinions of their American employees compared with labour available abroad.

Not only are factory workers in low-cost countries much cheaper -- well below $1 per hour in China, compared with $15 to $30 an hour in the United States and Europe -- but they quickly achieve quality levels that are "equivalent to or even higher than the best plants in the West," said the report.

"More than 40 per cent of the companies we talked with expressed significant concerns about the erosion of skills in the work force (in the US). They cited machine operators who are unable to handle specialised equipment properly or to make the transition to new work materials. In contrast, LCCs provide large pools of skilled workers who are eager to apply their 'craftsman' talents."

Midlevel engineers in low-cost countries, says the report, "Tend to be more motivated than mid-level engineers in the West," said the report.

It cites General Electric Co, Motorola Inc, Alcatel and Diemens AG as examples of companies that have set up research and development centres in both India and China "to leverage the substantial pools of engineering talent that are based in the two countries."

Indeed, the report undercuts the view that research and development jobs in Western countries will increase even as low-skill jobs migrate to nations like India and China.

Among companies with large operations in low-cost nations, "one of the most intriguing advantages we have come across is faster (and lower cost) R&D," the report states.

The report, the Post points out, provides reason after reason why US firms should locate operations offshore, and rebuts the arguments for why the trend is likely to slacken.

In contrast to experts who have predicted that rapidly rising wages in China and India will dampen their appeal to corporations, Boston Consulting contends that the Indian and Chinese cost advantage "may actually increase" in coming years.

"If wages increase at an annual rate of 8 per cent in China, while in the United States and Germany they increase at annual rates of 2.5 per cent and 2 per cent respectively in 2009, the average hourly wages will be approximately $1.30 in China, $25.30 in the United States, and $34.50 in Germany. So, in dollar terms, the wage gap will have expanded rather than shrunk."

Moreover, it says, "the growth of wages in China and India will be limited because of the enormous reservoir of underemployed people in these countries," noting that 800 million Chinese living in the countryside "are expected to exert very strong downward pressure on wages for low-skilled positions over the next few decades.

India, for its part, has a pool of 25 million highly educated English-speaking workers, expanding by a million every year, it notes and advises that some products -- such as those where patents and copyrights are at high risk -- should not be moved overseas.

It says that companies incur high initial costs, including severance payments, when they go abroad -- in the range of $25,000 to $100,000 per transferred full-time employee.

Establishing and managing a supply chain in a foreign country can also entail significant initial outlays, it warns.

But these drawbacks, it emphasises, melt away as companies recognise the other advantages to offshoring, including gaining access to huge and growing markets.

"China is a very special entity in this respect," says the report, "having already become the world's largest market for machine tools."

"Although the risks are real," it concludes, "experience shows that they can be managed -- and that there may be greater risk in failing to make the move to counries like India and China).

"Companies that continue to hesitate do so at their peril."


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bangalore; bush; china; economy; elections; india; jobs; outsourcing; pakistan; trade
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To: CarrotAndStick

The leaders of Rome thought the same way.


21 posted on 07/02/2004 9:03:01 AM PDT by StolarStorm
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To: traumer
"The average hourly wages will be approximately $1.30 in China, $25.30 in the United States, and $34.50 in Germany " How can Germany survive for so long - and its people still do quite well ??

A very important question you asked there.I hope someone comes with an answer here.

22 posted on 07/02/2004 9:03:37 AM PDT by CarrotAndStick (The articles posted by me needn't necessarily reflect my opinion.)
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To: GOP_1900AD
HERE HERE.
This is much to do about nothing. What we are seeing is an unfortunate consequence of fundamental economic change. No politician or government can repleal the Law Of Competitive Advantage.
23 posted on 07/02/2004 9:03:37 AM PDT by citadel84 (Reformed Engineer)
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To: citadel84

Did you mean, 'ado'?


24 posted on 07/02/2004 9:04:44 AM PDT by CarrotAndStick (The articles posted by me needn't necessarily reflect my opinion.)
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To: Doohickey; iamright; AM2000; Iscool; wku man; Lael; international american; No_Doll_i; techwench; ..
Thanks for the ping, Doohickey!

Notice that we now have poor job growth - which may well make President Bush's election more problematic - and at the same time we see increased pressure on companies to send more American jobs offshore.

And it isn't just factory workers:

It cites General Electric Co, Motorola Inc, Alcatel and Diemens AG as examples of companies that have set up research and development centres in both India and China "to leverage the substantial pools of engineering talent that are based in the two countries."

Indeed, the report undercuts the view that research and development jobs in Western countries will increase even as low-skill jobs migrate to nations like India and China.

Those who think they are exempt from this should think again - this will lower the entire U.S. wage structure and will ultimately devastate everyone as we sink to China's wage level.

If you want on or off my offshoring ping list, please FReepmail me!

25 posted on 07/02/2004 9:05:01 AM PDT by neutrino (Against stupidity the very Gods themselves contend in vain.)
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To: jpsb

Perhaps...but even the same super rich won't stay that way if the super poor can't buy products that support the super rich!


26 posted on 07/02/2004 9:05:26 AM PDT by mdmathis6 (The Democrats must be defeated in 2004)
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To: Paul Ross

Thanks for the ping!


27 posted on 07/02/2004 9:06:05 AM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: mdmathis6
Perhaps...but even the same super rich won't stay that way if the super poor can't buy products that support the super rich!

Perfectly put.

28 posted on 07/02/2004 9:07:09 AM PDT by CarrotAndStick (The articles posted by me needn't necessarily reflect my opinion.)
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To: CarrotAndStick
We don't have to backtrack. The socialist are simply giving it away. I see it more and more each day. I shake my head at it knowing that this country, as it was founded, is dying. Personal freedoms being given away, taken away, by the government, courts. Personal property being stolen away, sold to the highest bidder for more tax money. More taxing without anyway to stop it. It is sad, I agree. I agree that we could take it back. But, it would take a war. A real war. But, people have no stomach for it. And, the imperial federal government would send in it's storm troops to stop anyone who is taking about it. Thomas Jefferson said a little revolution now and then is a good thing (or words to that effect). That would get him arrested today by the same federal government he helped found. Today, he would be a target of the left-winged hate groups. Bet on it.
29 posted on 07/02/2004 9:08:42 AM PDT by RetiredArmy ( I am a Vietnam Vet. I have been accused of war crimes by the ADMITTED WAR CRIMINAL Kerry)
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To: CarrotAndStick

Mediocre quality of work and high wages. We are so kool.


30 posted on 07/02/2004 9:09:01 AM PDT by RightWhale (Destroy the dark; restore the light)
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To: citadel84
I can, tariffs
31 posted on 07/02/2004 9:09:55 AM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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To: All

32 posted on 07/02/2004 9:09:59 AM PDT by CarrotAndStick (The articles posted by me needn't necessarily reflect my opinion.)
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To: CarrotAndStick

Its a sin that somehow,
Light is fading to shadow,

And casting its shroud over all we have known...


33 posted on 07/02/2004 9:11:17 AM PDT by ColdSteelTalon
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To: No_Doll_i
Thanks for the ping, No_Doll_i!

Please see my response in post #25.

FRegards,

N.

34 posted on 07/02/2004 9:12:02 AM PDT by neutrino (Against stupidity the very Gods themselves contend in vain.)
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To: CarrotAndStick
One thing they're not looking at is who will buy their goods when Americans aren't making money?I doubt the $1.30 per hour worker in China is going to purchase very much.So,when these goods come back to America for sale,and Americans don't have the money to buy the product because their job was outsourced,what happens then?

Take away my money and I quit buying non-essentials.I'll start worrying about food,shelter,and clothing ONLY.Do this to enough people and the economy will come to a grinding halt.No more cable,cell phones,vacations,new vehicles,credit cards,computer purchases,or any other non-essential high dollar items.

yeah,sounds like a great move.sarcasm

35 posted on 07/02/2004 9:12:23 AM PDT by quack
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To: RightWhale

Excuse me?????? I've dealt with countless projects that involved "outsourced" work. The quality sucks. American quality is far far higher.


36 posted on 07/02/2004 9:12:57 AM PDT by StolarStorm
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To: RetiredArmy

Hey you're invoking a rebel spirit in me I thought never existed. You are inspiring(even while being pessimistic)!


37 posted on 07/02/2004 9:13:26 AM PDT by CarrotAndStick (The articles posted by me needn't necessarily reflect my opinion.)
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To: StolarStorm

We drive kool trucks, too.


38 posted on 07/02/2004 9:14:46 AM PDT by RightWhale (Destroy the dark; restore the light)
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To: StolarStorm

Concorde was quality...in comparison, regular airlines were 'cheap'. Guess which won the race?


39 posted on 07/02/2004 9:15:36 AM PDT by CarrotAndStick (The articles posted by me needn't necessarily reflect my opinion.)
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To: mdmathis6
What we are seeing is the super rich taking over the entire world, the New world order thing where they "super rich" steal every penny from the rich, middle class and poor have. They steal your wages by sending your job over seas, and they steal your wealth with taxes, if you don't like it they throw you in jail.

But keeping voting for the globalists, they know that is best for you.

40 posted on 07/02/2004 9:16:13 AM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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