Posted on 06/29/2016 10:34:27 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The latest poll on the 2016 race for the White House shows Democrat Hillary Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump by just 2 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University poll showed Clinton was the choice of 42 percent of the voters compared to 40 percent for Trump. The poll reflects a closer race than previously thought, with some recent polls showing Clinton up by more than 13 points.
The previous Quinnipiac poll, conducted June 1, had Clinton edging Trump 45 percent to 41 percent.
When third party candidates are added to the results Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party's Jill Stein Clinton is the choice for 39 percent of voters compared to 37 percent of Trump. Johnson is at 8 percent and Stein is at 4 percent....
(Excerpt) Read more at al.com ...
The Orlando Effect.
Orlando.
Wasn’t it also Quinnipiac that showed very close races in several battleground states earlier this week or last?
But those polls and this one are contrasted with the ABC/Wash Post poll that shows Hillary up 51-39 nationally, and the new CNN battleground polls that show her way up in those states.
The polling seems to be wildly inconsistent.
Oh, Hillary, Don’t look now, but Nelson is pointing & laughing @ you!
"You cursed brat! Look what you've done! I'm melting! melting! Oh, what a world! What a world! Who would have thought good little voters like you could destroy my beautiful wickedness? Oooooh, look out! I'm going! Oooooh! Ooooooh!"
Well, it’s fair to say if the election were held today, Hillary cannot BOTH be tied and win in a landslide.
Therefore, some of the polls are inaccurate.
Unless we believe in quantum candidates and Hillary is both winning and losing until we stop the whole thing and hold a vote. Maybe that’s not so far fetched.
The Orlando Effect soon to be followed by the Benghazi Effect!!
The horse race is NOT news. Cheap and easy Space filler for the fishwraps.
“Well, its fair to say if the election were held today, Hillary cannot BOTH be tied and win in a landslide.
Therefore, some of the polls are inaccurate.
Unless we believe in quantum candidates and Hillary is both winning and losing until we stop the whole thing and hold a vote. Maybe thats not so far fetched.”
The little mentioned thing about the “margins of error” for polls is that the truth is that there’s only a probability (90%) that the results would fall within the margin of error.
Beyond that, and a much more likely source of problems, is the sampling methodology. If a poll samples a higher percentage of Dems, blacks and college educated people, Clinton will do better. Most likely that’s what happened with the poll showing her up by 13.
This is part of why I think Trump will win in a landslide in November. Notice that 61 percent of 67 percent is about 41 percent...the same that Clinton is getting. Its fairly obvious that the around 40% who would vote for Clinton are largely the exact same around 40% that say Trump's campaign is based on hate and division.
I do not expect this propped up narrative to survive with all the 40 percent Clinton has now. Trump has charisma, and he will be able to use it when he is able to get exposure in the debates without needing to rely on trash talk to stand out in a field of 17 opponents.
On the flip side, Clinton has negative charisma, and she really is guilty of obvious lying and corruption, and there is no way to get around it.
I am sticking by my prediction I made in May when I warned other Freepers not to expect Trump's small poll lead to hold...Clinton will tend to poll ahead of Trump until about the first debate, and then she will crater over the following weeks and be crushed in November.
Let's see how Huma does. It's the titbits of damning info. that are eating away at Hillary and Trump has wasted no time in underscoring her LIES.
That is one testimony most people would like to hear. Even I could come up with some good questions to ask her.
PING
Only a limited range of questioning is allowed.
That's just crazy. I don't see Johnson or Stein getting anywhere close to those numbers. In 2012, Libertarian nominee Johnson received 0.99% of the vote and Green Party Jill Stein received 0.36% of the vote. Obama and Romney combined for 98.16% of the vote!
I think Johnson is where a lot of the Trump voters are parked and the Stein supporters are likely disgruntled Bernie supporters who do not want to be on record as voting for Shrillary.
I would be suspect of any poll which had HRC’s numbers either soar or tank. She is a known entity, and people are entrenched in their view of her.
IMO, the "Never Clinton" group will grow as more as revealed about her and she is exposed as the dishonest, incompetent liar that she is. The "Never Trump" group will most likely shrink because the more people see of Trump and hear what he actually believes rather than the distortions the MSM loves to report, the more people like him.
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