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To: utahagen

Well, it’s fair to say if the election were held today, Hillary cannot BOTH be tied and win in a landslide.

Therefore, some of the polls are inaccurate.

Unless we believe in quantum candidates and Hillary is both winning and losing until we stop the whole thing and hold a vote. Maybe that’s not so far fetched.


8 posted on 06/29/2016 10:42:35 AM PDT by Williams (If Trump is not the nominee ... The party's over.)
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To: Williams; All

“Well, it’s fair to say if the election were held today, Hillary cannot BOTH be tied and win in a landslide.

Therefore, some of the polls are inaccurate.

Unless we believe in quantum candidates and Hillary is both winning and losing until we stop the whole thing and hold a vote. Maybe that’s not so far fetched.”

The little mentioned thing about the “margins of error” for polls is that the truth is that there’s only a probability (90%) that the results would fall within the margin of error.

Beyond that, and a much more likely source of problems, is the sampling methodology. If a poll samples a higher percentage of Dems, blacks and college educated people, Clinton will do better. Most likely that’s what happened with the poll showing her up by 13.


12 posted on 06/29/2016 10:52:49 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty (Trump '16! Make America Greater Than Ever!)
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