Posted on 01/27/2016 3:51:11 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Bernie and Trump boast about inspiring new people to head to the polls but less than a week away from the Iowa caucuses, the number of registered voters has decreased in the state over the past year.
If the major political parties had some trick up their sleeves to get more voters registered ahead of the Iowa caucus, it hasn't happened yet.
With under a week left until people vote for the first time in 2016, the number of registered Democrats and Republicans has remained fairly static in the last six months. So the big crowds at rallies for Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump--where they boast of attracting new caucus goers in droves--hasn't translated into big gains when it comes to registered support.
At least not yet.
According to statistics from the Iowa Secretary of State's office, the number of registered Republicans has decreased from January 2015 until January 2016. The same can be said for Democrats. The number can typically fluctuate as registered members of either party do not participate in a given cycle and the actual number of participants who register on the actual caucus night will not be finally tallied until months later, after auditors extensively pour over the numbers....
(Excerpt) Read more at thedailybeast.com ...
Does Teddy Cruz exist?
We are in a sort of quantum mechanical superposition of states. Ted Cruz is both the winner and the loser at the same time. Come Monday night there will be spontaneous symmetry breaking, and we will know which one is the real thing.
Didn’t they bus in a ton of Obama supporters in 2008? I had heard they don’t check ID all that well at the caucuses.
Trump and Sanders will win. People are ticked. Both will win IA by about 10%
You’d better hope his rallies aren’t indicative of his voter turnout.
Exactly, his Cat is dead, or maybe it isn’t.
just to be fun..
Heisenberg walks into a bar..
He yells.. “hay Schrodinger your cat is dead”
Schrodinger angrily yells back... “well it is now!”
;)
For saying “rallies” you win a free viewing with Sister Cleo.
The Daily Beast. So reliable.
He does in Canada, eh.
Wonderful. Is she your sister?
To paraphrase Stalin a bit, "What matters isn't the states, but who takes the measurement."
Does Glenn Beck live in a bizzaro universe inside his mind?
The media narrative backtracks away from Trump as the moment of truth draws near.
Pavlov is having a drink in a bar. The phone rings and he says, “Dang, I forgot to feed the dog!”
LOL - thanks for posting!!!
Foolish writer.
Republicans are of the same count.
The difference isn’t quantity, it is the same people who are going to show up but this time fully reject the establishment uniparty.
Here are some numbers:
Total Iowa Registered Republicans as of 1/14/16 = 1,046,955
- per Iowa Secretary of State website
(The 2012 total Republican caucus vote was 121,255).
These are the possible turnout results for 2016:
If 120,000 turn out, that = 11.4% turnout
If 140,000 turn out, that = 13.3%
If 160,000 turn out, that = 15.2%
If 180,000 turn out, that = 17.1%
If 200,000 turn out, that = 19.1%
It is entirely possible that 160,000 will turn out this year, just a one-third increase over 2012, and still just 15.2% of total registered Republicans.
Add to that the number of party-switchers who will also caucus Monday evening and the results could well be YUGE!
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