Posted on 08/03/2015 2:06:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump may seem invincible right now, but his current run cant last. Even if the belligerent billionaire and current GOP front-runner doesnt implode on the debate stage next week or on the campaign trail next month, the fundamentals of American politics will still catch up to him: At some point the GOP field will narrow and an establishment favorite will consolidate enough support to knock Trump from his perch. Eventually, that means he will exit a nominating battle he cannot win.
Its no surprise, then, that the Washington parlor game of predicting how Trumps campaign will end is now turning into one about what will happen with his supporters when it does.
There is no shortage of possibilities. Writing in the National Journal on Friday, for example, political analyst Charlie Cook pegs Chris Christie and Ted Cruzs camps as likely homes for Trumps backers once their first choice is out of the race. In the Washington Post, meanwhile, James Holmann calls it a jump ball before ultimately suggesting Trumps loss could be Mike Huckabees gain. While the predictions vary, the rationale behind them is usually the same: Whoever wins the Trump sweepstakes will be someone who shares his anti-establishment anger....
(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...
The disenfranchised tend to remain disenfranchised, if their new-found hero drops out. They will not choose a RINO who represents the group that disenfranchised them.
If you take time to examine details of where Trump’s support comes from, it is ALL ACROSS EVERY CATEGORY.
Men, women, old, young, education levels, etc.
So id Trump drops out because RNC is unfair to him,
it is impossible to predict where his support will go.
More than likely Trump runs 3rd party and the supporters move with him. Idiots like Perry & Graham thought they would gain points by attacking Trump, UNPROVOKED.
Well, he did offend Linda’s boyfriend.
“Yea and no conservative would ever vote for a liberal like Romney huh?”
If we are going with the, “Any Republican is better than a rat” argument then yes. We got burned by that in 08. We stayed home in 12.
Sure, let’s stay home again in 16 because 20 is right around the corner and then we can let the rat win reelection because in 24 it will be different.
Different.... Well, different in that by then there will no longer be elections. But that’s ok because we have the guns and we can have a revolution and take our country back. And in the process thousands will be killed. But that’s ok, because they will be martyrs who will reinvigorate us to our cause for freedom and liberty.
Or, we could just hold our nose, vote for the Republican, win the election and then change things from the grass roots.
Personally, I like the revolution idea.
Actually Jeb Bush has a very good record as governor in Florida. He was a popular governor. However my top issue is illegals and because of that issue, he is unacceptable to me as president.
However, I somehow doubt that the LIV read Slate (just deranged liberals). But the mainstream media pounding this idea will very much have an effect. When People magazine starts saying it, then there’s trouble.
But ‘we’ didn’t stay home. The numbers proved that.
Revolution is inevitable/ Or CW2. We cannot is as on country with opposed ideals/population split evenly.
“Another one of y’all eh? You think Cruz will be in it within 6 months of election? If that’s the case, I bet you believe Sarah Palin will be in it too... LOL...”
Sarah who? She’s old news. Cruz can win for one reason. There are enough moderate Republicans who are sick and tired of the government and the establishment.
Cruz will win primaries. And if he doesn’t it is because someone won it with 12% and the rest was split among the other 16 candidates.
with Ted Cruz
I still do not see why many are predicting Trump will soon be out of the picture, be it wishful thinking or what, I do not know.
But if he does drop out, his supporters certainly will not go to some jacka$$ RINO.
Trump has done an outstanding job of bringing issues to the forefront the GOPe want to keep quiet on. The GOPe has said screw you to all that gave them the House & Senate. The average voter, including the low info ones, knows they are all corrupted with lobbying money and other forms of bribery. The voter knows it’s all just one Uniparty of thugs running DC using their EPA & IRS strong arms. It’s disgusting, a cry baby drunk ramrodding the House and a milk toast whimp running the Senate.
If Trump does fold, his supporters will undoubtedly go to someone like Cruz. If the GOPe is successful in keeping Cruz out, then all those voters will stay home like they have for the last two prez elections, only in greater numbers.
Well that's good to hear. But read the quote. He was not unacceptable as president to lifelong liberal Donald Trump.
Amen!
That’s an interesting take that the situation is reversed from 2012. I have not gone back to see a poll to poll comparison of then and now. But the consistency of Mr Trump’s gains in the progression of polls is something I don’t remember seeing before. As others have pointed out, this has the feel of a revolution.
The truth is Donald is in the position Mitt was last time. The anti-establishment conservatives are rapidly coalescing around Trump so that he will win most early primaries with a plurality. Meanwhile the GOPe is split between Jeb, Rubio, Crispy, and the rest. I could see them going from one to another trying to find someone who can beat Trump, just as conservatives did in 2012. The real question is where to the Carson and Cruz people go once it’s obvious their guys aren’t winning any primaries?
Good points. Looks to me like Trump is toning down his rhetoric a bit and solidifying his lead.
Walker is the only other leading candidate with no beltway/Bush stink on him so I’d say he’s the biggest threat to Trump at this point.
Does this do it for you too?
He may have started this as a lark, but I think now he thinks he can really win it!
It’s becoming apparent that Cruz has too much beltway stink on him to break out from 5% in the polls.
He’s fighting the good fight but all those triple team RINO/MSM/DEM attacks have taken a toll on his POTUS viability.
an establishment favorite will consolidate enough support
Not going to vote for any of The Cheap Labor Express Candidates.
They all want to Comprehensively Screw Americans Out Of Their Country”
Apparent to people that never wanted a conservative president maybe.
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