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Why It’s So Hard to Predict What Happens With Trump’s Supporters When He Drops Out
Slate ^ | July 31, 2015 | Josh Voorhees, senior writer, Iowa City

Posted on 08/03/2015 2:06:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Donald Trump may seem invincible right now, but his current run can’t last. Even if the belligerent billionaire and current GOP front-runner doesn’t implode on the debate stage next week or on the campaign trail next month, the fundamentals of American politics will still catch up to him: At some point the GOP field will narrow and an establishment favorite will consolidate enough support to knock Trump from his perch. Eventually, that means he will exit a nominating battle he cannot win.

It’s no surprise, then, that the Washington parlor game of predicting how Trump’s campaign will end is now turning into one about what will happen with his supporters when it does.

There is no shortage of possibilities. Writing in the National Journal on Friday, for example, political analyst Charlie Cook pegs Chris Christie and Ted Cruz’s camps as likely homes for Trump’s backers once their first choice is out of the race. In the Washington Post, meanwhile, James Holmann calls it a “jump ball” before ultimately suggesting Trump’s loss could be Mike Huckabee’s gain. While the predictions vary, the rationale behind them is usually the same: Whoever wins the Trump sweepstakes will be someone who shares his anti-establishment anger....

(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...


TOPICS: New York; Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bush; chrischristie; dds; election2016; joshvoorhees; newyork; slate; tds; tedcruz; trump
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"When He Drops Out"?! Isn't this seriously getting old? Does anyone see ANY indication that Trump is dropping out? Any? Shall we start the "When will Congress impeach Obama?" or "When will Obama resign?"

If the GOPe does manage to dump Trump, I think I'll either sit out or, heck, vote for a Dem just to spite the GOPe. Idiots.

21 posted on 08/03/2015 2:19:03 PM PDT by Reno89519 (American Lives Matter! US Citizen, Veteran, Conservative, Republican. I vote. Trump 2016.)
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To: Seruzawa

It’s pure wishful thinking on both sides of the Elites aisle.


22 posted on 08/03/2015 2:20:09 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: EQAndyBuzz

Yea and no conservative would ever vote for a liberal like Romney huh?


23 posted on 08/03/2015 2:20:24 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart
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To: Cobra64

Somebody pays them. Before Obama came into office a lot of these media dinosaurs were going under. How long has it been since you heard a of a substantial newspaper or magazine declaring bankruptcy? Not since he came to office...but beforehand they were dropping like leaves.

All coinkydinks I’m sure...


24 posted on 08/03/2015 2:22:53 PM PDT by GoneSalt
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To: Reno89519

These are the same people that Lions really speak English when no one is listening.

It’s called Blue Fairy thinking. They believe that if they say a thing enough times, it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.


25 posted on 08/03/2015 2:22:55 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

>>At some point the GOP field will narrow and an establishment favorite will consolidate enough support

Yeah. Support from the Progressive media, “helpful” Progressives who cross over to vote in our primary, and the Progressive Corporatists.

If the masses of angry little people know what is good for them, they’ll jump on that “electable” bandwagon. /s


26 posted on 08/03/2015 2:22:56 PM PDT by Bryanw92 (Sic semper tyrannis)
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To: DouglasKC

My sentiments exactly, Douglas. If Trump’s not there, then somebody else better step in who is, because the GOP has no plan b candidate. If America loses this election, I think it really will be too late to save her.


27 posted on 08/03/2015 2:23:17 PM PDT by KGeorge (Hell no. We ain't forgettin'.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Boy leftist are sure pulling for “establishment” Republicans


28 posted on 08/03/2015 2:25:14 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: rrrod
LOL...Maybe Jebbie?

Trump might endorse him.


29 posted on 08/03/2015 2:25:52 PM PDT by South40 ("Florida Governor Jeb Bush is a good man." ~Donald Trump)
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To: EQAndyBuzz
Cruz will get between 50-75% of all Trump’s voters. Walker will get a few and that’s it.

Another one of y'all eh? You think Cruz will be in it within 6 months of election? If that's the case, I bet you believe Sarah Palin will be in it too... LOL...
30 posted on 08/03/2015 2:26:17 PM PDT by TexasGunLover ("Either you're with us or you're with the terrorists."-- President George W. Bush)
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To: Dr. Bogus Pachysandra
Mike Hucklebuck?

The pundits have gone INSANE.


31 posted on 08/03/2015 2:28:43 PM PDT by 867V309 (Trump: Bull in a RINO Shoppe)
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I really don’t know where this “Trump will drop out” idea comes from. People have been stating it from the go, but no evidence to support it has been presented. He didn’t seem to be a quitter before he ran. Why would he change? I think it’s more wishful thinking.

I think as a businessman, Trump has reached a point where he knows his hands are always going to be tied and he going to be taxed and regulated to death unless he does the job of president himself. Time to fire the DC parasites.

32 posted on 08/03/2015 2:29:34 PM PDT by Sans-Culotte (''Political correctness is communist propaganda writ small''~ Theodore Dalrymple)
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To: grania
Why do they assume Trump’s going to drop out?

It's an article of faith among the uniparty elite punditry, be if FOX or Salon. The idea that Trump could possibly win is just outside of the realm of possibility. The truth is Donald is in the position Mitt was last time. The anti-establishment conservatives are rapidly coalescing around Trump so that he will win most early primaries with a plurality. Meanwhile the GOPe is split between Jeb, Rubio, Crispy, and the rest. I could see them going from one to another trying to find someone who can beat Trump, just as conservatives did in 2012. The real question is where to the Carson and Cruz people go once it's obvious their guys aren't winning any primaries?

33 posted on 08/03/2015 2:32:29 PM PDT by Hugin ("Do yourself a favor--first thing, get a firearm!",)
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To: Dr. Bogus Pachysandra

My stupid brother was all for Huckabee before he jumped on the Trump celebrity band wagon. I have no doubt he would wag his tail back to Hucklebee. ~sigh~.


34 posted on 08/03/2015 2:38:22 PM PDT by Elyse (I refuse to feed the crocodile.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I wonder if the Slate writers ever get tired of singing the same songs repeatedly?


35 posted on 08/03/2015 2:38:48 PM PDT by T-Bird45 (It feels like the seventies, and it shouldn't.)
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To: South40

Trump said flat out that as a businessman he didn’t want to slam someone then come back a year later looking for their support on getting a project done. So he always said nice things about all politicians, and gave them money. Now he’s in politics, and he’s being critical about politicians. The rules are different in business and politics.


36 posted on 08/03/2015 2:39:16 PM PDT by Hugin ("Do yourself a favor--first thing, get a firearm!",)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It’s also difficult to predict the
expression on his bosses face when this author offers to fellate him. Wouldn’t you say?


37 posted on 08/03/2015 2:39:43 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (()
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Ted Cruz. . .naturally.


38 posted on 08/03/2015 2:39:58 PM PDT by Hulka
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To: Hugin

Thanks, but I already knew lifelong liberal Donald Trump was a crony capitalist and that he has an excuse for every aspect of his liberal past. I also know a candidate will say or do whatever he or she must to try and get a vote, which is why we should look at their past. If all we had were his business ventures to go by his and your defense might have merit. But Trump’s long liberal record speaks for itself, and falls far short of being defensible with simple explanations of doing what was best for his business.


39 posted on 08/03/2015 2:47:47 PM PDT by South40 (Rafael Edward Cruz 2016)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; All
Donald Trump may seem invincible right now, but his current run can’t last.

Can if he wants it too, tool.

Even if the belligerent savvy Conservative billionaire and current GOP front-runner doesn’t implode...

Fixed the leftist adjective.

If Trump does leave the race for whatever reason, leftist weenie Josh Voorhees, senior writer will blast it all over the water cooler area at Slate that he IMPLODED. His underling lackeys will be impressed.

the fundamentals of American politics will still catch up to him: At some point the GOP field will narrow and an establishment favorite will consolidate enough support to knock Trump from his perch. Eventually, that means he will exit a nominating battle he cannot win.

Those fundamentals of course are all skewed to fit the agenda of Rove, the Bush and Clinton dynasties, Red Eye (swung way left after Gutfeld left) and all the e-GOP pols

They all hate Trump for exposing the corruption brought to our country by the dems and the republicans. The one party system is alive and well.

He has a lot of solutions that will help bring out Country back to the Constitutional Republic it was meant to be.

40 posted on 08/03/2015 2:47:52 PM PDT by Syncro (Throw the self-interest obsessed traitorous e-GOP pols OUT, Restore our Constitutional Republic!)
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