Posted on 03/26/2015 10:49:11 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s newly minted presidential campaign is the media equivalent of a juicy rib-eye that robbers use to distract a guard dog during a heist. He’ll get a ton of media attention, and he’ll get to spread his message — which may be all that Cruz is after — but Cruz almost certainly has no shot of winning the nomination, according to every indicator that predicts success in presidential primaries.
First, Cruz doesn’t have enough support from party bigwigs. To win the Republican or Democratic nomination, you need the backing of at least some of the party apparatus. At a minimum, your fellow party members shouldn’t hate you. Otherwise, you end up getting the Newt Gingrich 2012 treatment. That is, you get pounced on the moment you’re seen as a threat to win the nomination.
If we’re ever in a world where it looks like Cruz could win the nomination, you’ll very likely see such pouncing. You can read article after article about how Cruz has isolated himself in the Senate. It got so bad that he recently had to apologize to his Republican colleagues.
And the Cruz hatred doesn’t stop at the edges of the Senate cloakroom. Influential party actors dislike him, too. I can’t remember another Republican who united Ann Coulter, Pat Robertson, Jennifer Rubin and Thomas Sowell in opposition....
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
Harry J. Enten is a senior political writer and analyst for FiveThirtyEight and blogs about political and electoral statistics at Margin of Error. A 2011 graduate in government from Dartmouth College, he has interned at the NBC political unit in Washington, DC and Pollster.com, and contributed to Taegan Goddard's Political Wire.
Sure Harry, whatever you say...
Not like Enten is un-extreme and liked.
Were they saying this kind of stuff about Mitt in 2012?
Let’s be serious, Jeb will never win.
What a stupid kid; not to mention FUGLY !
And he’s lying about Sowell !
Yeah. ‘Cause we should take advice on politics from twelve year olds...
Heh.
They’re jumping on this Cruz guy like they did with Palin.
I guess they don’t like Hispanics. Or women.
Nobody stays on message better than Ted Cruz.
So far, Cruz is the class of the field.
Some of Ted Cruz’s Ideas:
Abolish IRS and institute a flat tax.
Close the borders.
Fix immigration system and expand legal immigrants.
No citizenship to illegal immigrants.
Defeat and Demolish ISIS.
Protect the unborn.
Protect 2nd Amendment.
These are extreme ideas?
To judge from your photo, the poor fellow suffers from some developmental disorder.
Whoa!
I’ve seen Geeks with advanced degrees in geekery that didn’t look that geeky.
Like I’m fersure he’s got *his* finger on the pulse of the nation. (When he’s not sitting on it.)
And no. This is not an ad hominem attack. ‘Cause he’s not a hominem.
To an awkward, homely, good-test-taking-but-no-common-sense Ivy League Liberal, it’s sacrilege.
The Media hate Cruz the way 35 years ago, they loathed Reagan.
This turd “journalist” has no idea how dangerous Liberalism is until he’s either dead, sick or on a prayer rug.
Cruz or Walker seem to be our last chance to put the Commie genie back in the bottle.
Let’s be serious: Much if not most of the Republican party apparat follows the money, the polls, and ultimately the votes. In short, they’re for sale.
Let’s be even more serious: If that kid is almost four years out of Dartmouth, I’m freaking Liam Neeson.
Well, he certainly looks as if he knows what he’s talking about...and he’s got that whole air of mystery going on (we don’t know what the middle initial J stands for) Then there’s all those numbers and dots that demonstrably prove I’m wrong about everything. It certainly looks as though I’ll have to vote for Jeb...except that Cruz is exactly the piano I want to drop on the power elite...seriously.
Did Cruz go to Rev Wright’s church and get mentored by Bill Ayers???? Wow. Didn’t know Marxists liked Constitutional Conservatives!!!
Enton looks like the IT guy you really don’t want touching your computer.
Have Harry’s testicles descended yet?
Let’s be serious. The Harry Enten liberal bot isn’t good looking enough to post his photo online. Plus, he gives himself away with his left-leaning head that tilts so far left it looks disconnected to his body. So who is he to torque the public around?
Harry J. Enten doesn’t look old enough to be a senior in high school. If the Constitution is too extreme, for this child of the left, then Ted Cruz is just about right for the real people of this nation. Boy, are is the MSM afraid of Ted.
When you put it all together, Jewish voters are Democratic for a reason. They believe in the party's liberal ideology, and identify with its core values. They will not be swayed by Republican attempts to switch allegiances, because on the key issue on which the GOP (partly under Evangelical influence) highlights – diehard support for Israel – just doesn't impress Jews much. They don't view Israel as essential to their political allegiances in the United States, and even if they did, they think Democratic policy is just fine.
He nails his fellow tribe well....but like them he's not a social conservative
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