Posted on 01/01/2011 5:11:20 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
A new set of poll numbers released on Tuesday reinforced the daunting challenge that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin would face in turning the tide in her favor among both Republican primary and general election voters if she were to decide to run for president in 2012.
Perhaps the most discouraging new number as it relates to Palin’s presidential ambitions was a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll, which showed that 49 percent of Republicans said that they were now “very” or “somewhat likely” to support a Palin presidential bid.
At first glance, 49 percent may appear to be a promising slice of the GOP electorate, but it is down dramatically from the 67 percent of Republicans who said that they were likely to support a Palin run when they were asked in a previous CNN poll conducted in December of 2008.
Sixty-seven percent of Republicans in the new CNN poll said that they were somewhat or very likely to support former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee in 2012, while 59 percent said the same of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.
The CNN poll was conducted by telephone from December 17-19 and had a margin of error of plus or minus three percent.
And, looking at another survey, she does not do better.
Compounding those dour numbers for Palin was the release on Tuesday of a series of Democratically-affiliated Public Policy Polling (PPP) state surveys, which were conducted over the past couple of months. The PPP polls showed the former Alaska governor with low favorability ratings among voters in key battleground states.
In Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Michigan, Palin’s overall favorability rating ranged from 34 percent to 37 percent. Meanwhile, her unfavorable rating in those seven bellwether states ranged from 52 percent to 60 percent.
But, the real question for Sarah Palin is whether she thinks a run against President Obama is winnable in nine or ten key battleground states.
◦Ohio – 20 (electoral votes): -2 after reapportionment
◦Virginia – 13
◦Colorado – 9
◦Florida -27: +2 after reapportionment
◦Nevada – 5: +1 after reapportionment
◦Wisconsin -10
◦New Hampshire – 4
◦Indiana – 11
◦North Carolina – 15
I think Palin could win a multi-way GOP primary election/caucus against Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee and/or Newt Gingrich. And, win easily and EARLY.
But, can she beat Obama in the states above?
Palin does not have to decide anytime soon (she will hold off a final decision until April 2011) and watch her political events in these states.
Sarah will be watching her polls and then it is time for deciding. If there is a chance of beating Obama, she runs.
If Sarah is SO unpopular, why do her enemies in the MSM waste so much time telling us how unpopular she is?
I probably post more Palin threads than just about anyone, but I only post about 1 out of 1,000 that I see. Seriously! Many days there are more articles about her than about the current de facto president! Think about what that means.
Anyhoo,polls,especially those done by MSM tools,are completely bogus until elections draw near.
That’s what I’ve been thinking for a while now.
No sane human being would believe a word of this “polling.” They probably got no further than their own newsroom for a “sampling.”
Another blast from the past, Sept. 14, 1979 Field poll in Reagan's own state of California:
"When matched in a trial heat against the leading GOP presidential contender Ronald Reagan, [Ted] Kennedy has a 29 point bulge over the former Governor (63% to 34%) among potential California voters."
In the same California poll Reagan had a 1 point lead over Carter 48-47.
In looking back at that period, I sometimes think we're in a time warp...LOL.
True, 2ndDivisionVet. There’s more articles and *opinion* polls about Sarah Palin than TheWon, and the opinion polls are geared to influence opinion, not sample opinion.
Sarah Palin can win the election and that’s the worry and concern of the lamestream, the Left, and every enemy of our REPUBLIC!
hmmmm,
they couldn’t scare her away,
they couldn’t make her into the Devil
they couldn’t buy her off,
now, they try to convince others that she can’t win
I just love those *blasts from the past*!!!
Cue the *Sarah Palin ain’t Ronald Reagan* posters....LOL.
Why is the leftwing media conducting polls on a civilian?
Amazing what fear can do.
OH, EXCELLENT QUESTION! lol.
Sarah needs to head the RNC.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++
That “meme” has been beaten to death. Sarah already said no and the RNC bigwigs would pigeon hole her if she did.
Please, be nice to dead horses...no need to whip a dead ones. :)
Go’s to show how confused i am i thought the polling was done in China,Iran,Russia and North Korea.
lol
Hillary will withdraw to become the first female Sec of Defense when Gates leaves early this year. :)
Disagree there because the Independents would come FLOCKING back to elect the first woman POTUS and that is the same group of ignorant electorate that put ZERO over the top.
Putting Sarah Palin in the RNC chair is like taking the best special forces operator you’ve got and chaining him to a desk job. Not an effective use of resources. Palin is a scrapper. She needs to be out there on the front lines, not hiding behind some phoney-baloney title in an increasingly-irrelevant institution. The RNC might as well be Whig Central for all the influence it had in the November election.
Exactly!
She's already said that she's not interested.
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