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Foreclosures soaring -- Listings up nearly 25 percent in Atlanta
The Atlanta Business Chronicle ^ | September 19, 2003 | Lisa R. Schoolcraft

Posted on 09/23/2003 5:00:09 PM PDT by Willie Green

For education and discussion only. Not for commercial use.

A record number of Atlanta homeowners are facing foreclosure, despite an improving economy and still-strong housing market. The number of homes in the process of foreclosure is up 24.8 percent over the same time last year, according to data from the Atlanta Foreclosure Report.

The threat of foreclosure looms over both moderately priced and high-end homes, in neighborhoods from Buckhead to Stone Mountain, as job losses and high debt loads take their toll.

"[24.8 percent] is a pretty good jump," said Roger Tutterow, an economist at Kennesaw State University who follows the Atlanta housing market. "Although the overall economy may be picking up speed, we really haven't seen a whole lot of gains in employment and personal income, which are factors that go into foreclosures. Those are the parts of the economy that need to improve the foreclosure numbers."

Atlanta Foreclosure Report's September report, for homes that will face foreclosure Oct. 7, hit a new record in the metro area with 3,431 properties listed, said Bill Bramlett, managing partner of EquiSystems LLC, which puts out the foreclosure report. Georgia law requires foreclosures to be advertised for four consecutive weeks before a house can be reclaimed by a lender. Foreclosures take place the first Tuesday of each month.

Jude Rasmus didn't need the foreclosure report to tell her the number of foreclosures is way up.

"We took in 71 properties since Sept. 2 [when the most recent homes in foreclosure were sold on the courthouse steps]," said Rasmus, president of National Foreclosure Service in Marietta, a real estate company that specializes in selling foreclosed homes. "That is a record-breaker to take in one month since we've been in the business 14 years."

"Nothing's a surprise anymore, but some new observations that we've come up with this year are that the rate of repeat properties has really climbed," Bramlett said.

Typically, 30 percent of all homes in the process of foreclosure were repeat homes, meaning they had been listed already for foreclosure within the past two years, but escaped actual foreclosure, Bramlett said.

"Now we're seeing 50 percent of homes [being repeated on the listings]," he said. "I think we are seeing a final weeding out of all people who have had problems making payments."

Foreclosures aren't the only indicator of economic distress on the rise in Atlanta. Bankruptcies (of all types) are up 14.6 percent through August, compared with the same time last year, according to the U.S. Bankruptcy Court's Northern District of Georgia Atlanta division.

Trouble in paradise

Lithonia's 30058 ZIP code has the most homes listed for foreclosure with 974. Most of the mortgages in foreclosure were in the $100,000 to $200,000 range, according to the Atlanta Foreclosure Report data. During the same time last year, Lithonia's 30058 ZIP code posted 812 homes in the process of foreclosure.

But homes in Atlanta's tonier ZIP codes aren't immune from the foreclosure process. Atlanta's 30327 ZIP code, home to Tuxedo Road, has had 90 homes face foreclosure so far this year, including a $3.1 million home on Rembrandt Road owned by Jack D. Aberbook, according to the Atlanta Foreclosure Report. That compares with 64 homes during the same time last year.

Bill Lawson, vice president and managing broker of Harry Norman Realtors' Gwinnett/DeKalb office, said he doesn't think job loss is the only reason for high foreclosures in his region, which includes Lithonia and Stone Mountain.

"Now we have to point the finger back to the mortgage end of it," he said. "They are allowing loans that maybe they shouldn't. Everybody wants people to get into their dream homes, and there's nothing wrong with that. I'm not saying it's fraud, but they are stretching people into houses they can't afford."

Rasmus said she is seeing more homes in Stone Mountain, and more condos, going on the auction block.

Rasmus sees banks being more aggressive in trying to get foreclosed homes sold.

"The banks are taking a whole different position in pricing," she said.

A few months ago maybe a bank held one or two REOs, or real-estate owned, properties -- a bank's term for a foreclosed home. Now a bank may have 15, Rasmus said.

But Mary Welch, a spokesperson for Bank of America Corp., said the Charlotte, N.C.-based mega-bank is "not taking any other measures to move properties quicker. It's very much business as usual."

Bank of America simply wants to recover the money lost in the defaulted mortgage, she said.

Better times ahead?

Nationally, loans in the process of foreclosure and loans in delinquency declined slightly in the second quarter, compared with the same time last year, according to data released Sept. 10 by the Mortgage Bankers Association of America.

The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process nationally in the second quarter stood at 1.12, compared with 1.13 percent a year ago, the MBA said. Also in the second quarter, 4.62 percent of all loans were in delinquency, compared with 4.77 percent of loans in the second quarter of 2002.

In Georgia, 5.9 percent of all loans were in delinquency in the second quarter, while 1.27 percent of loans were in the process of foreclosure, according to the data. The association does not break the data down by metropolitan statistical area.

The rise in delinquencies since first-quarter 2000 is attributable to job losses across the country, said Doug Duncan, MBA senior vice president and chief economist.

"Job growth and employment is the single most determinant in changes in the level of delinquencies and foreclosures," he said.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events; US: Georgia
KEYWORDS: bankruptcy; debt; foreclosures; thebusheconomy
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To: GOPJ
The real increase in foreclosures, will not come until after bankruptcies peak. First you go into bankruptcy because you can keep your home when you go bankrupt. It wont be until after people have eliminated all their other debts thru bankrupcy that you will then start to see homes foreclosures starting to increase. Not everyone who goes bankrupt will foreclose, since many will be able to make their house payments even with low wage jobs once they get rid of all their unsecured debt thru bankrupcy.
21 posted on 09/23/2003 8:38:56 PM PDT by waterstraat
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To: Clemenza
Smart woman (or man). You would do well to hold off for a few more years when there will be a huge real estate bust. Prices will fall significantly.
22 posted on 09/23/2003 8:39:02 PM PDT by bat1816
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To: TXnMA
"Get a life..."

If you don't like the content you can always change the channel...

23 posted on 09/23/2003 8:39:03 PM PDT by JohnSmithee
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To: bat1816
That's what I'm doing. Prices in southeastern PA are absolutely insane with the low rates. I'm quietly stocking away cash and waiting for the inevitable drop.
24 posted on 09/23/2003 8:41:03 PM PDT by Windcatcher
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To: waterstraat
"As more jobs are lost to asia, I expect there will be an increase in the number of americans that wont be able to make their payments. We shall see. Anyways, you heard it here first."

Offshore outsourcing to places like Asia is a fad that will abruptly end as soon as the U.S. Dollar devalues a little further.

A devalued Dollar makes it much more expensive to pay those foreign contracts, after all...

25 posted on 09/23/2003 8:44:49 PM PDT by Southack (Media bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: TXnMA
Get a life...

No kidding. The guy is a flat out socialist.

26 posted on 09/23/2003 8:45:51 PM PDT by Texas_Dawg (Socialist intervention sucks.)
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To: JohnSmithee
If you don't like the content you can always change the channel...

...or, make fun of the poster. In this case, the latter is the more appropriate option.

27 posted on 09/23/2003 8:48:30 PM PDT by Texas_Dawg (Socialist intervention sucks.)
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To: Windcatcher
All my friends and coworkers are pushing me to buy a home saying "prices will only go up." Of course these are the same people that said the stock market could only go up.

Look at Japan's real estate market since the early 1990s...it's dropped by nearly 70% in some places. There's a good book out about the coming US real estate bust, but I can't recall the title or author right now.
28 posted on 09/23/2003 8:54:24 PM PDT by bat1816
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To: Windcatcher
All my friends and coworkers are pushing me to buy a home saying "prices will only go up." Of course these are the same people that said the stock market could only go up.

Look at Japan's real estate market since the early 1990s...it's dropped by nearly 70% in some places. There's a good book out about the coming US real estate bust, but I can't recall the title or author right now.
29 posted on 09/23/2003 8:54:28 PM PDT by bat1816
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To: Southack
Offshore outsourcing to places like Asia is a fad that will abruptly end as soon as the U.S. Dollar devalues a little further. A devalued Dollar makes it much more expensive to pay those foreign contracts, after all...

The fad of using asian labor, will last until the cost of paying asians, is equal to that of hiring americans after adding in social security costs, unemployment insurance costs, epa, osha, medical benefits, and actual wages of american workers. When an american is paid exactly what an asian worker is paid, total and net, when conditions are isotonic, then the flow of jobs from america to asia will stop, or even out. Not until then.

30 posted on 09/24/2003 6:44:55 AM PDT by waterstraat
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To: waterstraat
Yawn... As if you know.

Offshore outsourcing is a fad that will abruptly die.

For one thing, the U.S. Dollar isn't going to remain over-valued forever (thus making foreign contracts appear cheaper than they actually are).

For another, the quality of foreign apps isn't up to par.

Add in cultural, time, and language/communication issues and you've got yourself a fad that looks good only on paper but that seldom appears good in practice.

31 posted on 09/24/2003 9:07:28 AM PDT by Southack (Media bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: Always A Marine
"Lenders have been throwing cheap money at unqualified borrowers for years. Perhaps now they will learn to fear bad credit risks more than false charges of racial discrimination. "

A high percentage of those are FHA/HUD insured loans. The lender will get their money back. Taxpayer bailout.
32 posted on 10/13/2003 8:01:05 AM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: Willie Green
Atlantas foreclosures were predictable as hell... absurd appreciation that could not be sustained combined with slowing economy meant, people thought their "paper equity" was real... often tapped it naively, and then when things went bad, did not have the income to hold onto their property and since the values declined were now underwater or had no way to tap the equity they may have been left.


Its classic pattern in areas where appreciation bursts insanely in short time frames... people think it will last for ever, and rare, VERY RARELY does it.. when the market slows that paper equity disappears and they are left underwater in a house, and often out of work or underemployed as well.


And lets not even get into all the newbie real estate investors who wanted to get on the gravy train but really had no idea what they were getting into... getting in over their heads and losing their properties quickly as well.
33 posted on 10/13/2003 8:06:40 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: BIGZ
Are these people being taxed out of their homes?

That was my first thought.

Here in Brunswick, taxes on the house have quadrupled since 1987.
And we pay taxes to both city and county.
And the sales tax has jumped from 3% to 7%.

Needless to say, we are looking for a cheaper area to spend our declining years.

34 posted on 10/13/2003 8:11:17 AM PDT by backhoe (Just an old Keyboard Cowboy, ridin' the trackball into the Sunset...)
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To: BIGZ
What is the property tax situation in Atlanta? Are these people being taxed out of their homes?

Good question. It would be interesting to see a list of the property tax rates from around the country.

35 posted on 10/13/2003 8:15:31 AM PDT by ladtx ( "Remember your regiment and follow your officers." Captain Charles May, 2d Dragoons, 9 May 1846)
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To: clockwork
There are three other causes for forclosure. Divorce, hospital bills and unmarried women who bite off more than can chew.

Health care forclosures are on the rise. Unmarried women are also listed as increased forclosures.
36 posted on 10/13/2003 8:28:07 AM PDT by bert (Don't Panic!)
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