Posted on 09/17/2003 8:14:30 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache
Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003
...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.
At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.
Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.
An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.
Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.
There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.
Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.
Forecaster Avila
That means the wind has changed direction. The power lines are trying to right themselves now.
Historically, this little know event has not been very successful in restoring electricity to residential customers.
If it gets really bad, I'm hitting the basement.
Productivity loss? I don't know what basis Fox was using to generate those numbers. But it was a great segment with that wind guage. ;-)
I don't know if we will make it into work tomorrow...
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I'd love to, but I have to rearrange my sock drawer.
Looks like DC's going to miss the worst of it... the main core of the storm is passing just to the west.
Again? LOL!
My new kittens name is DC. Not for District of Columbia, but for Deaf Cat.
He is very cute though. He loves the Viking Kitties...
Couldn't get back earlier -- my daughter took over computer and our power is blinking on and off. We're keeping our flashlights within reach. At times, it becomes rather quiet here in western Fairfax County until another band comes through howling with heavy rains and wind gusts.
Between 1-2 million Virginians without power.
We're being strongly encouraged to stay home and off the roads though I occasionally see cars going by and a few neighbors strolling in the rain with flashlights swinging in the darkness (probably teenagers).
I'm a government employee
Well, I wasn't going to say it. ;-)
My prayers are with you. pepco might be coping with interagency cooperation
Ended up cancelling our Williamburgs weekend.
Bought a generator about ten years ago. Our generator has paid for itself many, many times over. No spoiled food.
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