Looks like SARS will go to zero by month's end.

World Health Organization ^ | June 15, 2003 | StACase

[StACase]

The important statistic with regard to diseases such as SARS is, in my opinion, the number of active cases. WHO and News organizations don't report this stat. However, WHO since April 10th has reported total number of cases, deaths and recoveries from which the number active cases can easily be derived. So, if my Excel® generated chart of that data is correct, SARS will hit "Zero" active cases before the end of June.

[StACase]

It looks like SARS should go to zero by the end of the month.

[Lonesome in Massachussets]

Unless another batch is released from a Peking Bio-weapons laboratory.

[backhoe]

-Strange new disease outbreaks--

[_Jim]

Unless another batch is released from a Peking Bio-weapons laboratory.

Where's your 'sarcasm' tag?

[Lonesome in Massachussets]

I wasn't aware that I needed one. Sarcasm is in the ear of the listener.

[_Jim]

SARS DIARY - A Study In Panic

[KellyAdmirer]

... and when summer ends, it will pop right back up again.

[_Jim]

Sarcasm is in the ear of the listener.

Not, however, when comes to the too tightly-wound conspiro-loon crowd ... for that case and to point out the over-board reaction by some through an attempt at subtle sarcasm that skims close to being conspiracy-minded the rational among us created the 'sarcasm' tag to be *sure* the conspiro-loons comprehend the attempt ...

[_Jim]

... and when summer ends, it will pop right back up again.

How so?

Reseachers indicate that WARMER WEATHER represents the increased threat involving SARS ...

From: http://image.thelancet.com/extras/03art4453web.pdf

Finally the warm season has begun in Hong Kong, with daily temperatures now at 25–30ºC. The seasonal risks of dengue and influenza will increase, and if serious outbreaks occur, they will complicate the triage of patients with possible symptoms of SARS. Thus, measures that can be taken now to limit further transmission, such as the shortening of the onset-to-admission interval, should be given high priority.

[staytrue]

Basically, for some people, if there is too much rain, it will be a peking conspiracy to control the weather.

[Orangedog]

Great! Just in time for West-Nile virus to flare back up!

[_Jim]

Just in time for West-Nile virus to flare back up!

I see a peking conspiracy to control the weather in order to to boost the mosquito population which can only further fuel the West Nile Virus 'crises' ...

</sarcasm>

[angkor]

It was pretty clear that when SARS was first ID'd in Hanoi, and successfully contained with zero new cases (in one of the world's poorest countries), that it was not going to be a long-lived phenomena.

[Trust but Verify]

Two words: Insect repellent.

[aristeides]

First US Sars Death?. Dr. Henry Niman of Harvard thinks the man who died in NC will turn out to have been a superspreader of SARS.

[_Jim]

thinks the man who died in NC

At this point in time he only 'thinks' the man hay have had SARS?

No positive test results - no confirming autopsy studies yet?

[aristeides]

No confirming tests, yet. "I suspect" are the words Dr. Niman uses.

[_Jim]

Hmmm ... "I suspect" ... words awfully close to "an educated guess" but far from "positive proof" or "we know for a fact" ...

[aristeides]

If it's an educated guess, it's an educated guess by Dr. Henry Niman.

[KellyAdmirer]

That's fine, we'll see what happens when the weather turns cooler again.