California Election Results

self ^ | 11-6-02 | Bones McCoy

[bonesmccoy]

California Election results for governor

It appears to me that the GOP is consistently losing the statewide offices because of voting in three counties. Virtually the entire state went for Simon with the exception of Oakland, San Francisco, and Los Angeles counties.

__________________________________________________

1998 results

From the standpoint of the number of counties taken, Simon did better than Lungren (though the popular vote was much different).

[bonesmccoy]

The Democrat clean sweep in California politics needs to be addressed by Cal GOP and the national ticket.

Here's my armchair analysis of these events.

1. Election of 2004 Impact Gray Davis is running for President in 2004. George W. Bush must be making a calculation on the impact of this statewide election on the election of 2004. Davis will garner alot of support from California based tech firms, entertainment, and Clintonistas.

The Prez didn't show up in California in the final days of the gubernatorial campaign. Have they basically written off the state in 2004? I think so. This means California is probably not in the running to produce a serious Presidential candidate unless Gray Davis runs (which he will).

I observe that other than Gray Davis, there are no Democratic winners that are immediately obvious. The DNC appears to have thrown all of its effort behind McBride (which they lost) and Davis (which they nearly lost).

Look for the Rats to consolidate racial politics in the black and hispanic community.

[oc-flyfish]

Sad day here in the People's Republic of California.

[BibChr]

Looking at those numbers last night, I remarked to my wife:

One good earthquake, and we will find ourselves...

1. Owners of beach-front property, and
2. Residents of a solidly-Republican state!

Dan

[ECM]

Those of us that are incarcerated here would hope there's a better way to move the state to the 'R' column.

[Lurking2Long]

With the number of earthquakes lately, might I suggest you take down your breakables?

[eureka!]

Thanks. Look at the GOP turnout compared to last time. Sheesh. $50 million in negative ads will do that, just as planned. Oh well, we know who filled the handbasket as this once great state heads to Hades....

Otherwise-Ping. Nice effort all. Can't say we didn't try...

[bonesmccoy]

The impact of the Latino vote can not be underestimated. The Escobar candidacy lost to Loretta Sanchez' sister. It's obvious what is occuring.

The rank and file Latino voters are not hearing or responding to GOP campaign tactics. They are resonating with Democratic Party racial politics.

I'm not sure how to neutralize racial politics. It's so easy for the lefties to yell "racism" at ever turn.

Oakland, SF, and LA apparently voted left and never heard the facts regarding the plight of their own families.

[Faithfull]

I'm curious about the impact and percentage of the minority vote in the Davis won counties. I hope Republicans take a good look at the immigrant and minority vote and quit putting so much emphasis on it. Looks to me across the country that minorities didn't move over to the Republicans.Perhaps the money is best spent on those that either don't vote or the undecided.

[bonesmccoy]

Uh..that's 65 million dollars spent by the Davis campaign. He basically should have sent $5.00 to each vote he got. In most states, that's called a "TAX CUT". In California, the money is spent on TV time in the major cities (which has this impact).

[Squantos]

That Kali map resembles the last national election pretty much IMO. The welfare dependent urban bottom feeders in big cities counted for the socialist demonrat who gives em free goobermint cheeeeese .......albeit in very small slices !

Stay Safe !

[BibChr]

1. Flippant answer: we've tried "other means." It's time for something drastic! Move inland!

2. I feel basically the same about living in California, period. But looking at maps like this (and the similar CA map after 2000) make one feel as if one is a member of a split state.

3. Perhaps we could split off the coastals, and call the new state New Delachusylvanimont?

Dan

[MAD-AS-HELL]

I reluctantly voted for the inept Simon, but here's the deal. With the state run by all democraps, there will be no way for the party to hide as Davis continues to screw up this state. He'll raise taxes and create new ones. As the state continues to slide into the pacific due to Democratic mishandling, the Republican party will surely have a great opportunity in 2006, assuming they aren't as inept at the Simon campaign was.

[rightwing2]

Davis is loosing by three points. I am predicting that he (Simon) loses by about five points. If he does, then this will be the biggest story of the election because it will mean that had Bush not abandoned this race, Simon could very conceivably have won this race. Of course, I hope I am wrong and Simon wins tonight!

Post #4 posted on 11/05/2002 11:38 PM EST by rightwing2 on other thread

Actual final vote tally:

Davis 47.4%
Simon 42.4%

Looks like my prediction last night at 11:38pm EST at post #4 turned out to be prophetic. Simon lost by precisely the five percentage points that I said he would just like Earley did for Governor in 2001 and I blame Bush and his advisors entirely for abandoning this very winnable race back in August. A couple more Bush appearances in the state could have given Simon a four point boost and given him a three point win over Davis. Plus, it would have spilled over into other CA statewide races which would have been a stunning GOP victory! I also called the Senate for the GOP at 9:40pm EST last night right after I heard about GOP leads/wins in Georgia and NH.

I think the President did an outstanding job everywhere else though and I think we have him to thank for retaking the US Senate. Perhaps, the GOP sacrifice in losing the governorship and Lieutenant Governorship of Virginia last year was not in vain after all because it seems that Bush really did lose his lesson (except in California) which is that he cannot afford to put himself "above politics" if he hopes to get his agenda passed through the Senate and get re-elected President.

[dubyagee]

ROTFL! Sure looks that way...

[tallhappy]

OK. Election's over. Time to say it.

CA GOP is pathetic. They are incompetents.

Just a few years ago they won the State Assembly.

And couldn't even keep it together long enough to elect a speaker for a majority they had.

They've been going down hill fast from there.

[tallhappy]

I blame Bush

Nonsense. CA GOP are incomptetent buffoons. And they essentially lied or passed bogus info to the 2000 Bush campaign.

I understand perfectly why Bush would stay away.

[bonesmccoy]

The Simon campaign attempted to make an effort to direct the GOP agenda at the minority community.

Here's the 2000 census data for Oakland, SF, and LA

Los Angeles County
Total population 18 and older 6,851,362

Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 2,707,234 39.5
Not Hispanic or Latino 4,144,128 60.5

One race 3,998,762 58.4
White 2,431,261 35.5
Black or African American 636,294 9.3
American Indian and Alaska Native 19,183 0.3
Asian 883,157 12.9
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander 15,669 0.2
Some other race 13,198 0.2
Two or more races 145,366 2.1

[Inspectorette]

I think it's a blessing that our beloved Ronaldus Maximus isn't aware of what's happened to our once Golden State

[bonesmccoy]

Oh? And what bogus info is that?