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Bush's Approval Rating (61%), Handling War On Terror (68%) Still High (Newsweek Poll)
PR Newswire ^ | August 30, 2002

Posted on 09/01/2002 4:02:43 PM PDT by Timesink

Bush's Approval Rating (61%), Handling War On Terror (68%) Still High

/PRNewswire/ --62 Percent Of Americans Would Support Military Action Against Iraq, But Say President Needs Congressional, International Support First

66 Percent Say It's Somewhat To Very Likely That Another Terror Attack In The U.S. Will Happen Before The End Of The Year, But Most Say They Feel Safe

NEW YORK, Aug. 30 /PRNewswire/ -- Nearly a year after the terrorist attacks on New York City and Washington, D.C., the majority of Americans (61%) still approve of the way President George W. Bush is handling his job, according to the latest Newsweek Poll though that number is slightly lower from the last Poll on July 18-19, when his rating was 65 percent and has slipped from 73 percent in the Newsweek Poll in May and from the high 80s, where he polled just after Sept. 11. The president also gets high ratings for his fight against the war on terrorism overseas (68% approve, 26% disapprove), and on policies to prevent and minimize terrorism at home (72% approve, 23% disapprove). And with focus shifting to Iraq, a 62-percent majority of Americans say they would support military action against Iraq (31% would not), the Poll shows.

Majorities would also support using air strikes against Iraq without any troops (63%), sending in commandos or special forces to capture Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein or work with local anti-Saddam forces (70%), and organizing an international force to force Saddam from power and take control of the country (69%). And more people (49%) favor sending in large numbers of U.S. ground troops to ensure control of the country than oppose doing so (45%). However, majorities also think it's important for the president to get various levels of approval before any action against Iraq is taken. Eightyfive percent say it's somewhat important (24%) to very important (61%) for President Bush to get Congressional approval first; 86 percent say it's somewhat important (28%) to very important (58%) for him to get support from most of our European allies; 81 percent say it's somewhat important (26%) to very important (55%) to get formal support from the United Nations; and 81 percent say it's somewhat important (30%) to very important (51%) to get support from most of the Arab countries that are friendly to the United States.

As to the threat of Al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, a 77-percent majority thinks he is still alive and 54 percent of those polled say removing top Al Qaeda leaders will not be enough to eliminate the threat against the U.S. because too many cells and potential leaders would remain. Twenty-seven percent say it will be necessary not only to capture or kill bin Laden to remove the threat, but to also capture or kill other top leaders in his organization. The majority of people (66%) think it is somewhat (48%) to very likely (18%) that more terrorist attacks will be carried out against major U.S. cities, buildings or national landmarks between now and the end of the year. Most people think such an attack could be carried out by chemical or biological weapons (34%), conventional weapons (26%), or a "dirty bomb" that spreads

Radioactive material (14%). Only three percent think it could be carried out by airliners and skyjacking, and four percent say nuclear weapons (4%). The majority (60%) are also somewhat (47%) to very confident (13%) that U.S. intelligence and law enforcement agencies will be able to prevent future terrorist attacks in this country. Twenty-six percent say they are not too confident and 15 percent say they are not confident at all.

Still, 42 percent of Americans say they feel safe, with only 9 percent saying they feel a lot less safe since September 11, and 19 percent saying somewhat less safe. The majority of Americans (63%) is more worried about the economy and the job situation than they are about the threat of another terrorist attack (19%). And the overwhelming majority of Americans have not changed their habits because of concerns about terrorism. Seventy-seven percent say they are not avoiding air travel, or staying close to home (84%), avoiding large cities (83%), crowded public places (84%), or people who appear to be Arab or Middle Eastern (87%). However, more people say they feel more patriotic (75%) and more are spending more time with family (56%).

And most people think there have been at least some to a lot of safety and security improvements since September 11 at airports and on commercial airplanes (33% say some, 52% say a lot); at major business and government buildings (38% say some, 38% say a lot); at national landmarks (34% say some, 35% say a lot); at nuclear power plants (30% say some, 33% say a lot); at stadiums and sports arenas (38% say some, 28% say a lot); at major dams and reservoirs (35% say some, 19% say a lot); at major bridges and tunnels (34% say some, 19% say a lot), and at postal facilities (37% say some, 26% say a lot).

On the issue of civil liberties, opinion is evenly split on whether it will be necessary for the average person to give some up in order to curb terrorism, with 47 percent saying it's necessary and 47 percent saying it is not. However, 58 percent say what the Bush administration has done so far in restricting civil liberties in response to terrorism has been about right. Only 16 percent say it has gone too far. But the majority (62%) says making it easier for intelligence and law enforcement agents to monitor people's private telephone conversations and e-mail goes too far, as does using race, religion, or ethnicity as a factor in determining who is a suspected terrorist (59%). Eighty percent say detaining people at airports solely because of their religion goes too far and 63 percent say giving government the power to detain American citizens suspected of crimes indefinitely without review by a judge also goes too far.

Public opinion is more evenly split on President Bush's handling of the economy (48% approve, 45% disapprove), taxes (49% approve, 42% disapprove), the environment (52% approve, 36% disapprove) and energy policy (47% approve, 33% disapprove). And when asked if the November election for U.S. Congress were held today, opinion was almost evenly split with 40 percent saying they would choose the Democratic Party's candidate and 45 percent saying they would choose the Republican Party's candidate.

For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates interviewed by telephone 1,005 adults aged 18 and older on August 28-29, 2002. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. This Newsweek Poll is part of the September 9 issue (on newsstands Monday, September 2).

            (Poll attached.  Read Newsweek's news releases at
           http://www.newsweek.msnbc.com/.  Click "Pressroom.")


                              Newsweek Poll
                           One Year After 9/11
                   Princeton Survey Research Associates
                          Final Topline Results
                                (8/30/02)

  N = 1005 adults, 18 and over
  Margin of error: plus or minus 3 percentage points
  Interviewing dates: 8/28-29/02
  SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR KEY SUBGROUPS:
         842  Registered Voters (plus or minus 4)
  NOTE: An asterisk (*) indicates a value less than one percent.
  Question 1 for classification purposes only.

  2a/b.  If the November election for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY,
         would you vote for...the Republican Party's candidate or the
         Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?
         [IF OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you
         LEAN more toward...the Republican or the Democrat?

  BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS
                      Total Rep         Total Dem    Undecided/Other
  Current Total           45                40              15         = 100
  Trends
   June 2002              44                46              10         = 100
   February 2002          46                45               9         = 100
   10/8-9/98              43                45              12         = 100
    9/24-25/98            43                48               9         = 100
    9/10-11/98            43                45              12         = 100
    8/20-21/98            41                47              12         = 100
  NOTE: Trends from June and February 2002 from Pew Research Center.
        Trend question wording read "If the elections for U.S. Congress ..."

  3.  Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his
      job as president?
                                  Approve          Disapprove     DK
  Current Total                        61                  30      9   = 100
  Trends
   (7/18-19/02)                        65                  25     10   = 100
   (7/11-12/02)                        68                  22     10   = 100
   (6/27-28/02)                        70                  19     11   = 100
   (5/16-17/02)                        73                  20      7   = 100
   (4/25-26/02)                        71                  16     13   = 100
   (3/21-22/02)                        74                  16     10   = 100
   (2/12-18/02)**                      78                  13      9   = 100
   (1/31-2/1/02)                       83                  12      5   = 100
  (12/13-14/01)                        81                  11      8   = 100
  (12/6-7/01)                          82                  12      6   = 100
  (11/29-30/01)                        85                   9      6   = 100
  (11/15-16/01)                        85                  10      5   = 100
  (11/8-9/01)                          85                   8      7   = 100
  (11/1-2/01)                          85                  11      4   = 100
  (10/25-26/01)                        85                  10      5   = 100
  (10/18-19/01)                        88                   8      4   = 100
  (10/11-12/01)                        88                   8      4   = 100
  (10/4-5/01)                          84                  11      5   = 100
   (9/27-28/01)                        86                   9      5   = 100
   (9/20-21/01)                        86                  10      4   = 100
   (9/13-14/01)                        82                  11      7   = 100
   (8/25-9/5/01)**                     51                  34     15   = 100
   (8/2-8/01)**                        50                  32     18   = 100
   (7/2-12/01)**                       51                  32     17   = 100
   (6/13-17/01)                        50                  33     17   = 100
   (5/10-11/01)                        50                  31     19   = 100
   (5/3-4/01)                          57                  30     13   = 100
   (4/12-13/01)                        57                  28     15   = 100
   (3/15-16/01)                        55                  30     15   = 100
   (2/15-16/01)                        56                  21     23   = 100
   (2/8-9/01)                          52                  25     23   = 100

  **NOTE:  Bush approval trends for June-early September 2001 and February
           12-18, 2002 from Pew Research Center.

  4.  Next, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way
      George W. Bush is handling each of the following specific aspects of
      his job.  (First,) do you approve or disapprove of the way he is
      handling...(INSERT-READ ITEMS IN ORDER)
                                             Approve  Disapprove  DK
  a.  The war against terrorism overseas
      Current Total                           68          26       6  = 100
      Trends
      (5/16-17/02)                            76          20       4  = 100
      (1/31-2/1/02)                           86          11       3  = 100

b. Policies to prevent and minimize terrorism at home Current Total 72 23 5 = 100 Trends (5/16-17/02) 71 23 6 = 100 (1/31-2/1/02) 82 14 4 = 100

c. The economy Current Total 48 45 7 = 100 Trends (5/3-5/4/2001) 53 34 13 = 100 (4/12-13/01) 48 36 16 = 100

d. Taxes Current Total 49 42 9 = 100 Trends (5/3-5/4/2001) 53 37 10 = 100 (4/12-13/01) 48 40 12 = 100

e. The environment Current Total 52 36 12 = 100 Trends (5/3-5/4/2001) 45 41 14 = 100 (4/12-13/01) 42 39 19 = 100

f. Energy policy Current Total 47 33 20 = 100 Trends (5/3-5/4/2001) 44 39 17 = 100 (4/12-13/01) 41 3 21 =100

  5.  In the fight against terrorism, the Bush Administration has talked
      about using military force against Saddam Hussein and his military in
      Iraq.  Would you support using military force against Iraq, or not?
                                       Yes          No          DK
  Current Total                         62          31           7   = 100
  Trends
  (4/25-26/02)                          68          24           8   = 100
  (12/13-14/01)                         78          15           7   = 100
  (10/11-12/01)                         81          15           4   = 100

  6.  Please tell me whether or not you would support each of the following
      kinds of U.S. military action against IRAQ and its leader Saddam
      Hussein.  (First,) what about...(READ ITEMS IN ORDER)?
      (Would you support this kind of military action or not?)
                                                       Yes    No   DK
  a.  Using air strikes against Iraq without any troops
      on the ground
      Current Total                                     63    30    7 = 100
      Trend
      (11/29-30/01)                                     68    23    9 = 100

b. Sending in commandos or special forces to capture Saddam Hussein or work with local anti-Saddam forces Current Total 70 23 7 = 100 Trend (11/29-30/01) 74 19 7 = 100

c. Sending in large numbers of U.S. ground troops to ensure control of the country Current Total 49 45 6 = 100 Trend (11/29-30/01) 56 40 4 = 100

d. Organizing an INTERNATIONAL force to force Saddam Hussein from power and take control of the country Current Total 69 25 6 = 100 Trend (11/29-30/01) 65 28 7 = 100

  7.  How important do you think it is that President Bush first get  ...
      (READ ITEMS IN ORDER) before taking military action against Iraq?
      Is it very important, somewhat important, not too important or not at
      all important?
                              Very   Somewhat  Not too  Not at all  DK
  a.  The approval of Congress
      Current Total            61      24        6        7          2 = 100
      Trends
      (2/19-20/98)             66      19        6        6          3 = 100
      (1/10-11/91)             60      22        6        9          3 = 100

b. Formal support from the United Nations Current 55 26 8 9 2 = 100

c. Support from most of our European allies Current 58 28 7 5 2 = 100

d. Support from most of the Arab countries that are friendly to the United States Current 51 30 8 8 3 = 100

  NOTE: Trend from 1998 asked about Clinton and trend from 1991 asked about
        George Bush Sr.

  8. What do you think it will take for the United States to eliminate the
     threat of future acts of terrorism against this country by Al Queda,
     Osama bin Laden's organization? (READ)

Current 1/31-2/1/02 11/15-16/01 10 Will it be enough to capture or 9 11 kill bin Laden, OR 27 Will it ALSO be necessary to capture 32 43 or kill other top leaders in his organization, OR 54 Will removing top leaders NOT eliminate 53 40 the threat because too many cells and potential leaders would remain? 9 Don't know 6 6 100 100 100



TOPICS: Breaking News; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: approvalrating; bush; electionpresident; newsweek; poll; polls; publicopinionlist; waronterror
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To: uncbob
lol
21 posted on 09/01/2002 5:14:57 PM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: GoMonster
Yeah, I noticed that, too, LoL!!!! Probably was 50-35, but News Weak had to alter it by ten.
22 posted on 09/01/2002 5:16:24 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: Wait4Truth
A few days ago I heard Bush was losing US support for war. If it's 62% now, what was it then?
23 posted on 09/01/2002 5:50:33 PM PDT by Lady Jag
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To: Timesink
This is pure BS. I checked every eligible voter in my family and he is at 100%.
24 posted on 09/01/2002 6:05:16 PM PDT by arkfreepdom
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To: All
I just came from a chatroom where the chatters use pictures. Someone used this one.

Warning! It is disgusting


25 posted on 09/01/2002 6:09:44 PM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Timesink
I guarandamntee you if it were 45-40 the other way on the generic Congress poll that Fineman, et al, would not use the words "evenly split."
26 posted on 09/01/2002 6:13:34 PM PDT by austinrepub
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To: Timesink; Wait4Truth; JohnHuang2; All
Recent Poll results as published by pollingreport.com [ http://pollingreport.com/BushJob.htm ]:

LA Times (8/22-25/02):
68% Approve 27% Disapprove 5% Don't Know

CNN/Time (8/28-29/02):
65% Approve 28% Disapprove 7% Don't Know

Newsweek (8/28-29)02):
61% Approve 30% Disapprove 9% Don't Know

PHENOMENAL numbers! [Note that the President maintains these high approval/low disapproval numbers in the face of mid-term elections, economic uncertainty, and incessant speculation about an Iraqi invasion!]
27 posted on 09/01/2002 6:29:51 PM PDT by DrDeb
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To: uncbob
According to Gallup, Clinton's approval ratings surpassed 70% only TWICE during his entire 8 year tenure -- 12/20/98 and 2/9/99. Conversely, even when he posted 60ish ratings, his disapprovals were in the high 30s. [NOTE: According to Gallup, Clinton averaged a 55% approval rating for his 8 years; Reagan averaged a 53% rating]

28 posted on 09/01/2002 6:40:04 PM PDT by DrDeb
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To: sciencediet
I think it was something like 51%. I've forgotten what poll it was.
29 posted on 09/01/2002 6:40:52 PM PDT by Lady In Blue
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To: JohnHuang2
Thanks John. I didn't expect the polls would remain that high. I guess these numbers are more realistic.
30 posted on 09/01/2002 6:45:33 PM PDT by Victoria Delsoul
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To: bybybill
I think you are right. In fact, I was thinking today about how the commemoration of 9/11 will go, and among other things, I think Bush is going to get a monstrous bump in the poll numbers because people will REMEMBER.
31 posted on 09/01/2002 6:50:15 PM PDT by LS
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To: Wait4Truth
CNN/Gallop has the President at 65% for the same two days of polling. Newsweek has had him consistantly lower than other polls - ever since 9-11. They always seem to be about 5% lower than everybody else.

It depends on how much one pushes the "push poll", a favorite technique of the libs. Notice how they also report combinations of responses to skew the overall perception:

[Eightyfive percent say it's somewhat important (24%) to very important (61%) for President Bush to get Congressional approval first; 86 percent say it's somewhat important (28%) to very important (58%) for him to get support from most of our European allies; 81 percent say it's somewhat important (26%) to very important (55%) to get formal support from the United Nations; and 81 percent say it's somewhat important (30%) to very important (51%) to get support from most of the Arab countries that are friendly to the United States.]

This technique was assiduously avoided during the Clinton administration. Hence they would report events along these lines: Only 20% are highly in favor of impeaching Clinton, to mask the fact that 55% were highly for or generally in favor of impeachment.

32 posted on 09/01/2002 6:50:32 PM PDT by Mad_Tom_Rackham
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To: GoMonster
Evenly split???

Another finesse. Liberal media types are such weasels. No wonder they have less credibility than used car salesmen. Too bad they manage to fool just enough sheeple each election cycle.

33 posted on 09/01/2002 6:54:39 PM PDT by Mad_Tom_Rackham
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To: DrDeb
[NOTE: According to Gallup, Clinton averaged a 55% approval rating for his 8 years; Reagan averaged a 53% rating]

And Reagan had to spend the first half of his term rebuilding an economy that had been debilitated by dimocrat policy under Carter, et al. And given that, the electorate applauded Reagan's leadership ability. All Clinton had to do is coast on the wave of economic prosperity that Reagan/Bush had enabled, and not screw things up. Thanks to the Gingrich takeover of the congress in 1994, Clinton wasn't permitted to screw things up, and thus the economy prospered. To his credit, Clinton didn't rock the boat. To his eternal shame, he sold influence, politicized Federal agencies, weakened our national defence, commited treason, and on and on and on. He should still be tried for treason, IMO.

34 posted on 09/01/2002 7:07:53 PM PDT by Mad_Tom_Rackham
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To: Mad_Tom_Rackham
If albore were in the WH the poll would be -61%
35 posted on 09/01/2002 9:18:06 PM PDT by spokeshave
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To: NordP
Thank God we have a President more interested in doing the right thing for the right reasons, than reading polls!

Absolutely!

Also, this nation needs to be weened off of that we are the world business, and just remember we were attacked, not the rest of the world! We do not need their approval, help, or anything else to protect this country and avenge the deaths of our citizens!

36 posted on 09/01/2002 9:25:50 PM PDT by ladyinred
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To: Timesink; MJY1288
Thanks. Not bad numbers from one of the most liberal polls.
37 posted on 09/02/2002 2:45:39 AM PDT by patriciaruth
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Comment #38 Removed by Moderator

To: Victoria Delsoul
I didn't expect the polls would remain that high.

Nobody did, really. Bush's post-9/11 bounce was supposed to last but a few weeks, Conventional Wisdom said.

Bush's sustained popularity outlasted Roosevelt's after Pearl Harbor, it turns out.

39 posted on 09/02/2002 3:14:31 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: DrDeb
[Note that the President maintains these high approval/low disapproval numbers in the face of mid-term elections, economic uncertainty, and incessant speculation about an Iraqi invasion!]

You hit the nail on the head, my friend =^)

40 posted on 09/02/2002 3:17:53 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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