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Bond rout starting to sound market alarm bells
Reuters ^ | April 9, 2025 | Tom Westbrook

Posted on 04/08/2025 9:39:39 PM PDT by lasereye

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - U.S. Treasuries extended heavy losses on Wednesday in a sign investors are selling even their safest assets as a global market rout unleashed by U.S. tariffs takes an unnerving turn towards distress and a dash for the safety of cash.

"This is beyond fundamentals right now. This is about liquidity," said Jack Chambers, senior rates strategist at ANZ in Sydney.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, the globe's benchmark safe-haven anchor, was up 20 basis points and rising in Asia - a remarkable move in a time zone where it's usually fairly steady.

At 4.46% the yield is up 59 basis points from Monday's low, with traders saying hedge funds were the heaviest sellers as they started to be forced from leveraged bets that in calmer times profit from small gaps between cash and futures prices.

"This kind of thing becomes problematic if the prime broker starts saying that now ... I want to charge you a higher margin or I basically want more margins from you," said Mukesh Dave, chief investment officer at Aravali Asset Management, a global arbitrage fund based in Singapore.

Thirty-year U.S. yields spiked 24 bps to 4.9553% and the three-day move in yield - if sustained - would mark the heaviest selloff in the long end since 1981.

Selling was heavy in Japan and Australia.

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bonds; debt; deficit; hemorrheuters; inflation; interestrates; investment; lasertroll; nevertrumpingtroll; nikkihaleytroll; tariffs; tomwestbrook; trolls4haley
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The Trump team was counting on lower interest rates according to what I've read. It increasingly appears that they don't know what they're doing.
1 posted on 04/08/2025 9:39:39 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

It’s fine.

The “problem” is that tariff barriers are coming down, so there won’t be a depression.

Depressed?


2 posted on 04/08/2025 9:43:12 PM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: lasereye

Don’t be a Panickan.


3 posted on 04/08/2025 9:44:05 PM PDT by cowboyusa
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To: lasereye

Additional information about this surprising development:

https://seekingalpha.com/news/4429413-long-term-treasury-yields-surged-on-monday-due-to-the-unwind-of-the-basis-trade


4 posted on 04/08/2025 9:44:05 PM PDT by CaptainK ("No matter how cynical you get, it is impossible to keep up” )
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To: lasereye

They know exactly what they are doing expect deals by the end of the week


5 posted on 04/08/2025 9:44:59 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: lasereye

THIS IS NOT A SPRINT-—

IT IS A LONG RACE


6 posted on 04/08/2025 9:48:39 PM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: ConservativeMind
The “problem” is that tariff barriers are coming down, so there won’t be a depression.

The reason people are dumping bonds because tariffs are coming down? Or is it because there won't be a depression?

7 posted on 04/08/2025 9:48:44 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: ridesthemiles

You miss the point. The Trump team doesn’t want interest rates shooting up - nor should they. They don’t know what they’re doing.


8 posted on 04/08/2025 9:51:13 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: ConservativeMind

You should read the laughable comments from foreigners on Twitter about us bullying the rest of the World.😶🙄


9 posted on 04/08/2025 9:52:15 PM PDT by cowboyusa
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To: lasereye

You keep saying a temporary change means the Trump Administration is stupid.

Do you believe everything will turn out as quickly as you want? There is a thing called “reality.”

You really need to get back to it.


10 posted on 04/08/2025 9:58:20 PM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: lasereye
the article says:

U.S. Treasuries extended heavy losses on Wednesday...

well, unless they have a time machine that is not accurate.

Right now it is noontime on Wednesday in the Philippines/East Asia. The USA is twelve hours behind us, meaning midnight between Tuesday and Wednesday. So how could the US Treasury have heavy losses on Wednesday?

11 posted on 04/08/2025 9:58:52 PM PDT by LadyDoc (liberals only love politically correct poor people)
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To: lasereye

Trump wants the Fed here in the US to lower interest rates.

The central bank in New Zealand (Reserve Bank) lowered the rate down there from 3.75 to 3.5 percent today.

So will the Fed follow President Trump’s demand or does that Jerome Powell guy have to be shown the door.

When Trump met Netanyahu the other day he expressed his admiration for President Erdogan of Turkey.

Erdogan fired his country’s Jerome Powell when he refused to put interest rates where Erdogan wanted them.


12 posted on 04/08/2025 10:00:10 PM PDT by Nextrush (FREEDOM IS EVERYBODY'S BUSINESS, REMEMBER REV; NIEMOLLER)
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To: lasereye

China has been dumping Treasuries like crazy putting upward pressure on interest rates.


13 posted on 04/08/2025 10:00:40 PM PDT by volare737 (Diversity is something to be overcome, not celebrated. )
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To: lasereye

They know exactly what they are doing!!!

Watch and learn how this plays out the right way.


14 posted on 04/08/2025 10:02:32 PM PDT by neverbluffer
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To: lasereye

You realize you have put your FR reputation on this.

The President has much knowledge about this.

China is NOT going to win. We are the consumer of goods in this World.

We will soon be back to the Manufacture in this World.

The NWO is over. Our blood is all over it. It wasn’t in vain!


15 posted on 04/08/2025 10:03:57 PM PDT by eyedigress (Trump is my President!)
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To: LadyDoc

Probably referring to Dow Futures Market is down 900pts.


16 posted on 04/08/2025 10:07:54 PM PDT by R_Kangel ("A nation of sheep will beget a nation ruled by wolves")
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To: eyedigress

This is not about China. You don’t seem to even understand the topic.


17 posted on 04/08/2025 10:10:15 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: volare737

That’s exactly what they’re doing.


18 posted on 04/08/2025 10:15:11 PM PDT by guitar Josh
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To: CaptainK

It’s behind a paywall.

What basis swap is supposedly driving this ?


19 posted on 04/08/2025 10:18:02 PM PDT by Reverend Wright (Anschluss now !)
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To: lasereye

They simply don’t know what they are doing.


20 posted on 04/08/2025 10:19:17 PM PDT by The_Media_never_lie
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