Posted on 10/21/2024 2:19:10 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Republicans have taken the lead in two of the most consequential U.S. House races in the country, which will have large roles in deciding which party takes control of the 119th House of Representatives.
An internal poll for California Republican Scott Baugh, conducted by WPA Intelligence October 17-18, finds him leading Democrat Dave Min in California’s 47th Congressional District, a seat currently occupied by Rep. Katie Porter (D-CA).
Baugh has 43 percent support to Min’s 40 percent, with an advantage among independent voters, Hispanic voters, and white voters. Min has slid five points since a September WPA Intelligence poll, while Baugh has climbed one point, per the memo.
Independents break for Baugh over Min at 41 percent to 37 percent, while 45 percent of Hispanics prefer Baugh and 31 percent support Min. With white voters, Baugh has a 47 percent to 37 percent edge, according to the polling memo.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
I have seen her commercials from Massholechusetts and I am rooting for her.
they have NOTHING else to run on seriously its ONLY abortion, its a death cult, their whole premise for living is murdering the unborn, you can get mugged, raped, murdered, doesn’t matter, as long as you can kill your unborn baby til the moment of birth its all good
Good news. Thanks.
Keep praying 🙏
Thanks.
I do.
“Faith is the EVIDENCE of things not seen.”
I have Rs +5 to 10 pickups.
“I have Rs +5 to 10 pickups.”
That’s not unreasonable, although the Republicans do have a lot more defense to play than the Democrats in the very closest House districts — the ones where control is going to end up being decided:
1. The 40 most competitive districts (26 currently R, 14 currently D) are mostly in states which are toss-ups at the presidential level (AZ, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI) or ones which the bumbling Word Salad Queen is guaranteed to win (CA, CO, NE*, NJ, NM, NY, OR, VA, WA). [I know people are ludicrously optimistic today about VA going to Trump, but...]
2. Only six of the 40 battleground districts lie in states that Trump should win (AK, IA, ME*, MT, TX). Eleven lie in the swing states and 23 are in states where Trump’s probability of victory ranges from “very unlikely” to “utterly impossible”. If there is any presidential coattail effect in that latter group, it is hardly going to be beneficial for GOP House candidates.
[* ME-2 and NE-2 are in states which split electoral votes. Trump is likely to win ME-2 and lose NE-2, replicating the 2020 outcome in those two districts.]
3. In these 40 districts, Democrats have raised more money in 30 of them and have spent more money in 30 of them. Republicans have the financial edge in only 10 of the 40.
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