Posted on 10/15/2024 2:22:26 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Republican Senate candidates have the edge in three critical states where they can flip blue seats red, while several other races are either on a knife’s edge or show Republicans within striking distance, according to a National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) polling memorandum.
The memo, first published by Politico on Tuesday, shows Republicans ahead in Montana, Ohio, and Wisconsin against three Democrat incumbents. This is a major development considering Democrats currently hold a 51-49 seat majority in the Senate. If West Virginia’s senate race breaks for Republicans, as expected, and GOP incumbents successfully defend their seats while bringing home these three races, they will hold at least a 53-seat majority.
In Montana, Republican nominee Tim Sheehy is a comfortable eight points ahead of Sen. Jon Tester, 50 percent to 42 percent in the NRSC polling memo. Moreover, Sheehy’s favorability rating is +5 percentage points, while Tester’s is two points underwater.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Slow days at work have me on here getting wayyyyy too excited this early!!
The 2022 elections were fresh off of the SCOTUS decision...this is further removed and the country is in EVEN MORE dire straights than it was 2 years ago. Much more dire.
I think this could be a good year for Rs. Hopefully many of those Rs are Cs :)
I'm hitting the polls as soon as early voting starts.
What about Ted Cruz in Texas? His race is close.
MI + PA = 55 Repubs
Lake is going to win - 56
Hung Cao is going to win - 57
Maryland RINO = 58
+ Vance for tie breakers!!!!
You heard it here first folks! Get your friends and family out to early vote! Let’s do this!!!! LFG!!!
Usually he squeaks through in the end. Never a big victory for Senator Cruz. He represents Texas well.
The choices in Michigan are between a Fed (Mike Rogers, Republican), and a Spook (Elissa Slotkin, Democrat). Not enthusiastic about either, will be holding my nose when I fill out the absentee ballot.
How is the House looking? Have been hearing, not so great, but nothing yet from a source This Guy knows to be reliable.
If MD. Goes R with Hogan he will be a PITA he just wants to be disagreeable.
Just discovered that early voting starts on Saturday in my state.I’m busy on the weekend but I’ll vote on Monday. I’m a big believer in voting on Election Day but every conservative voice I hear says vote early...so I will.
“Usually he squeaks through in the end. Never a big victory for Senator Cruz. He represents Texas well.”
Could say the same, as far as the squeaks, about Rick Scott in Florida. He’s won 3 times, with 48.9%, 48.1% and 50.1%. He’s not popular and never has been; but he’s just popular enough.
That Florida Senate race should not even be close this time, but some polls claim that it is. 2024 *should* be Scott’s easiest win yet.
It’s still quite hard to picture Scott losing, and he’s not likely to. But he’s not likely to win by anything resembling 10 points either; he may get to +5 though which would be easily a career high.
Just heard that on Clay and Buck today. I was stunned. I’ve gotten emails from him that I’ve ignored thinking that he didn’t need my money. But now I’ll be giving him $20...which will make him only the second politician I’ve ever given money to.DJT being the first.
“If MD. Goes R with Hogan he will be a PITA he just wants to be disagreeable.”
No worries there.
Hogan isn’t going to win (he’ll be lucky to lose by “only” 5 to 10 points), but at least he’s having fun on the campaign trail hating on Trump.
Sweeney os way up in MT.
Whoop
“Lake is going to win - 56
Hung Cao is going to win - 57”
Nice enthusiasm, but.... no in both cases.
Cao is great, but the reality (unless things change a LOT in the next 3 weeks) is that Cao is like Hogan in Maryland as far as his chances of winning.
On a good election night, he perhaps loses by only 5-7 points. On a GREAT election night he gets within 5 and we all claim that he really won except for fraud. Pretty much the same thing applies to Kari Lake; she’s very unlikely to make it as close as she did 2 years ago.
I saw lake debate Gallegos. If debate performance means anything lake will win. That plus trumps coat tails.
And how many of them will stay united against The Swamp after a couple of yrs in office. Depressing that they all turn against us after DC gets their claws in them.
It’s a shame Sam Brown has had a hard time gaining traction. He would make a great Senator. I was watching Rich Baris the other day. He believes that the Rosen campaign has indirectly tried to exploit Sam Brown’s disfigurement to her advantage. She hasn’t directly talked about it but Baris suggests her ads have tried to subtly focus on his appearance, hoping to turn off voters.
That would be a real unforced error if Gallegos were to somehow win. I’d like to see Trump make some more visits to Arizona to really focus on pulling Lake over the top.
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