Posted on 09/04/2024 11:26:52 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Trump-backed Republican Senate candidates in key battleground states are closing in on their Democrat opponents, with most margins reflecting those of the presidential race in CNN/SSRS polls of likely voters.
The trend among likely voters suggests that the switch from President Joe Biden to Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democrat presidential nominee will not be as beneficial to down-ballot Senate candidates as Democrats had hoped, as Harris’s honeymoon phase has ended with the election two months away.
For instance, in Pennsylvania’s Senate race, Republican businessman Dave McCormick is tied with Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) at 46 percent. Another four percent would vote for someone else, while three percent would vote for “neither.” Similarly, the poll shows a tie at 47 percent between former President Donald Trump and Harris.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
this was always going to happen along with Democrats coming home by the election who said earlier in the year they wouldn’t
This was always going to be a GOTV election in a handful of swing states.
The media is showing them as even, then they are probably not even.
The only time the media will ever show a candidate being significantly down in the polls (in a “battleground state”) is if it’s a republican.
The media will NEVER EVER EVER accurately report a democrat being significantly down in the polls, particularly if the are near the top of the ticket, because they believe strongly in not demoralizing democrat voters into not bothering to show up to vote.
The Harris/Walz ticket is collapsing. The Democrat machine is going to turn their attention to the down ticket races, and if the numbers for the Pennsylvania Senate race are any indication, it’s going to happen real soon.
Hmmm. Things seem to be trending the GOPs way since the Dem Convention. Timing is everything.
They showed Biden down before they forced him out of race.
That NY judge is probably wringing his hands and repeating “what to do…what to do…”
They showed Biden down before they forced him out of race.
~~~~
LOL!
They will Almost never ever ever show a democrat significantly down in the polls in a swing state. /revised
Obviously, a coup d’etat against the primary electorate is important for the media to “save democracy”! heh
Likely voters is the only way to go. I totally disregard general polls and registered voter polls. Useless imo
For the last 3.5 years democrats have proved why everyone of them need to be replaced for the sake of liberty.
There is no standard definition of “Likely Voter”. So all polls of likely voters are not measuring the same thing.
Some ask “did you vote in the last election?” Some ask “did you vote in the last three elections?” Some ask “are you certain you will vote in the upcoming election?” Some ask “have you ever missed voting in a presidential election?”
These are all different definitions of Likely Voter. The previous election question is very common and automatically eliminates newly voting-age folks from the poll.
There is nothing sacred about Likely Voter polls.
If in fact the Senate candidates in PA are tied, the state is in the bank for Trump.
For McCormick to be tied with Casey is seismic. Fingers crossed.
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