Posted on 08/16/2024 11:36:26 AM PDT by thegagline
The first Emerson College Polling national survey following President Biden’s decision not to seek re-election finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 50% to 46%. Five percent of likely voters are undecided. With undecided voters’ support allocated, Harris continues to lead by four, 52% to 48%. With third-party candidates on the ballot, Harris and Trump’s support evenly decreases by two points, Harris to 48% and Trump to 44%. Four percent support Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
This month’s national poll included only those who indicate they are very likely to vote, previous polls included all registered voters. Registered voters were asked their voting intention and only very likely voters were included in this analysis.
Since last month, Trump’s support decreased two points among likely voters, from 48% to 46%, while Harris surpassed Biden’s 47% by three percentage points, at 50%. When third-party candidates are on the ballot, Trump’s support decreased by one point, from 45% to 44% since last month, while Harris outperformed Biden by four points from 44% to 48%.
Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, explains demographic shifts in the past month: “Likely voters under 30 have shifted toward Harris by nine points, 56% of whom supported Biden, 65% now support Harris. Voters over 70 also support Harris over Trump, 51% to 48% — last month they broke 50% to 48% for Trump.”
Kimball added, “Independents break for Harris, 46% to 45%, flipping since last month when likely independent voters broke for Trump 45% to 44%.
Ninety-three percent of voters are extremely or very motivated to vote this November.**/
(Excerpt) Read more at emersoncollegepolling.com ...
Remember the book “How to Lie with Statistics”? The same goes for polls.
Polling is all over the place. Rasmussen just today had Trump up by 4.
ROFL ,they’ll say anything
Comedy
Gotta keep those numbers up so when they cheat again people won’t storm the castle.
I wonder where Trump was with Emerson at this time in 2020 and 2016.
Are they only polling cities?
Agree.
Fake News gotta fake news.
National polls are more or less pointless.
Doesn’t matter who is in the lead in a National poll since that’s not how we decide who wins.
The author, Darrell Huff, was a retired naval officer.
The NYT/WPost/NPR poll has Harris 127%, Trump -67%...
They claim theirs is the most accurate ever...
This goes way back. The truth is crucified at the place of the poll:
Golgotha = "skull"
of Aramaic origin
Γολγοθᾶ Golgothâ, gol-goth-ah'; of Chaldee origin (compare H1538); the skull; Golgotha, a knoll near Jerusalem:—Golgotha.
--->
גֻּלְגֹּלֶת gulgôleth, gul-go'-leth; by reduplication from H1556; a skull (as round); by implication, a head (in enumeration of persons):—head, every man, poll, skull.
head, poll, skull
She brings JOY! Right.
Yawn. Another BS push poll.
Whi cares? National polls are useless. Actually all polls are useless.
Biden, Sanders, and the fake Indian were ahead if Trump by 2 points.
Same poll had Trump tied with Biden June 2024.
Why would you post this especially since Trump is up in 4 other polls post publishing of this. He’s up 4 in Ras, 2 is Scott Rasmussen (now RMG), 4 in Democracy Institute, and 1 in Fox News. He’s also leading in Pennsy from the same Emerson that did the poll you just posted.
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