Posted on 08/05/2024 1:41:58 PM PDT by Signalman
It's the economy, stupid, and former President Donald Trump leads Democrat candidate, Vice-President Kamala Harris, when it comes to economic confidence by leaps and bounds.
According to polling by the Wall Street Journal that was taken July 23-25, Trump lead Harris on confidence regarding the handling of the economy by 12 points, with Trump at 52 percent to Harris's 40 percent.
As Charlie Kirk points out in his tweet, combine that with the fact that a New York Times/Siena College Poll taken July 22-24 found that a whopping 50 percent of Americans think economic conditions are "poor."
Since these were both taken before the market crash happened on Monday, we can only assume that this number has increased, pushing Trump even further ahead of Harris on economic matters. This is incredibly bad news for Democrats, as not only has the economy been the number one issue on everyone's mind for some time, incumbents are typically ousted over bad economic performance.
Political scientist Morris Fiorina once put it well.
"Retrospective voting means that voters hold incumbents accountable for their past performance, particularly regarding the economy. Economic conditions are a crucial determinant in whether incumbents are rewarded or punished at the polls," he said.
This is political science 101. As you watch the stock market tumble and our economy head toward recession, Donald Trump's popularity only rises, continuing the trend of Democrats being the one to put Trump in positions of popularity and power.
To be sure, Trump is already spiking the football on the economy.
As well, he should. Right now, the biggest sound coming out of the Trump campaign should be "Bidenomics has failed you, and you know I can fix it." There's not a lot else that will matter more than this one fact. Moreover, calling it the "Kamala Crash" is one of the sharpest arrows the GOP has in its quiver right now.
As the economy descends, the Trump campaign should remind everyone of the good times before the rise of "Bidenomics" sent inflation spiraling out of control and the price of everything from food to gas rising with it. If they strike this iron while it's hot, I can imagine that whatever polling is feverishly being done by organizations and outlets right now will show that Trump has more or less become people's idea of shelter in an economic storm.
And as such, it could be the indicator that he's walked away with this election. I expect that this will hit a lot of people hard, especially as the months go on and people begin losing jobs and prices rise even higher.
Trump will become an unstoppable force. If you thought almost getting shot helped him, wait till you see what happens when the people see their own economy bleeding out in ways that really hurt.
President Trump will figure something out - he’s a genius
The MEDIA LIE that she’s ahead of Trump in most polls is done in order to EXPLAIN AWAY THE STEAL FOR KAMALA in November.
***
+1
I’ve been saying the exact same thing.
Abortion, first woman president/black/non-white, whatever. These are the draws that Democrats will inflate into a zeppolin so that their base won’t notice the resulting crash and burn that will come later.
Well, yours is the first I’ve heard of this idea and it does have merit.
It explains the keeping of Joe and dovetails nicely with a choreographed control of the sycophantic press. The timing is all under ‘Rat control.
I have long felt that no woman would be President while Hillary still lived, but I am beginning to think that she has accepted her status in the shadows.
So, I don’t see anything to discredit your idea. The ‘Rats also have until long into this month to throw Harris out, if they have a better idea.
This is only on the economy. Overall, she’s ahead by as much as four percent.
Your supposed to be buying in on the Harris Irrational Exuberance Bandwagon. The mere mention of a black vagina actually being President should have pushed you to the Harris column the minute Demented Joe finished his “I’m quitting 2024” whisper speech. If it didn’t, then you’re just a racist.... /s
Hillary up 6 in 2016 final polls, kept many Dems at home because they thought she had it in the bag.
EBC-—————Economy- Border- Crime
Yes he is. The problem is we have a bunch of stupid people in this country who Think tranny rights are talked about around the dinner table (nope), vote g for people just cuz “they black” and wasting energy and money another country’s war issues are important. None of those matter if the USA is not strong economically. Now the stock market is taking a dive. Yay democrats!
Next up: blame Trump cuz orange man bad, or something 🙄
I don’t know what’s going on. Newsweek is claiming Harris is up over Trump. I know she’s probably riding a bump as the new candidate, and hopefully things will settle down fast, but the facts that no one knows anything about her, she will refuse all questions and interviews, and the MSM will do everything in its power to cover for her all mean she could be serious trouble for Trump.
The Rats only recourse left is to steal another election
Like with Joe, the media is running her campaign for her non-stop, 24/7.
No, not really.
Technically, it was Friday when Kamala was anointed as the Democratic Nominee for President, so there’s that.
Kamala CRASH: Stock Market, Crypto COLLAPSE, Global Recession Soon, World on FIRE | Trump Was RIGHT!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6XV2V4foh4
Somehow the criminal pols will dramatically attempt to steal the election.
“I really dont get it..Trump is CRUSHING it when it comes to who handles the economy better, yet Harris is still close, or in some respects, leading in the polls..so let me get this straight, these same voters think Trump is better for the economy than Harris, yet these same people will vote for Harris LOL I dont buy it”
I don’t buy it either. I also believe there will be silent Trump voters. There are those who nod their heads as friends or co-workers vilify Trump, but quietly vote their pocket-book. Those voters aren’t going to tell any pollster who they are really voting for in November.
Also, exactly who are they polling? We know they are over-polling Democrats, but where are they getting these people who a)answer the phone call from an unknown number, and b) take the time to complete the polls? The pollsters do not just ask, “Who do you support in November as President?”. There are numerous questions and most people do not have the patience to answer all the questions. Who wants to tell a stranger their income, educational level, age, etc?
Sometimes I wonder if they just make up the entire group of responders and just assume if they did actually speak to real voters, a number of them would respond this way and a number that way. They then just assign (D), (R), or (I), according to their own biases.
What I would tell that lady is there’s no such thing as a “safe and clean” abortion.
All abortion is “back alley”, even if it’s done in a nice medical building by a licensed doctor.
All abortion is violent and gruesome and unhealthy for the mother. And any doctor who performs abortions is a butcher.
There will always be “access” to abortion, prostitution, and hard drugs. As there’s no shortage of supply or demand.
You’re not going to get a better abortion or better heroin or a better hooker by making it legal. You just make society as a whole sleazier.
538’s average of polls had Hillary beating Trump by 3.9% (Clinton 45.7% Trump 41.8%) in their last polling average of 2016. These polls have consistently underestimated Trump’s support.
I think you might be onto something there…
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