Posted on 08/05/2024 1:41:58 PM PDT by Signalman
It's the economy, stupid, and former President Donald Trump leads Democrat candidate, Vice-President Kamala Harris, when it comes to economic confidence by leaps and bounds.
According to polling by the Wall Street Journal that was taken July 23-25, Trump lead Harris on confidence regarding the handling of the economy by 12 points, with Trump at 52 percent to Harris's 40 percent.
As Charlie Kirk points out in his tweet, combine that with the fact that a New York Times/Siena College Poll taken July 22-24 found that a whopping 50 percent of Americans think economic conditions are "poor."
Since these were both taken before the market crash happened on Monday, we can only assume that this number has increased, pushing Trump even further ahead of Harris on economic matters. This is incredibly bad news for Democrats, as not only has the economy been the number one issue on everyone's mind for some time, incumbents are typically ousted over bad economic performance.
Political scientist Morris Fiorina once put it well.
"Retrospective voting means that voters hold incumbents accountable for their past performance, particularly regarding the economy. Economic conditions are a crucial determinant in whether incumbents are rewarded or punished at the polls," he said.
This is political science 101. As you watch the stock market tumble and our economy head toward recession, Donald Trump's popularity only rises, continuing the trend of Democrats being the one to put Trump in positions of popularity and power.
To be sure, Trump is already spiking the football on the economy.
As well, he should. Right now, the biggest sound coming out of the Trump campaign should be "Bidenomics has failed you, and you know I can fix it." There's not a lot else that will matter more than this one fact. Moreover, calling it the "Kamala Crash" is one of the sharpest arrows the GOP has in its quiver right now.
As the economy descends, the Trump campaign should remind everyone of the good times before the rise of "Bidenomics" sent inflation spiraling out of control and the price of everything from food to gas rising with it. If they strike this iron while it's hot, I can imagine that whatever polling is feverishly being done by organizations and outlets right now will show that Trump has more or less become people's idea of shelter in an economic storm.
And as such, it could be the indicator that he's walked away with this election. I expect that this will hit a lot of people hard, especially as the months go on and people begin losing jobs and prices rise even higher.
Trump will become an unstoppable force. If you thought almost getting shot helped him, wait till you see what happens when the people see their own economy bleeding out in ways that really hurt.
I don’t believe it. Thanks to the MSM’s help and selective reporting, Harris is kicking butt.
Biden was losing. They told us after he quit, not while he was running.
Look back at 2016 and 2020 Trump was in way worse position on august 5 then he is now which is essentially a dead even race. Now that the economy has taken a dive Trump can hammer on any advantage she may have started to get till September.
Harris can get this economy erect again with just a purse of her lips...
Pols are obsessed with polls.
They are useless. 1980 - Carter +5 or so.
1984 - Mondale +8
1988 - Dukakis +17
Fake polls, fake news, and fake vaccine.
Yes and it repeats itself often.
Again, I repeat never underestimate the stupidity of the American voter or the Democrats to steal elections.
I really dont get it..Trump is CRUSHING it when it comes to who handles the economy better, yet Harris is still close, or in some respects, leading in the polls..so let me get this straight, these same voters think Trump is better for the economy than Harris, yet these same people will vote for Harris LOL I dont buy it
2016 Hillary +6
If the MSM can help by pushing propanganda, so can the MSM paid-for polls that say Kamala is "kicking butt".
Sure cat lady.
The MEDIA LIE that she's ahead of Trump in most polls is done in order to EXPLAIN AWAY THE STEAL FOR KAMALA in November. When Kamala wins the media will remind us 24/7 that "SHE WAS AHEAD ANYWAY" although we KNOW this is a LIE. Same COUP as 2020. Rinse and repeat.
“I really dont get it..Trump is CRUSHING it when it comes to who handles the economy better, yet Harris is still close, or in some respects, leading in the polls..so let me get this straight, these same voters think Trump is better for the economy than Harris, yet these same people will vote for Harris LOL I dont buy it”
Abortion is more important to a large bloc of voters than the economy. Yes, really.
And so are some other issues.
I get it.
Abortion and access to gender affirming care.
And the dim media say the opposite, justifying the steal
As much as the media cries sexism, dei lies, racism
They push all three rad a great post that said DEI= didnt earn it
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