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These Exit Polls Show How Toxic Trump Is Now
National Review ^ | November 16, 2022 | Dan McLaughlin

Posted on 11/16/2022 6:35:38 AM PST by karpov

Donald Trump announced his 2024 presidential campaign Tuesday night, heavy with the odor of a man fighting the last war. But politics is all about matching the man to the moment. Trump’s moment was six years ago. The nation’s voters have moved on, and if early signs are any indication, Republican primary voters are ready to consider doing so as well.

The 2022 midterms were about as decisive a failure for Trump as it was possible for them to be. Consider, as one item of evidence, the exit polls. Exit polls are not perfect; even though they should have the advantage over other polls of polling only people who actually voted, they still have their known biases and shortcomings. Still, they are the only evidence we get of who voted for whom and why at the time of the actual election, and when they deliver messages in bold, screaming letters, we should listen.

The 2022 exit polls examined the national House electorate and 19 Senate and/or governors races across eleven states — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. Two of the clearest findings across all of these races are that (1) Donald Trump is profoundly unpopular with the people who voted in 2022 and (2) Trump was a fatal drag on many Republican candidates.

On the first point, look at Trump’s favorability ratings. He is viewed unfavorably by a solid majority of the midterm voters nationally (by a 19-point margin of 58 percent to 39 percent), and in every state polled, even places such as Texas (52 percent disapproval to 45 percent approval), Ohio (53 percent to 44 percent), and North Carolina (53 percent to 43 percent) that he won two years ago.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2024; danmclaughlin; donaldtrump; thenationalspew; trump
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To: central_va; Mr Rogers
SO you think Desantis would get more popular votes than Trump? Over 80 million? Riiiight.

No but I am thinking Desantis has a better shot with the under 35 crowd and definitely with the single women voters that essentially stopped the "red wave" from happening.

As I said previously, unless Trump tries to make inroads with this group, he's going to lose and lose badly in any general election.
41 posted on 11/16/2022 7:02:14 AM PST by proud_dad_of_two (Formerly MikefromOhio (I couldn't remember my password and lost the email account too!))
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To: karpov

He’s only toxic if he wants to be. If he thinks his campaign is all about attacking his perceived GOP rivals...even those who aren’t running and probably won’t, such as DeSantis...he’s not going to go far.

He’s got to run on policy and his ability to accomplish it, and one of the problems is that if you alienate your potential allies, it’s not going to work.

And he has GOT to apologize for shutting down the country. He was misled and bamboozled into it, and he should simply say that.

Heck, Birx even boasts in writing about “tricking” Trump with false data and the aid of Pence.

But please, no personal attacks. That’s “how to lose friends and alienate people.”


42 posted on 11/16/2022 7:02:59 AM PST by livius
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To: ProudDeplorable

Yep. They are all desperate to torpedo Trump’s return. They know he’s going to take care of business. They know he’s figured out how to circumvent the obstacles and solve the problems. And they’re terrified.


43 posted on 11/16/2022 7:03:18 AM PST by LouAvul (Daniel 4:17: "..the most High ruleth in the kingdom of men, and giveth it to whomsoever he will.." )
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To: ProudDeplorable
Always look to the author - National Review has had it out for Trump since the very beginning.

They have gone from respected Conservative magazine to just a BS blog type publication.

44 posted on 11/16/2022 7:07:17 AM PST by 1Old Pro
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To: karpov
The left muses that it can divide and conquer MAGA?

They had better gird themselves.

We be comin' for them now, in our neighborhoods and in our streets.


45 posted on 11/16/2022 7:07:54 AM PST by Candor7 (ObamaFascism:https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2009/05/barack_obama_the_quintessentia_1.html)
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To: LeonardFMason

Yepp ... some truth there.... Teddy Roosevelt did not make it a second time but that did not stop him. Until one runs and loses, the aging player story and past glory cannot be written. Trump can never get back what was stolen from him, his opportunity to govern and the American people between 2017 - 2021.

How does he win ... on the issues ... gas $5+ a gallon, continued rampant inflation and devastated retirement funds, shortages on shelves, uncontrolled borders, woke-ism, a US foreign policy that is even worse than now ... a demonkrap nominee who will offer more of the same. How does he win on the issues with a rigged and corrupted election system in certain states and a GOPe working against him? Not sure that can be done ... but even if he “loses” in the long run, America might gain as the light truth can’t be hidden forever in the light of darkness. With corruption, by its own nature it eventually cannot stand and perpetuate itself.


46 posted on 11/16/2022 7:08:30 AM PST by Susquehanna Patriot ( )
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To: LouAvul

What is it that he is going to specifically do to circumvent the obstacles and solve the problems?


47 posted on 11/16/2022 7:08:35 AM PST by sam_whiskey (Peace through Strength. )
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To: karpov

One thing is for sure. If all of Trump’s speeches are like last night’s, he’s going to lose in a landslide. And the Republican party will deserve it. This party used to be about winning elections. Now it’s about placating a one-term narcissist. Good luck with that strategy.


48 posted on 11/16/2022 7:10:19 AM PST by thefactor
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To: karpov; All

National Review = Never Trumpers

Expect this BS from now until he WINS the 2024 election. And then afterwards, LOL!

*Rolleyes*


49 posted on 11/16/2022 7:11:59 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set. )
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To: livius

He’s been operating that way all of his life, I doubt that he’s going to change now or in the future.


50 posted on 11/16/2022 7:15:38 AM PST by Coronal
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To: karpov

Blah blah blah.

They have been trying since 2015 to taint and bring him down.


51 posted on 11/16/2022 7:17:41 AM PST by Altura Ct.
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To: FlingWingFlyer; All
"They all were totally wrong this election."

Thank you for posting FlingWingFlyer.

The problem with polls predicting the effects of Trump's red tsunami is this. How do polls accurately calculate unknown extent of desperate Democratic ballot fraud versus effects of Trump's red tsunami?

Regarding Democrats winning their fraud to hold the Senate, do patriots understand that, since senators have staggered, six year election terms, that it would take Trump three election cycles, six years, to get rid of all the Senate RINOs that us misguided patriots elected with our 17th Amendment powers?

In other words, Trump can drain the only one third of Senate swamp at a time.

Also, I wouldn't be surprised if federal Democrats sabotaged the economy partly so they could blame the inflation that they own on Republicans if Democrats lost control of Congress.

So federal MAGA Republicans can at least argue a divided Congress and probably reasonably stick the blame for many things on Democrats in front of 2024 elections.

52 posted on 11/16/2022 7:18:19 AM PST by Amendment10
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To: FlingWingFlyer

No, they weren’t. The Generic Poll nationwide was pretty much exactly what the total votes were nationwide. We ran it up in the Red States and a few pockets, like in California, where they USED THE RULES to do our own ballot harvesting.

And we let the Left USE THE RULES to run it up in their areas.

It’s nonsense to say all polls were off.


53 posted on 11/16/2022 7:20:31 AM PST by LRoggy (Peter's Son's Business )
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To: Fury

Fury wrote: “But as I have said, people will generally believe polls that validate a person’s viewpoints.”

See my tag line.


54 posted on 11/16/2022 7:21:57 AM PST by DugwayDuke (Most pick the expert who says the things they agree with.)
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To: central_va

“There is only one candidate that has declared for ‘24 - Trump. So if you continue to trash him now then I will assume you are a Democrat troll.”

That would prove you are an idiot! A Democrat troll who passionately supported Kari Lake, donated to Blake Masters, who has been donating to FR longer than you’ve been a member, who was up at 3AM on Wednesday morning, sick at what he seen and hoping for SOME good news? A democrat troll who had a Trump 2024 bumper sticker on his truck while driving around in liberal Pima County for a year (then sold the truck)?


55 posted on 11/16/2022 7:23:24 AM PST by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of feelings, not thoughts.)
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Now National Review likes exit polls?


56 posted on 11/16/2022 7:23:26 AM PST by TakebackGOP
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To: Red Badger

That’s 20 states. There are 50 in the US.

What is the size of the sample; what precincts did they poll in; and what time of day?


57 posted on 11/16/2022 7:24:18 AM PST by grey_whiskers ( (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.))
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To: Mr Rogers

Troll.


58 posted on 11/16/2022 7:24:48 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: Fury

Then you’re wasting your time here, and so is National Review, troll-boi.


59 posted on 11/16/2022 7:25:03 AM PST by grey_whiskers ( (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.))
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To: faucetman

faucetman wrote: “Be like Twitter used to be and BAN articles from National Review.”

Only the insecure favor censorship.


60 posted on 11/16/2022 7:25:12 AM PST by DugwayDuke (Most pick the expert who says the things they agree with.)
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