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The Iran deal is dead. Long live the Iran deal
Hotair ^ | 11/12/2022 | Jazz Shaw

Posted on 11/12/2022 9:20:41 PM PST by SeekAndFind

This is the point in the story when we should probably summon Dr. McCoy to say, ‘he’s dead, Jim.’ The “he” in question would be the Iran nuclear deal, known around the White House as the JCPOA. The secretive, four-party talks that have been going on for well over a year never really came close to producing a functional deal, though most of us never heard any of the details. But now, at least according to one Trump administration official who was privy to the process, the entire thing is shut down with “no path forward.” The culprit is supposedly the ongoing protests in Iran over the death of a woman who failed to properly wear her head covering at the hands of the Morality Police. (Free Beacon)

The Biden administration’s negotiations over a revamped version of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal are dead as the result of massive anti-regime protests that have swept across the Islamic Republic, according to the former Trump administration’s State Department spokeswoman.

“I don’t see any room or any space for [the administration] to build back into” the long-stalled negotiations, Morgan Ortagus, who served under former secretary of state Mike Pompeo, said during a panel discussion Friday afternoon at the Richard Nixon Foundation’s Grand Strategy Summit in Washington, D.C. “It would be a political disaster in the U.S. and a disaster for the people of Iran who are rejecting this regime.”

How could the Biden administration “financially empower the very oppressors of the women and teenagers we’re supposed to be standing up for and standing with?” Ortagus asked.

The diplomatic collapse has brought another tender subject back to the forefront. The protesters in Iran have been openly calling for regime change, as have sympathetic Iranian groups here in the United States. But thus far, the Biden administration has been critical of the Iranian regime’s abuses against women, but they have failed to go the full distance and similarly call for regime change. If the deal is fully dead, perhaps they will now, but it’s not a stretch to suspect that Joe Biden held his tongue for fear of further antagonizing the Iranian mullahs when he was desperate to ink a deal.

Focusing the discussion on regime change at this point is probably a dead end also. We’ve been through episodes like this in the past and the Iranians always manage to crush any dissent among their own people sooner or later. And the women of Iran will likely be paying the heaviest price as a result.

Assuming this analysis is true, I don’t see any reason to look at this as particularly bad news. Iran has never fully honored any of the agreements it’s made in the past. The only reason Joe Bide was so fired up to get this done was that Donald Trump had pulled us out of the deal and Biden had vowed to reverse all Trump policies, including the ones that had proven to be good ideas.

The few secrets that slipped out to the media during these negotiations revealed that Biden’s Iran envoy, Robert Malley, was a terrible negotiator who was in far over his head. He offered Iran so much on day one of the secret talks that they couldn’t believe their good fortune. But they assumed that was just an opening offer and they would be able to get more. Malley had nothing else to offer, so the Iranians kept walking away.

It may be time for the Iranian nuclear facilities to have another “accident” in the near future. Whether that is another cyberattack or just some of their centrifuges blowing up doesn’t really matter. But that would require Biden giving a thumbs up to the plan and I’m not sure how confident we can be of that happening.



TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: bloggers; erdogan; iran; iraq; jcpoa; kurdistan; lebanon; nucleardeal; receptayyiperdogan; turkey; waronterror; worldwar3; yemen

1 posted on 11/12/2022 9:20:41 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
though most of us never heard any of the details.

I am sure there is a reason for that.

2 posted on 11/12/2022 9:23:03 PM PST by Mark17 (Retired USAF air traffic controller. Father of USAF pilot. USAF aviation runs in the family )
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To: SeekAndFind

“Tinder subject” as in all that “legal tinder” Obama gave em .....?


3 posted on 11/12/2022 9:26:26 PM PST by Squantos (Be polite, be professional, but have a plan to kill everyone you meet ...)
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To: SeekAndFind
How could the Biden administration “financially empower the very oppressors of the women and teenagers we’re supposed to be standing up for and standing with?” Ortagus asked.

The Biden administration doesn't seem to have a problem making a mockery of Title IX by allowing boys masquerading as girls to play on girls' sports teams. Why would they care about Iranian "morality" police killing a woman?

4 posted on 11/12/2022 9:49:29 PM PST by AlaskaErik (In time of peace, prepare for war.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Hilarious headline by hot-air.


5 posted on 11/12/2022 10:01:59 PM PST by Words Matter
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To: SeekAndFind

“ But that would require Biden giving a thumbs up to the plan and I’m not sure how confident we can be of that happening.”

I suspect the Israeli’s understand the Biden Government very well, and aren’t all that interested in giving him that power.


6 posted on 11/12/2022 10:04:12 PM PST by Scott from the Left Coast (Make Orwell Fiction Again)
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To: SeekAndFind

“The Biden administration’s negotiations over a revamped version of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal are dead”

Never underestimate the ability of Biden to pull defeat from the jaws of victory.


7 posted on 11/13/2022 6:03:50 AM PST by antidemoncrat
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To: antidemoncrat

When Saudi Arabia and OPEC Arabs bitch slapped Biden by reducing oil production, the message finally got through. The regional coalition including the Gulf Arabs and Israel is strong and has priority over the Obama Nuclear deal legacy.

The mamby pamby worthless Obama diplomacy is dead.

The man is correct...... He is dead Jim


8 posted on 11/13/2022 6:09:12 AM PST by bert ( (KWE. NP. N.C. +12) Juneteenth is inequality day)
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To: dennisw; Cachelot; Nix 2; veronica; Catspaw; knighthawk; Alouette; Optimist; weikel; Lent; GregB; ..
Middle East and terrorism, occasional political and Jewish issues Ping List. High Volume If you’d like to be on or off, please FR mail me.
9 posted on 11/14/2022 7:17:51 AM PST by SJackson (nations that are barren of liberties are also barren of groceries, Louis Fisher)
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